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中国对“一带一路”沿线国家玉米产品出口的影响因素及潜力分析

Analysis of influencing factors and potential of Chinese corn product exports to countries along the“Belt and Road”
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摘要 选取43个“一带一路”沿线国家,利用贸易竞争力指数对2015—2021年中国玉米产品的国际竞争力进行衡量,通过扩展的贸易引力模型分析玉米产品出口的影响因素,并对出口潜力进行测量。结果表明,中国玉米产品的国际竞争力总体较弱,处于劣势地位。双方高的经济总量、较高的贸易自由度、加入共同的经济组织等因素显著促进了玉米产品的出口,而地理距离及过多的人口数量会阻碍玉米产品的出口。在43个样本国家中,3个国家是潜力巨大型国家,38个国家是潜力开拓型国家,2个国家是潜力再造型国家。中国应该继续强化积极的贸易因素,弱化消极的因素,培养新的玉米延伸产品,充分释放出口潜能。 43 countries along the“Belt and Road”were selected to measure the international competitiveness of Chinese corn products from 2015 to 2021 by using the trade competitiveness index,the influencing factors of corn products export were analyzed through the extended trade gravity model,and the export potential was measured.The results showed that the international competitiveness of Chi⁃nese corn products was weak and in an inferior position.Factors such as high economic aggregate of the two sides,high trade freedom,and common economic organization significantly promoted the export of corn products,while geographical distance and excessive popu⁃lation would hinder the export of corn products.Among the 43 sample countries,3 were huge potential countries,38 were potential ex⁃ploration countries,and 2 were potential reconstruction countries.China should continue to strengthen the positive trade factors,weak⁃en the negative factors,cultivate new corn extension products,and fully release the export potential.
作者 高雪梅 董晔 许文强 包安明 白冲 GAO Xue-mei;DONG Ye;XU Wen-qiang;BAO An-ming;BAI Chong(Xinjiang Normal University,Urumqi 830054,China;Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid Lands,Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Urumqi 830011,China;State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology,Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Urumqi 830011,China;Key Laboratory of GIS&RS Application of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region,Urumqi 830011,China)
出处 《湖北农业科学》 2024年第4期219-225,F0003,共8页 Hubei Agricultural Sciences
基金 第三次新疆综合科学考察项目(2022xjkk0701) 新疆维吾尔自治区“天山英才培养”计划资助项目(2022TSYCLJ0011) 青海省“昆仑英才·高端创新创业人才-领军人才”项目(2020-LCJ-02)。
关键词 玉米产品 出口潜力 国际竞争力 中国 “一带一路”沿线国家 corn products export potential international competitiveness China countries along the“Belt and Road”
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