摘要
运用拓展的贸易引力模型,实证分析中国对东盟国家纺织品出口贸易的影响因素,并进行贸易潜力测算。结果显示,东盟国家的贸易开放度、GDP等对中国与东盟国家纺织品出口有显著促进作用;地理距离等对中国纺织品出口有抑制作用。在所选取的十个样本国家中,老挝、文莱、新加坡为潜力巨大型;柬埔寨、马来西亚、缅甸、泰国为潜力开拓型;菲律宾、印度尼西亚、越南为潜力再造型,针对不同贸易潜力类型的国家提出相应对策与建议。
Using the extended trade gravity model,we empirically analyze the influencing factors of China's textile export trade with ASEAN countries and measure the trade potential.The results show that the trade openness and GDP of ASEAN countries have a significant promotion effect on China's textile exports with ASEAN countries;the geographic distance of the trading countries and other factors have a dampening effect on China's textile exports.Among the ten sample countries selected,Laos,Brunei and Singapore are of great potential type;Cambodia,Malaysia,Myanmar,and Thailand are of pioneering potential type;and the Philippines,Indonesia and Vietnam are of re-modeling potential and countermeasures are proposed for countries with different trade potential types.
作者
关江帆
江涛
Guan Jiangfan;Jiang Tao(Nanyang Institute of Technology,Nanyang Henan 473000)
出处
《对外经贸》
2024年第4期6-10,21,共6页
FOREIGN ECONOMIC RELATIONS & TRADE
