摘要
本文将地区强国分为地区最强国、地区次强国和非典型地区强国三种,尝试从战略配合方的地区强国和战略发起方的美国寻找自变量,搭建一个地区强国配合美国地缘战略构想的分析框架。本文发现,地区强国的地区主导地位焦虑和美国对待小多边主义的态度,对地区强国配合美国地缘战略构想造成影响。地区力量对比变化在国内认知的作用下,刺激地区强国产生地区主导地位焦虑,促使地区强国产生配合美国遏制共同“挑战国”的地缘战略构想的冲动;小多边主义作为美国拉拢地区强国的重要合作方式,对地区强国配合美国的地缘战略构想具有吸引力。当这两个因素兼具时,地区强国便会积极配合美国的地缘战略构想。本文选取地区最强国印度加入四国安全对话机制(QUAD)的进程,以及由非典型地区强国变为地区次强国的日本推进和参与QUAD的过程为检验案例,验证了本文解释框架的合理性。
This paper divides regional powers into three types:the most powerful,the secondary and the atypical ones.It tries to look for independent variables from the regional powers as followers and the U.S.as the initiator of the strategy,and set up an analytical framework explaining why regional powers follow the U.S.geostrategic conception.Regional powers'anxiety of regional dominance and the U.S.attitude towards minilateralism have an impact on whether regional powers follow the U.S.geo-strategic conception.The change of regional balance of power,under the influence of domestic cognition,stimulates regional powers to generate anxiety of regional dominance,and makes regional powers have the impulse to follow the U.S.geo-strategic conception of containing the common"challenger",As an important means for the U.S to tempt regional powers to its side,minilateralism is appealing to regional powers in their following the U.S.geo-strategic conception.This paper chooses the process of India,a most powerful regional power,joining the QUAD,and the process of Japan,which has changed from an atypical regional power to a secondary regional power,promoting and participating in the QUAD,as test cases to verify the rationality of the explanatory framework of this paper.
作者
唐小松
张豪杰
Tang Xiaosong;Zhang Haojie
出处
《国际观察》
CSSCI
北大核心
2024年第1期95-127,共33页
International Review
基金
2020年国家社会科学基金重点项目“美国对华战略调整下的‘五眼联盟’转型与我国对策研究”(项目批准号:20AGJ005)的阶段性成果
国家留学基金资助。