摘要
作为调节经济发展和环境压力的综合性环境规制工具,低碳试点是促进旅游业节能减排和高质量发展的重要举措,其能否提高旅游业碳排放效率这一问题值得深入研究。因此,基于2005—2019年中国30个省份面板数据,该研究利用基于非期望产出的SBM模型测算旅游业碳排放效率;同时,将低碳试点政策视作一项准自然实验,运用双重差分模型探讨低碳试点实施对旅游业碳排放效率的政策效应;在此基础上,构建中介效应模型,剖析旅游产业结构合理化和旅游产业结构高级化在低碳试点政策对旅游业碳排放效率的影响过程中产生的中介效应。研究结果表明:(1)研究期内,中国省域旅游业碳排放效率在时序上呈现小幅波动增长的演化态势,在空间上呈现“东高西低”的分布格局。(2)低碳试点政策能够显著提高区域旅游业碳排放效率;分地区检验表明,低碳试点政策在东部地区的影响显著为正,在西部地区的影响显著为负,在中部地区的影响不显著。(3)低碳试点政策通过推动旅游产业结构合理化来促进区域旅游业碳排放效率提高,但旅游产业结构高级化未能通过中介效应检验。因此,各级政府应通过推广低碳旅游发展模式、扩大低碳试点范围、优化旅游产业结构等途径谋求中国旅游业绿色低碳转型。
Regarded as a comprehensive environmental regulation tool to regulate economic development and environmental pressure,the low-carbon pilot policy is an important measure to promote energy conservation,emission reduction,and high-quality development of China’s tourism industry,and whether it can improve tourism carbon emission efficiency deserves in-depth research.Therefore,based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2005 to 2019,this study used the SBM model based on the undesirable output to calculate carbon emission efficiency in the tourism industry.Meanwhile,the low-carbon pilot policy was considered a quasi-natural ex-periment,and a difference-in-differences model was constructed to analyze the policy effect of the low-carbon pilot policy on tourism carbon emission efficiency.Furthermore,on the basis of this,an intermediary effect model was constructed to discuss the intermediary effect of the rationalization and advancement of tourism industry structure in the process of low-carbon pilot policy affecting carbon emission efficiency in China’s tourism industry.The results showed that:①Within the study interval,the tourism carbon emission effi-ciency of 30 provinces in China showed a temporal trend of growing with a small fluctuation.Meanwhile,it presented a‘high in the east and low in the west’spatial distribution pattern.②The low-carbon pilot policy could significantly boost the carbon emission efficiency of China’s regional tourism.The results of the heterogeneity test indicated that the impact of the low-carbon pilot policy was significant-ly positive in the eastern region,significantly negative in the western region,and insignificant in the central region.③The low-carbon pilot policy promoted regional tourism carbon emission efficiency by boosting the rationalization of the tourism industry structure.How-ever,the advancement of the structure of the tourism industry failed to pass the test of intermediary effect.Therefore,governments at all levels should seek the green and low-carbon transformation of the tourism industry by promoting the low-carbon tourism development mode,expanding the scope of the low-carbon pilot,and optimizing the structure of the tourism industry in China.
作者
王凯
关锐
甘畅
WANG Kai;GUAN Rui;GAN Chang(College of Tourism,Hunan Normal University,Changsha Hunan 410081,China)
出处
《中国人口·资源与环境》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2023年第11期47-56,共10页
China Population,Resources and Environment
基金
湖南省自然科学基金面上项目“旅游高质量发展与脱贫居民福祉耦合互馈机制与路径:湖南武陵山区案例”(批准号:2022JJ30392)
湖南省国内一流培育学科建设项目“地理学”(批准号:5010002)。
关键词
低碳试点政策
旅游业碳排放效率
双重差分模型
中介效应
low-carbon pilot policy
tourism carbon emission efficiency
difference-in-differences(DID)model
intermediary effect
