摘要
本文基于2010—2019年中国省级面板数据,采用面板Tobit模型和面板门槛模型,分析地方政府债务降低贫困发生率的作用机制。研究发现,地方政府债务对贫困发生率具有显著的边际抑制效应,且存在地区异质性;地方政府债务对贫困发生率的影响受到地方经济发展水平和产业结构高级化水平的制约。在此基础上,本文从地方政府债务融资资金和地方财政资金的合理分配与使用、提高债务融资资金使用的公平性和避免债务融资资金浪费等方面提出了相关政策建议。
This article systematically investigates the mechanism of the effect of local government debt on reducing poverty incidence based on inter-provincial panel data in China from 2010-2019,using the panel Tobit model and the panel threshold model.It is found that local government debt has a significant marginal inhibition effect on poverty incidence,and there is regional heterogeneity in this marginal inhibition effect;the impact of local government debt on poverty incidence is constrained by the level of local economic development and the level of advanced industrial structure.On this basis,this article puts forward several policy suggestions in terms of rational allocation and use of local government debt financing funds and local fiscal funds,improving the fairness of debt financing funds application,and avoiding waste of debt financing funds.
作者
吴茵
卢倩倩
Wu Yin;Lu Qianqian
出处
《宏观经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2023年第8期63-77,共15页
Macroeconomics
基金
2023年度中央党校(国家行政学院)校(院)级科研项目(2023QN052)的阶段性成果。
