摘要
面对中美博弈,欧盟是否会选边站队?现有国际关系理论提出的"追随—制衡—对冲"三分法不足以解释欧盟在中美欧三边博弈中的选边策略。通过梳理中欧经贸谈判史发现,欧盟实际上实施的是一种"借力型战略",而且通常选择向美国借力。欧盟向美国借力有三种模式:欧美联合施压模式、利用中美关系紧张从中牟利模式、要求获得与美国同等待遇模式。欧盟这一策略之所以有一定的效果,很大程度上源于中美之间的战略竞争。为在中美欧三边博弈中化被动为主动,有效应对欧盟的"借力"策略,中国亟须树立中美、中欧、美欧"三副棋盘"意识,在这三副棋盘中找到突破口:一是通过运筹中美关系,调动中欧关系;二是审时度势,从欧美矛盾中寻找突破口;三是对中欧关系实施合作、竞争、斗争三种方式并举的"交通灯战略"。
The"bandwagoning-balancing-hedging"trichotomy elaborated by the existing international relations theories could not fully explain the EU’s taking-side strategy in the trilateral game among China,the US and the EU.By walking through the history of China-EU economic and trade negotiations,it is found that the EU actually implemented a so-called"power-borrowing strategy"and usually borrowed power from the US.Three modes of power-borrowing have been identified when the EU borrowed power from the US,namely,the EU and the US joining hands in projecting power over China,the EU profiting from the tensions between China and the US,and the EU demanding equal treatment from China as already been extended to the US.The fact that the EU power-borrowing strategy has been somehow effective is largely due to the strategic competition between China and the US.In the trilateral game among China,the US and the EU,in order to effectively respond to the EU’s"power-borrowing strategy",China needs to be alert to the co-existence of the"three chessboards"in the China-US-EU strategic triangle,that is,the China-US chessboard,the China-EU chessboard and the US-EU chessboard.
出处
《欧洲研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第3期17-42,M0002,M0003,共28页
Chinese Journal of European Studies
基金
2020年度国家社会科学基金重大项目“百年变局下的全球治理与‘一带一路’关系研究”(项目编号:20&ZD147)的阶段性成果。
