摘要
针对《BP世界能源展望(2019年版)》报告进行了分析和总结。《BP世界能源展望(2019年版)》统计了世界及主要国家一次能源(石油、天然气、煤炭、水电、可再生能源、核电和水电)的需求和供给现状,在基于渐进转型情境下,预测出至2040年全世界能源供需的状况。在全世界范围内,一次能源的需求增速都在逐渐放缓,向更低碳能源系统转变,其中可再生能源需求增长速度最快,预计到2040年,将占全世界能源需求增量的50%;天然气需求增长强劲,2040年将再增长46%;在展望前期,石油和其他液体燃料产量还将增长,主要是美国致密油产量的增长,另外,世界煤炭总体消费大幅放缓。
This paper mainly analyzes and summarizes the BP World Energy Prospect(2019 Edition)report. The Outlook counts the current state of demand and supply of global and major national primary energy sources,including oil,natural gas,coal,hydropower,renewable energy,nuclear power and hydropower,and based on the situation of gradual transformation,the situation of energy supply and demand in the world is forecasted by 2040. Worldwide,the growth rate of primary energy demand is gradually slowing down and shifting to low-carbon energy systems. Among them,the demand for renewable energy is the fastest growing and is expected to account for 50% of the world’s energy demand increase by2040;the demand for natural gas is strong,and in 2040,it will increase by another 46%;the output of oil and other liquid fuels will also grow in the outlook for the early period,mainly due to the growth of dense oil production in the United States and a significant slowdown in global coal consumption.
作者
李洪言
赵朔
刘飞
李雷
代晓东
Li Hongyan;Zhao Shuo;Liu Fei;Li Lei;Dai Xiaodong(College of Petroleum Engineering.Oil&Gas Storage and Transportation Engineering.China University of Petroleum.Shengli College,Dongying,Shandong,257061,China)
出处
《天然气与石油》
2019年第6期1-8,共8页
Natural Gas and Oil
基金
山东省博士后基金(170380)
东营市科技计划项目(2017KJCX08)
中国石油大学胜利学院春晖重大项目(KY201801)
山东省高等学校青创科技支持计划项目(2019KJA024)
关键词
BP
2040年
能源供需
展望
BP
Year 2040
Energy supply and demand
Outlook
