摘要
人工智能怎样才能促进经济增长和社会福利提升?通过拓展世代交替模型,构建传统物质和人工智能两部门生产模型,笔者发现:若政府不控制人工智能部门规模,长期经济发展会陷入停滞。在人工智能技术外生给定的情况下,若政府对人工智能企业征税,可以实现经济和社会福利的U型增长。以劳动密集型企业为主的国家比以资本密集型企业为主的国家更容易实现奇点跨越。为实现经济快速跨越奇点,政府可适当增加人工智能的资本投入,减少传统物质的资本投入。以劳动密集型企业为主的国家,在初始阶段应对人工智能尽量少征税,鼓励其发展,达到一定规模后再提高征税水平,以资本密集型企业为主的国家应控制人工智能规模。
This paper sheds light on how artificial intelligence promotes economic growth and social welfare.By expanding the overlapping generations model and developing a two-sector model of the traditional material and the artificial intelligence,we found that if the government does not control the scale of the artificial intelligence sector,the economy will stagnate in the long run.Under the assumption that the artificial intelligence technology is exogenous,if the government levies taxes on the artificial intelligence industries,the U-shape growth of economic development and social welfare can be achieved.For the countries dominated by labor-intensive industries they are easier to achieve economics singularity than those dominated by capital-intensive industries.In order to develope across the economic singularity quickly,the government can appropriately increase the capital input of artificial intelligence and reduce the investment in traditional material.Morever,the countries dominated by labor-intensive industries should levy as little taxes on artificial intelligence industry as possible in the initial stage to encourage its development,and raise taxes after they reaches a certain scale.However,the countries dominated by capital-intensive industries should control the scale of artificial intelligence industry.
作者
黄旭
董志强
HUANG Xu;DONG Zhi-qiang
出处
《中央财经大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第11期76-85,128,共11页
Journal of Central University of Finance & Economics
基金
教育部人文社会科学规划基金项目“劳动收入份额对就业和收入不平等的影响:理论与实证研究”(项目编号:14YJC790109)
国家自然科学基金项目“中国劳动收入份额决定的微观机制:基于转型背景和企业要素收入分配视角的理论和实证研究”(项目编号:71473089)
关键词
人工智能
经济增长
世代交替模型
税收
社会福利
Artificial intelligence
Economic growth
Overlapping generations model
Taxation
Social welfare
