摘要
基于中部六省1995—2014年教育经费与地区生产总值的时间序列数据,采用Granger因果检验法验证两者之间的因果关系,利用协整分析法分析两者间长期均衡关系,建立两者的误差修正模型以分析教育经费投入与地区生产总值之间的短期变动关系。实证结果表明,两者之间存在Granger因果关系;长期来看,中部地区教育投入每增加1%将促进地区生产总值增加0.8054%;短期内,中部地区教育经费投入每变动1%将带动地区生产总值变动0.7098%。
Based on the time series data of the education funding and gross regional product of the central six prov- inces from 1995 to 2014, this article uses Granger causality tests to verify the causal relationship between the two, uses co-integration analysis to analyze the long-term equilibrium relationship between them, and establishes the er- ror correction model to analyze short-term fluctuation relationship between them. The empirical results show that there is Granger causality relationship between them; in the long run, an 1% increase in education investment in the central regions is associated with a 0.8054% increase in regional GDP; in the short term, every 1% change in education investment will lead to a 0.7098% c hange in regional GDP.
出处
《东华理工大学学报(社会科学版)》
2017年第2期132-136,共5页
Journal of East China University of Technology(Social Science)
基金
江西省社科"十三五"规划项目"新常态下资本积累与经济增长的协调发展研究"(16YJ08)
江西省社科"十二五"规划项目"城市运动会举办的效益研究--以第七届城市运动会为例"(11TY09)
关键词
中部地区
教育投入
经济增长
误差修正模型
协整分析
the central region
education investment
economic growth
error correction model
co-integrationanalysis