摘要
文章主要利用第六次人口普查分县数据,从全国、大区域及城市层面全面分析中国人口迁移的变化趋势及空间格局。结果发现:(1)我国人口迁移总体规模呈现不断增长的趋势,迁移目的地在分布上以东部地区为主的格局没有改变,但中西部地区近年来出现了快速增长;(2)迁移人口的代际变化特征明显,新生代农民工的大量出现对未来城镇化的质量提出了更高要求;(3)迁移人口向地级及以上城市集聚,尤其是向大城市及特大城市集聚的现象显著,同时,小城镇在吸纳人口就近迁移方面发挥着积极作用;(4)城市的人口迁移活跃程度与其经济发展水平、行政等级等因素关系密切。未来,应重视人口迁移的结构性变化对城市发展提出的新要求,弱化城市的行政等级对人口迁移的影响,促进城市规模体系均衡发展。
Based on the sixth population census data and latest survey data, the paper makes a comprehensive analysis of the changing trend and spatial pattern of migration from the perspectives of nation, region and city. The analysis shows that： （ 1 ） compared with the period of the fifth population census, the overall size of migration is still showing an increasing trend. The eastern regions are still the priority in migrating population＇s choices, but the central and western regions grow rapidly; （2）the structural changes of generational differences in migration and the coming influence on urbanization are worth of in-depth study in the future; （3）there is a migration preference for prefecture-level cities, especially large and mega-cities in the distribution pattern, showing obvious spatial agglomeration tendency and hierarchical distribution structure; （4） the active degree of migration in a city is closely related to economic development and administrative level. In the end, the paper suggests indepth study on the structural changes and their potential influence on urbanization, weaking the influence of urban administrative levels on population migration and promoting balanced development of urban scale system.
出处
《城市与环境研究》
2016年第1期81-97,共17页
Urban and Environmental Studies
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目"推进城镇化的重点难点问题研究"(批准号:14ZDA026)
关键词
人口迁移
第六次人口普查数据
迁移规模
迁移流向
迁移
结构
migration
sixth population census
scale of migration
destination of migration
configuration of migration
