摘要
中国出口生产率悖论之谜是近几年学界研究的热点,也是难点,本文基于前人的研究基础,选取2001~2011年制造业28个行业的相关数据,通过各因素对国内外市场的影响程度来考察行业企业的国内外市场的选择问题。与以往的文献不同,本文对国内外贸易成本差异进行量化分析并纳入到计量模型中,实证结果表明,行业国内外贸易成本的差异是产生“生产率悖论”的一个原因,而加工贸易并不是产生“生产率悖论”的原因;劳动密集型行业和资本密集型行业都存在“生产率悖论”,虽然它们生产率悖论的门限值基本都在国内外贸易成本的差异值13左右,但是劳动密集型行业的“生产率悖论”要更为严重。要消除生产率悖论,可以通过降低国内贸易成本,进而增大国内外贸易成本的差异,这既有利于扩大内需,也会促进出口的正常化、常态化。“
This paper selects data of 2001-2011 from 28 manufacturing sectors to examine the choice of industries and enterpris- es by the degree of influence of various factors on the domestic and foreign markets. Unlike the previous literature, this paper made a quantitative analysis on the cost difference between domestic and foreign trade and incorporated the cost difference into the economet- ric model. The empirical results show that the cost differences in the industries between domestic and foreign trade are an significant reason for the "productivity paradox"; "productivity paradox" exists in both labor-intensive industries and capital-intensive industries, whose thresholds of the cost difference between domestic and foreign trade are both about 1/13, however, the former is more serious; To eliminate the productivity paradox, the government can try to increase the cost difference between domestic and foreign trade (the cost of domestic trade drops to 1/13 of that of foreign trade at least), which is conducive to the expansion of domestic demand as well as positive effect on exports.
出处
《山西财经大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第10期54-67,共14页
Journal of Shanxi University of Finance and Economics
基金
中南财经政法大学百篇优秀博士学位论文培育项目资助
关键词
国内外贸易成本差异
行业要素密集度
生产率悖论
出口选择
cost difference between domestic and foreign trade, industry elements intensity, productivity paradox, export choice