摘要
利用中尺度天气图分析方法,结合雷达资料分析了2010年9月1日发生在陕西中部的一次强对流天气过程。结果表明:(1)在弱天气尺度系统影响下,天气尺度分析不足以判断强天气发生的潜势条件;(2)探空资料的中尺度及其综合图分析能够清楚地反映冷暖平流、干线、湿舌、显著流线及切变线的位置,是强对流天气分析的有效手段;(3)08:00地面温度、露点温度能较好地指示关中以北黄土高原上强对流发生的潜势条件,通过14:00地面资料加密分析,能清楚地看出地面冷锋的位置及冷暖、干湿空气的交汇区域,有利于确定强对流发生区域。(4)新生对流云主要位于地面干线附近,下垫面对对流云初生也有较大的影响。尽管陕西西南部有较多的新生对流云,但云顶延展高度较低,产生闪电、雷暴和冰雹等天气的几率较小。(5)对流云发展过程中形成的强天气指示回波对预警有重要的作用,此次冰雹天气发展过程中形成明显的"V"形缺口、回波穹窿及上冲云顶,中层与下层强回波中心的水平位移超过1km,45dBz强回波延伸高度超过7km,这些指标对强对流天气预警有较好的指示意义。
Using the mesoscale weather chart analysis technique and Doppler radar observation data, the mesoscale features of severe convective weather process in middle Shaanxi Province on 1 September 2010 are analyzed. The obtained results are as follows. （1） The synoptic-scale analysis can＇t well confirm the potential conditions of severe convective weather under the influence of weak synoptic-scale weather system. （2） The mesoscale and comprehensive analysis of radiosonde data can clearly reflect temperature advection, dry line, moisture tongue, significantly streamline, which is an effective means of analysis of severe convective weather. （3）The surface and dew point temperature at 08..00 can well indicate potential conditions of severe convective weather trigger in Loess Plateau in the north of Shaanxi, while the position of surface cold front and intersection region of clod and warm air or wet and dry air can be well shown by analyzing 14：00 surface data, which can help to determine the exact region of severe convective trigger. （4） Dry line and terrain have significant effects on convective cloud initiation, which mainly lies near un- derlying. Although more convection cloud triggered in southwestern Shaanxi, but cloud top height is lower than other region, so it has little possibility that lightning, hailstorm and thunderstorm are triggered. （5） The formated radar echo in the process of convection cloud developing plays an important role in severe weather warning. There is ＇V＇ --shaped gap, echo fornix and overshooting cloud top in process of the hail cloud development, and the central horizontal displacement between the middle level strong echo and the low level one is more than 1 km. The 45 dBz strong echo extended height in the storm is over 7.0 km. All of these metrics above are good indications of the severe convective weather warning.
出处
《高原气象》
CSCD
北大核心
2013年第1期278-289,共12页
Plateau Meteorology
基金
陕西省气象局预报员专项(2012Y-6)
公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201306006)
中国气象局云水资源监测与系统建设项目
陕西省气象局预报员专项(2013Y-7)共同资助
关键词
强对流天气
冰雹
中尺度综合图
雷达探测
Severe convective weather
Hailstorm
Mesoscale composite chart
Radar observation
