摘要
影响结构可靠度的不确定性因素很多,人为失误是其主要的不确定性影响因素,很多建筑结构的失效均可归因于人为失误。故有必要对其人因失误发生的规律进行研究。但由于施工中人为失误发生的复杂性,使得近几年来的研究中定性分析多、定量分析少。其难点之一是在施工过程中人为失误发生概率的合理地确定。本文应用层次分析法(AHP)并结合成功似然指数法(SLIM)来确定施工过程中人为失误发生的概率。该方法运算的结果合理、客观。
Structural reliability is affected by many of uncertain factors which come from different sources. In addition to these random deviations, Human error is the most important factor influencing structural safety. Large numbers of facts have shown that structural failures may be caused by the gross errors due to the human error. So it is important to estimate the human error probability （HEP） in construction. In recent times there are more qualitative analysis and less quantitative analysis in the human error because of its complexity. The method for estimating the human error probability, namely AHP-SLIM is introduced in this paper. The type of HEP estimation uses an analytic bierarchy process, which quantifies the subjective judgment and confirms the consistency of collected data. The method also uses the process of expert judgment within the success likelihood index method （ SLIM）.
出处
《建筑科学》
北大核心
2010年第1期71-75,38,共6页
Building Science
