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Reliability Analysis of Multi-State Repairable System with Dynamic Transition Probabilities

Reliability Analysis of Multi-State Repairable System with Dynamic Transition Probabilities
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摘要 Inadequate maintenance decisions lead to incremental overall costs. In order to minimize costs in maintenance of the multi-state repairable system, we model a preventive maintenance(PM) scheme of the multistate repairable system using non-Markov process. The periodically decreasing reliability model of the non-Markov dynamic system with dynamic transition probabilities is established to satisfy the probability change. The diesel engine system is taken as an example to illustrate the model. The reliability of the diesel engine is analyzed and its PM scheme is worked out. RENO software is used to simulate the diesel engine system. The maintenance cost of components and the optimal PM interval data of the system are obtained by using the minimal average cost as the objective function. The adaptability of PM is judged, and the optimal PM scheme is presented. Inadequate maintenance decisions lead to incremental overall costs. In order to minimize costs in maintenance of the multi-state repairable system, we model a preventive maintenance(PM) scheme of the multistate repairable system using non-Markov process. The periodically decreasing reliability model of the non-Markov dynamic system with dynamic transition probabilities is established to satisfy the probability change. The diesel engine system is taken as an example to illustrate the model. The reliability of the diesel engine is analyzed and its PM scheme is worked out. RENO software is used to simulate the diesel engine system. The maintenance cost of components and the optimal PM interval data of the system are obtained by using the minimal average cost as the objective function. The adaptability of PM is judged, and the optimal PM scheme is presented.
出处 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 2016年第5期615-620,共6页 上海交通大学学报(英文版)
基金 the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.61164009 and 61463021) the Science Foundation of Education Commission of Jiangxi Province(No.GJJ14420) the Young Scientists Object Program of Jiangxi Province(No.20144BCB23037) the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangxi Province(No.20132BAB206026)
关键词 non-Markov process multi-state repairable system preventive maintenance(PM) minimal average cost dynamic transition probability non-Markov process multi-state repairable system preventive maintenance(PM) minimal average cost dynamic transition probability
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