摘要
探讨数字普惠金融对农业净碳汇效率的影响,对于丰富数字金融理论体系和促进农业低碳发展提质增效具有理论与现实意义。本文基于2011—2020年全国30个省市级数据,采用Malmquist指数方法测算碳排放效率,运用面板门槛模型探究数字普惠金融对农业净碳汇效率的直接影响,采用逐步回归法探究以技术创新为中介的间接影响,鉴于地理区位和政策倾斜等原因,进一步对其影响效应的异质性进行研究。研究发现,数字普惠金融对农业净碳汇效率具有正向促进作用,且作用大小在数字普惠金融的不同门槛值区间存在差异性,在数字普惠金融低值区的影响效应大于高值区的影响效应,两者间存在非线性关系,技术创新是影响农业净碳汇效率的重要作用渠道。数字普惠金融与农业净碳汇效率的影响作用存在时间段差异,现阶段的正向促进作用明显高于2016年之前。经济发展低水平地区的数字普惠金融影响效应高于经济发展高水平地区。本文提出,加强数字金融服务,促进数字普惠金融在农业领域的推广;缩小区域发展差异,实施异质性治理策略适度规范数字金融监管;通过财政补贴等方式鼓励农民和农业企业采用低碳农业技术和管理方法,提高净碳汇效率等建议。
Exploring the impact of digital inclusive finance on agricultural net carbon sink efficiency has theoretical and practical significance for enriching the theoretical system of digital finance and promoting the quality and efficiency of agricultural low-carbon development.Based on the data of 30 provinces and municipalities in China from 2011 to 2020,the Malmquist index method is used to measure the carbon emission efficiency,the panel threshold model is used to explore the direct impact of digital inclusive finance on the efficiency of agricultural net carbon sink,and the stepwise regression method is used to explore the indirect impact of technological innovation as an intermediary.In view of geographical location and policy inclination,the heterogeneity of its impact effect is further studied.Digital inclusive finance has a positive effect on the efficiency of agricultural net carbon sinks,and the effect is different in different threshold ranges of digital inclusive finance.The effect in the low value area of digital inclusive finance is greater than that in the high value area.There is a nonlinear relationship between the two.Technological innovation is an important channel to affect the efficiency of agricultural net carbon sinks.There are time differences in the impact of digital inclusive finance and agricultural net carbon sink efficiency,and the positive promotion effect at this stage is significantly higher than that before 2016.The impact of digital inclusive finance in regions with low economic development is higher than that in regions with high economic development.It is proposed to strengthen digital financial services and promote the promotion of digital inclusive finance in the agricultural field;reduce regional development differences and implement heterogeneous governance strategies to appropriately regulate digital financial supervision;through financial subsidies and other ways to encourage farmers and agricultural enterprises to adopt low-carbon agricultural technology and management methods,improve the efficiency of net carbon sinks and other recommendations.
作者
钱力
张轲
宋俊秀
Li Qian;Ke Zhang;Junxiu Song(School of Economics,Anhui University of Finance&Economics;School of Economics and Management,Nanjing Agricultural University;School of Finance,Anhui University of Finance&Economics)
出处
《经济学报》
CSSCI
2024年第4期123-149,共27页
China Journal of Economics
基金
安徽省高校科研计划重大项目“劳动力流动对城乡融合发展的影响研究”(项目编号:2022AH040085)
安徽省新时代育人质量工程项目(研究生教育)“数字普惠金融对农业净碳汇效率的影响研究”(项目编号:2023xscx082)的资助。
