摘要
近年来,在一系列国家发展战略和经济地理格局转型背景下,中国城、镇和乡之间的联系正变得愈发紧密,带来更加多元的人口分布格局。但目前仍鲜有研究同时涉及城、镇和乡三类地域空间分析人口分布在不同发展程度地区的演变规律及机制。因此,基于第六、七次全国人口普查数据,论文探索了2010—2020年江苏省城、镇和乡人口分布的时空演变,并揭示了城—镇—乡人口分布的影响因素。研究发现:①2010—2020年,江苏省仍保持着“南密北疏”的梯度格局,但常住人口和流动人口规模在城、镇和乡三类地域类型空间的变化已部分跳出这一格局。②流动人口占常住人口比重的变化在三类地域空间存在明显差异,表现为该比重在城区普遍增长,在镇的增幅明显地区主要集中在苏中和苏北,而在乡村有所增长地区主要分布在苏南。③对城—镇—乡人口构成的综合探查发现,尽管常住人口在城—镇—乡共同增长的趋势不明显,但超过半数县市流动人口占常住人口比重呈现城—镇—乡共同增长特征;苏中和苏北城—镇—乡流动人口综合吸引力指数的增幅甚至超过苏南。④政府公共投入和地区工业发展显著正向影响城—镇—乡流动人口综合吸引力,该影响在发达地区和工业基础优势区有更强效应,而产业结构的高级化仅在苏南有正向作用。基于人口在城—镇—乡三类地域空间分布演变和影响因素的分析,研究为城乡融合和区域协调发展提出了建议。
In recent years,under the background of a series of national development strategies and the transformation of economic geography patterns,the connections between cities,towns,and rural areas in China have become increasingly close,bringing about a more diversified population distribution than before.However,there are still few studies that simultaneously involve the spatial analysis of cities,towns,and rural areas,as well as the evolution patterns and underlying mechanism of population distribution in regions with different levels of development.Based on the data of the sixth and seventh national censuses(provincial data of Jiangsu Province),this study explored the spatiotemporal evolution of city,town,and rural population distribution and revealed the influencing factors of the comprehensive attraction of city-town-rural areas to the floating population in Jiangsu Province from 2010 to 2020.The results show that:1)In the past 10 years,Jiangsu Province maintained a population spatial distribution pattern of dense in the south and sparse in the north,but the changes in the size of the resident population and floating population have shown noticeable geographical differences,which is manifested in the continued high growth rate of resident population in south Jiangsu,but the high growth rate of floating population is concentrated in central and north Jiangsu.2)In the past 10 years,the high-value area of the ratio of floating population to resident population was still concentrated in south Jiangsu.The proportion increased in all cities and some towns in central and north Jiangsu,as well as slightly in some rural areas in south Jiangsu.3)Comprehensive exploration of changes in the population distribution of the city-town-rural areas has found that although the trend of common growth of resident population in the three types of space was not obvious,the ratio of floating population to resident population in more than half of counties and cities showed the characteristics of city-town-rural area common growth.The increase in the comprehensive index of city-town-rural area attraction to floating population in central and north Jiangsu exceeded that of south Jiangsu.4)Public affair investment of the government and regional industrial development had a significant positive impact on the comprehensive attraction of city-town-rural areas to floating population,which had a stronger effect in economically developed areas and areas with stronger industrial base.In contrast,advanced industrial structure only had a positive effect in south Jiangsu.Based on the correlation between the change in population distribution and the level of regional urbanization,as well as the analysis of its spatial distribution characteristics and influencing factors in city-town-rural areas,this study put forward specific suggestions for the urban-rural integrated development of the population in different counties and cities.
作者
汤爽爽
周婧
许琪琪
林李月
邓颖慧
TANG Shuangshuang;ZHOU Jing;XU Qiqi;LIN Liyue;DENG Yinghui(School of Geography,Nanjing Normal University,Nanjing 210023,China;Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application,Nanjing 210023,China;School of Economics,Beijing Institute of Technology,Beijing 100081,China;School of Geographical Sciences,Fujian Normal University,Fuzhou 350117,China;Key Laboratory for Humid Subtropical Eco-geographical Processes of the Ministry of Education,Fujian Normal University,Fuzhou 350117,China)
出处
《地理科学进展》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2024年第5期993-1007,共15页
Progress in Geography
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(42071179,71904015)
江苏省社会科学基金项目(23SHB003)
北京理工大学“北理智库”项目(2023CX13033)。
关键词
城—镇—乡
人口分布
增减分化
江苏省
city-town-rural areas
population distribution
increase
decrease differentiation
Jiangsu Province
