摘要
中国的劳动力迁移存在“流入而留不下”的问题。在数字经济蓬勃发展的背景下,探究城市数字经济发展水平与流动人口居留决策的关系对推进以人为核心的新型城镇化有重要价值。采用主成分分析法合成数字经济综合发展指数,并与中国流动人口动态监测调查(CMDS)数据相匹配,基于Probit模型系统考察数字经济发展水平对流动人口永久居留意愿的影响及机制。结果显示,城市数字经济发展对流动人口永久居留意愿有显著的挤出效应。异质性分析发现,数字经济发展对永久居留意愿的影响在不同流动人口群体和不同城市区位间存在明显差异。传导机制分析发现,数字经济的发展通过降低流动人口社会融合来挤出其永久居留意愿。研究结论有助于从社会融合视角验证数字经济对流动人口居留意愿的影响,为推动流动人口市民化提供理论依据。
China’s labor migration suffers from the problem of“inflow but not retention”.In the context of the booming development of digital economy,it is valuable to explore the relationship between the level of urban digital economy development and the residence decision of migrant population in order to promote the new urbanization centered on human beings.The comprehensive development index of digital economy is synthesized using principal component analysis and matched with the data of National Migrant Population Dynamic Surveillance(CMDS)to systematically investigate the impact of the level of digital economy development on the migrant population’s intention to reside permanently and its mechanism of action based on the Probit model.The results show that urban digital economic development has a significant crowding-out effect on the mobile population’s willingness to stay permanently.Heterogeneity analysis found that the impact of digital economic development on the willingness to reside permanently varies significantly among different mobile population groups and different urban locations.The analysis of transmission mechanism finds that the development of digital economy crowds out the permanent residence intention of the migrant population by reducing their social integration.The above findings help to verify the impact of the digital economy on the willingness to stay of the migrant population from the perspective of social integration,and provide a theoretical basis for the promotion of migrant population democratization.
作者
鞠兴武
Ju Xingwu(Party School of Jinhua Municipal Committee of C.P.C,Jinhua 321000,China)
出处
《科技创业月刊》
2024年第6期109-116,共8页
Journal of Entrepreneurship in Science & Technology
关键词
数字经济
流动人口居留意愿
社会融合
新型城镇化
Digital Economy
Migrants’Settlement Intention
Social Integration
New Type of Urbanization
