摘要
基于白山地区蜜汁葡萄主要产地临江市2018——2020年蜜汁葡萄的产量数据和种植区同期气象站观测资料,对白山市蜜汁葡萄特色气象服务指标和产量预测进行研究。确定了白山市蜜汁葡萄7个生育期及对应时间,以及各生育期包括积温、平均气温、平均地温、降水量、日照时数气象要素在内的适宜气象指标,并建立了蜜汁葡萄产量预测模型并通过回代检验。
Based on the production data of honey grapes from Linjiang City,the main production area of honey grapes in the Baishan area,from 2018 to 2020,and observation data from meteorological stations in the planting area during the same period,investigated the characteristic meteorological service indicators and yield prediction of honey grapes in Baishan City.Through research,7 growth stages and corresponding times of honey grape in Baishan City were determined,as well as suitable meteorological indicators for each growth stage,including accumulated temperature,average temperature,average ground temperature,precipitation,and sunshine meteorological elements.A prediction model for honey grape yield was established and tested through backpropagation.
作者
郭俊廷
胥珈珈
崔忠强
王飞
姜世楠
Guo Jun-ting(Baishan Meteorological Bureau,Jilin Province,Baishan,Jilin 134300)
出处
《农业灾害研究》
2023年第12期52-54,共3页
Journal of Agricultural Catastrophology
关键词
蜜汁葡萄
生育期
气象服务指标
产量预测模型
Honey grape
Growth period
Meteorological service indicators
Yield forecasting model
