摘要
本文划分政策制定和执行两个阶段,串联起“决策层合作政策偏好→最终合作政策偏好→能源贸易与投资合作”的逻辑链条,通过构建偏最小二乘法结构方程(PLS-SEM)模型,验证最终合作政策偏好所起到的中介效应,并分析国内和体系层面的跨层次因素在其中的调节作用。结果发现,周边国家决策层合作政策偏好与最终合作政策偏好在化石能源合作上表现得大致协同,但在新能源合作方面表现出不匹配的情况。在跨层次因素方面,地缘大国竞争、对华贸易依赖、政府治理水平、对华文化认同、社会行为体对华即时情感等因素在政策偏好影响周边国家与华能源合作的过程中起到显著调节作用。
This article constructs a logical chain of“decision makers→cooperation policy preferences→final cooperation policy preferences→energy trade and investment cooperation”from the stages of policy formulation and implementation.By utilizing the Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling(PLS-SEM)model,it analyzes the mediating effects of the final cooperation policy preferences and the moderating effects of cross-level factors.The cooperation policy preferences between decision makers of neighboring countries and the final cooperation policy preferences show a general coordination in fossil fuel energy cooperation,but exhibit a mismatch in renewable energy cooperation.In terms of cross-level factors,factors such as competition among major geopolitical powers,dependence on trade with China,government governance level,cultural identification with China,and immediate emotional responses of social entities towards China play a significant moderating role in influencing policy preferences and energy cooperation between neighboring countries and China.
作者
杨子杰
黄栋
YANG Zijie;HUANG Dong
出处
《经济问题探索》
CSSCI
北大核心
2024年第2期49-64,共16页
Inquiry Into Economic Issues
关键词
能源合作
政策偏好
政策制定
政策执行
PLS-SEM模型
Energy cooperation
Policy preferences
Policy formulation
Policy implementation
PLS-SEM model
