摘要
在新经济地理学经典分析框架下建立理论模型,通过数理经济分析方法,讨论发达地区产业结构服务化对周边地区人力资本集聚产生的影响。采用空间向量自回归(SpVAR)模型,结合各地区就业人员平均工资数据验证理论假说,发现北京产业结构服务化对天津、上海对江苏和浙江、广东对福建的人力资本集聚影响,主要表现为负向的空间溢出效应,即虹吸效应,地区间收入水平接近;北京产业结构服务化对河北、内蒙古、山西、河南、辽宁,上海对除江苏、浙江以外的长江经济带7省1市,广东对江西、贵州、湖南的人力资本集聚作用,主要表现为正向的空间溢出效应,即示范效应,地区间收入水平存在差距。根据数理经济分析与实证分析结果,提出以示范效应带动周边地区人力资本集聚,改善虹吸效应对周边地区人力资本集聚的不利影响,发挥政府、企业、行业组织等多方主体在人力资本建设中的作用等意见建议,以期实现人力资本的合理集聚,在产业结构服务化的过程中有效提升人力资本。
Based on the classical analysis framework of new Economic Geography,a theoretical model was established,and the impact of industrial structure servitization caused by developed regions on human capital agglomeration in surrounding areas was discussed.An empirical study was conducted by combining the results generated by spatial vector autoregressive model(SpVAR)with the provincial average wage data. It is found that industrial structure servitization in Beijing has a negative impact,namely siphonic effect,on the human capital agglomeration of Tianjin whose income level is close to Beijing. Same conclusion was drawn when analyzing the impact of industrial structure servitization in Shanghai on human capital agglomeration of Jiangsu and Zhejiang,and the impact of Guangdong on Fujian. On the contrary,it is found that industrial structure servitization in Beijing has a positive impact,namely demonstration effect,on the human capital agglomeration of Hebei,Inner Mongolia,Shanxi,Henan and Liaoning. What is more,there is a large income level gap between Beijing and the five developing provinces. Same conclusion was drawn when analyzing the impact of industrial structure servitization in Shanghai on human capital agglomeration of the provinces in Yangtz River Economic Belt except Jiangsu,Zhejiang,and the impact of Guangdong on Jiangxi,Guizhou,and Hunan. Suggestions including strengthening the demonstration effect,eliminating the siphonic effect and giving full play to the role of government,enterprises,and industry organizations were made in order to promote human capital development in China.
作者
泥霓
Ni Ni(Graduate School,University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 102488,China)
出处
《技术经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2023年第1期64-76,共13页
Journal of Technology Economics
基金
山东省社科规划项目“山东省制造业隐形冠军位势跃迁路径与动态培育策略研究”(21CJJJ07)
2019年度山东省政府公派出国留学项目。
关键词
产业结构服务化
产业转移
人力资本集聚
空间向量自回归
industrial structure servitization
industrial transfer
human capital agglomeration
spatial vector autoregressive model
