摘要
基于县域尺度下第七次人口普查数据,构建养老服务资源配置综合指数,利用泰尔指数、空间错位指数以及地理探测器,从匹配性角度探讨重庆市主城都市区人口老龄化和养老服务资源配置的协调关系及其驱动机制。结果表明:1)2020年重庆市主城都市区人口老龄化系数与老年人口数量的空间分布特征基本一致,呈现从中心城区到主城新区由内至外增加的圈层结构特征;2)2020年重庆市主城都市区养老服务资源配置空间分布不均衡,中心城区形成养老服务资源配置评价高地,主城新区形成养老服务资源配置评价低值环;3)2020年重庆市主城都市区人口老龄化与养老服务资源配置存在空间错位现象,中心城区资源过剩与主城新区资源不足的矛盾突出;4)政府政策、居民收入水平以及产业结构的区域差异对养老服务资源的协调发展具有显著的正向影响,而市场经济规模的扩大、家庭规模的缩小以及人口结构的变动未能有效推动养老服务资源协调发展。
As population aging continues to diverge with spatial and temporal evolution,problems such as mismatches between the elderly population and elderly service resources,inadequate utilization,and unreasonable planning layout are increasingly highlighted,and scientific planning for the allocation of elderly service resources is pertinent.Revealing the coordinated relationship and driving mechanism between population aging and elderly service resource allocation at the current stage is the first step in formulating and implementing the plan.Therefore,this study considers Chongqing's main city metropolitan area,where the demand for elderly services is relatively strong,as its research object.Based on the data from the seventh population census and the current regional planning of Chongqing,the study area was divided into the central city and the main city new area,based on which the population aging coefficient and the number of the elderly population were used to analyze the spatial distribution characteristics of population aging in the Chongqing's main city metropolitan area and construct a comprehensive index of elderly service resource allocation.Combined with the Thiel index to explore the balanced characteristics of elderly service resource allocation,the spatial mismatch index and Geodetector were used to explore and analyze the spatial mismatch phenomenon and driving mechanism of population aging and elderly service resource allocation in the study area.The results show that,first,the spatial distribution characteristics of the population aging coefficient and the size of the elderly population in the main city metropolitan area of Chongqing in 2020 are consistent,showing the characteristics of a circular structure decreasing from the inner central city to the outer main city new area.Second,the spatial distribution of the elderly service resource allocation in the main city metropolitan area of Chongqing in 2020 is uneven,with the central urban area forming a hotspot for elderly service resource allocation evaluation,while the main city new area forms a low-value ring for elderly service resource allocation evaluation.Third,there is a spatial mismatch between population aging and elderly service resource allocation in the Chongqing's main urban metropolitan area in 2020,and the contradiction between excess resources in the central urban area and insufficient resources in the new urban area is prominent.Fourth,regional differences in government policies,residents'income levels,population structure,and industrial structure significantly affect the coordinated development of senior care service resources,while the expansion of the market economy,the shrinking of household size,and the intensification of population aging fail to effectively promote the coordinated development of senior care service resources.This study explores the intrinsic connection between population aging and elderly service resource allocation and its driving mechanism from a matching perspective.It provides a scientific basis for promoting the coordinated development of population aging and elderly service resource allocation.
作者
韦鑫
尹珂
Wei Xin;Yin Ke(School of Geography and Tourism,Chongqing Normal University,Chongqing 401331,China)
出处
《热带地理》
CSCD
北大核心
2022年第12期2020-2030,共11页
Tropical Geography
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(20BJL102)。
关键词
人口老龄化
养老服务资源
空间格局
空间错位
驱动机制
重庆市
population aging
elderly service resource
spatial pattern
spatial dislocation
driving mechanism
Chongqing City
