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非合作博弈视角下集体林权纠纷影响因素及异质性分析——基于福建省445份农户调查数据 被引量:3

Analysis on Influencing Factors and Heterogeneity of Collective Forest Tenure Conflicts from the Perspective of Non-cooperative Game——Based on 445 Rural Household Samples in Fujian Province
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摘要 如何解决集体林权纠纷,关系到福建省集体林权制度改革的成效。文章利用2017年福建省集体林权改革监测调查数据,按照分层抽样方法分别从6个地级市中选取10个县,随后从10个县中选取5个行政村作为调研区域,最终回收有效问卷共计445份。基于非合作博弈理论视角,认为集体林权纠纷是农户与农户之间、农户与村集体(基层政府)之间关于利益分配的博弈过程。同时,在调研数据基础上,通过构建Logit模型,对福建省集体林权纠纷的影响因素进行实证分析。结果表明:户主年龄、是否参加联户经营、是否有林权抵押贷款三个因素对集体林权纠纷的产生具有显著负向影响;家庭存款、家庭林地面积、家庭林地块数、是否有承包合同、是否有林业补贴、是否主动了解过仲裁问题则对集体林权纠纷的产生具有显著正向影响。为了解决可能存在的"稀有事件偏差",研究利用"补对数-对数模型"进行修正,结果表明集体林权纠纷的"稀有事件偏差"并不明显。此外,为了探讨在不同年龄、不同地区和不同收入情况下,福建省集体林权纠纷的影响因素是否存在差异,对集体林权纠纷影响因素的异质性进行了检验。检验结果表明,农户集体林权纠纷影响因素存在年龄异质性、地区异质性和收入异质性特征。研究结论将为相关决策者在制定和解决集体林权纠纷问题的政策措施方面提供参考。 How to resolve collective forest tenure conflicts is related to the effectiveness of the reform of the collective forest rights system in Fujian Province.This paper used the 2017 monitoring survey data of collective forest rights reform in Fujian Province,according to the stratified sampling method,10 counties were selected from 6 cities,and then 5 administrative villages from the 10 counties were selected as the survey area.Finally,a total of 445 valid questionnaires were collected.Based on the perspective of non-cooperative game theory,the paper believed that collective forest tenure conflicts were a game process between farmers,farmers and the village collective(basic government)regarding the distribution of benefits.On the basis of survey data,through the construction of Logit empirical analysis model,the influencing factors of collective forest tenure conflicts in Fujian Province were studied.The results showed that:the age of the household,whether it is a joint household operation and whether there is a forest tenure mortgage loan has a significant negative impact on collective forest tenure conflicts;family deposits,family forest area,number of family forest land,whether there is a contract,whether there is forest subsidy,whether the arbitration issue has been actively understood has a significant positive impact on collective forest tenure conflicts.In order to solve the possible"rare event bias",the study used the"complementary log-log model"to modify,the results showed that the rare event bias of collective forest tenure conflicts was not obvious.At the same time,in order to explore whether there are differences in the influencing factors of collective forest tenure conflicts in Fujian Province under different ages,different regions and different income situations,the heterogeneity of the influencing factors of collective forest tenure conflicts was tested,and the test results showed that the influencing factors of collective forest tenure conflicts of farmers had the characteristics of age heterogeneity,regional heterogeneity and income heterogeneity.The research conclusions could provide reference for relevant decision makers in formulating and resolving collective forest tenure conflicts.
作者 程秋旺 谢晓佳 洪燕真 俞维防 陈钦 于赟 宋美琼 Cheng Qiuwang;Xie Xiaojia;Hong Yanzhen;Yu Weifang;Chen Qin;Yu Yun;Song Meiqiong(School of Economics,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,Fuzhou 350002;School of Management,Fujian Agriculture andForestry University,Fuzhou 350002)
出处 《林业经济》 北大核心 2020年第11期3-17,共15页 Forestry Economics
基金 国家社会科学基金重大项目“全面深化改革背景下的完善农村集体林权制度改革研究”(编号:16ZDA024) 国家自然科学基金面上项目“农户行为响应视角下的生态公益林补偿机制研究:基于框架田野实验和追踪调查的实证”(编号:72073029) 国家级大学生创新创业训练计划项目“新型农业经营主体培育视角下大学生返乡创业政策支持的绩效分析”(编号:111ZC6032)。
关键词 集体林权纠纷 影响因素 非合作博弈 福建省 异质性 collective forest tenure conflicts the influencing factors non-cooperative game Fujian Province heterogeneity
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