摘要
运用贝叶斯算法和灰色预测等方法,对历届奥运会男子100米项目的奖牌分布和未来成绩进行分析、预测,以对国内该项目的训练、参赛、国际定位等提供参考.奥运会男子100米项目的奖牌争夺将变得越来越激烈,美洲国家将继续称霸该项目,美国和牙买加将形成“两强对立”局面;奥运会该项目的竞技水平在不断提升,从东京奥运会开始,便有望打破奥运纪录,单从成绩看,中国极有可能在东京实现该项目的突破.
By using Bayesian algorithm and grey prediction method,this paper analyses and predicts the medal distribution and medal winning results of men's 100-meter track and field events in previous Olympic Games,which has reference significance for domestic training,competition and international positioning in this event.The results show that the competition for medals in men's 100-metre track and field events in the Olympic Games will become more and more intense,the American countries will continue to dominate the event,and the United States and Jamaica will form a"two-strong antagonism"situation;the level of competition of this project has been constantly improving,starting from the Tokyo Olympic Games,it is expected to break the Olympic record,from the results alone,China is very likely to achieve the project in Tokyo.Breakthroughs.
作者
颜善青
赵一平
YAN Shan-qing;ZHAO Yi-ping(College of Physical Education,Huaibei Normal University,Huaibei 235000,China)
出处
《西北民族大学学报（自然科学版）》
2019年第3期88-94,共7页
Journal of Northwest Minzu University(Natural Science)
基金
安徽省教育厅质量工程重大项目“立德树人视角下高校足球学院人才联合培养模式的研究”(2017jyxm0209)
关键词
贝叶斯算法
灰色预测
男子100米
突破
Bayesian algorithm
Grey prediction
Men's 100 meters
Breakthrough
