摘要
在分析低碳试点政策的实施背景及其影响外商直接投资理论机制的基础上,选取2004-2015年中国地级市的面板数据,以低碳试点政策作为准自然实验,使用双重差分法检验了低碳试点政策对中国16个省份197个地级市外商直接投资的影响。研究发现:①低碳试点政策的实施并不是外商直接投资的绊脚石,中国在实施低碳试点政策的过程中会显著促进外商直接投资;②由于城市等级存在差异,低碳试点政策对外商直接投资的影响也有所不同,随着城市等级的上升,低碳试点政策的实施对外商直接投资的促进作用也会显著上升,但当城市等级上升到省会城市时,这种促进作用会有所下降;③低碳试点政策对外商直接投资的影响存在地区差异,其会显著促进中部和东部地区的外商直接投资,但会抑制西部地区的外商直接投资。为此,在中国经济由高速发展向高质量发展转变的重要阶段,地方政府应进一步扩大低碳试点政策的实施范围,积极利用现有的政策工具,如申报低碳试点城市,进而找到环境保护与引入外商直接投资之间的平衡点。同时,中国在制定环境政策时应切忌走入盲目实施的误区,针对不同城市的发展情况和地理位置情况,应分阶段实施低碳试点政策,同时要避免对所有地区设立同样的标准,针对不同的地区应给予不同的优惠,设立不同的碳强度下降目标,最终吸引外商直接投资。
Based on the analysis of the implementation background of the low-carbon pilot policy and its theoretical mechanism affecting foreign direct investment,this paper selects the panel data of prefecture-level cities in China from 2004 to 2015,and uses the low-carbon pilot policy as a quasi-natural experiment.The difference-in-difference method is used to test the impact of environmental regulation on foreign direct investment in 197 prefecture-level cities of China.The results show:①The implementation of low-carbon pilot policy will significantly promote the increase of foreign direct investment.②Due to differences in city levels,the impact of lowcarbon pilot policy on foreign direct investment is also different.As the city level rises,the implementation of low-carbon pilot policy will also significantly increase the foreign direct investment,but when the city level belongs to a provincial city,this promotion will decline.③There are regional differences in the impact of the low carbon pilot policy on foreign direct investment,which will significantly promote foreign direct investment in the central and eastern regions,but will inhibit foreign direct investment in the western region.Therefore,in the important stage of China’s economic transition from high-speed development to high-quality development,local governments should further expand the scope of the low carbon pilot policy,use existing environmental regulation tools,such as declaring low-carbon pilot cities,and then find the balance between environmental protection and the introduction of foreign direct investment.At the same time,China should avoid the misunderstanding of blind implementation when formulating environmental policies.In view of the development and geographical location of different cities,we should implement a low-carbon pilot policy in phases,while avoiding setting the same standards for all regions.The regions should be given different concessions,set different carbon intensity reduction targets,and ultimately attract foreign direct investment.
作者
龚梦琪
刘海云
姜旭
GONG Meng-qi;LIU Hai-yun;JIANG Xu(School of Economics,Huazhong University of Sciencc and Technology,Wuhan Hubei 430074,China;Colleee of Public Manaaement,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan Hubei 430074,China)
出处
《中国人口·资源与环境》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2019年第6期50-57,共8页
China Population,Resources and Environment
基金
中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目“双向FDI(对外直接投资)的环境效应研究”(批准号:2017WKZDJC008)
国家社会科学基金项目“我国对外直接投资的产业转移效应及对策研究”(批准号:14BJY088)
关键词
低碳试点政策
外商直接投资
双重差分法
low-carbon pilot policy
foreign direct investment
difference-in-difference method
