摘要
选用2005-2014年中国省际面板数据,测算中国大陆30个省区人均CO_2排放量,并利用核密度估计法对旅游发展和碳排放进行描述,最后构建空间杜宾模型分析旅游专业化水平等因素对人均CO_2排放量的影响.研究结果表明:(1)我国碳排放分布并非随机的,而是在空间上表现出较强的空间聚集性,存在明显的空间溢出效应;(2)旅游专业化水平、人均旅游消费、旅游接待人次以及产业结构等均通过显著性水平检验,是影响我国各省区旅游业碳排放的重要因素;(3)旅游专业化水平的提高及产业结构的优化升级对人均CO_2排放量有明显的抑制作用,人均旅游消费与旅游接待人次对本省区的人均CO_2排放量有显著正向促进作用,但对邻近省区有负向的抑制作用,出口依存度正向影响人均CO_2排放量,但效果并不显著.
This paper using the provincial panel data of China during2005-2014,estimates30provinces'per CO2emissions in China and using the kernel density estimation method describes the development of tourism and carbon emissions,finally,analyzes the relationship between tourism development and carbon emissions by construct the spatial Dubin model.The results show that:(1)China's carbon emissions distribution is not random,but in space showed strong spatial aggregation,there is obvious spatial spillover effect;(2)The tourism professional level,per capita tourism consumption,tourists and industrial structure through a significant test,there are important factors affecting the carbon emission of tourism in the provinces and autonomous regions of China;(3)Optimization to improve the level of tourism professional level and upgrading of industrial structure has an obvious inhibitory effect on per CO2emissions,per capita tourism consumption and tourists have significant positive impact on per CO2emissions of the provinces,but have negative effects on neighboring provinces,export dependence of positive impact per CO2emission,but not significantly.
作者
夏莉惠
陈勤昌
蒋莉
XIA Li-hui;CHEN Qin-chang;JIANG Li(School of Tourism, Hunan Normal University, Changsha, 410081, China)
出处
《泰山学院学报》
2017年第6期19-26,共8页
Journal of Taishan University
基金
湖南省教育厅科学研究重点项目(14A088)
晓庄学院青年优秀人才培养计划项目(2013YX07)
国家自然科学基金项目(41201135)
关键词
旅游业
碳排放
空间溢出效应
杜宾模型
tourism industry
carbon emission
spatial spillover effect
Dubin model
