摘要
本文通过构建数理模型,考察对外直接投资影响母国服务贸易出口技术复杂度的微观机制。在此基础上,借鉴Mishra等(2011)所构造的指标体系,测算了全球112个经济体2000-2012年的服务出口技术复杂度指数,并运用两步GMM系统估计方法,实证检验了对外直接投资对服务出口技术复杂度的影响,研究结果表明:对外直接投资引致的国际服务业技术外溢效应将拓展本国服务业生产技术边界,有助于提升母国服务出口技术复杂度;对外直接投资对发达国家服务出口技术复杂度的提升具有较高的解释力,而对发展中国家的促进作用比较有限;技术创新能力、产权保护制度、服务贸易开放度等都是影响服务出口技术复杂度的重要因素。最后,根据本文的研究结论提出了相应的政策建议。
This paper constructs a mathematical model to investigate the mi- croscopic mechanism of the effect of outward foreign direct investment on the mother country＇ s services exports technical complexity. On this basis, the index system by Mishra et al. （2011） is refered to estimate the technical complexity in- dex of service exports of 112 countries throughout the globe from 2000 to 2012 year, and a two- step system GMM estimation is employed to test the impact of outward foreign direct investment on the technical complexity of services ex- ports. They results show that： （1） the technology spillovers of the international service industry will work to expand the production technology boundary of do- mestic service industry, which will enhance the technical complexity of the home country＇ s service export; （2） outward foreign direct investment accounts much for the development of service export technology in the developed countries, while it＇ s promoting effect on developing countries is limited; （3） technological innovation capability, property right protection system, service trade openness are the important factors that affect the technology complexity of service export. To conclude, this paper we proposes corresponding policy recommendations accord- ing to the study findings.
出处
《国际贸易问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2015年第12期64-73,共10页
Journal of International Trade
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(31301229)
中央高校基本科研业务费基金项目(KJQN201414)
关键词
对外直接投资
服务贸易
出口技术复杂度
Outward foreign direct investment
Trade in services
Export tech-nology complexity
