摘要
本文根据1978~2012年江西省统计数据,运用VAR模型和脉冲响应函数以及方差分解来分析江西省FDI、对外贸易与经济增长的关系,得出以下结论,FDI是影响江西省经济增长波动的重要因素之一,长期看来,FDI对江西省经济增长具有明显的促进作用;出口是促进江西经济增长的另一重要因素,长期而言,出口对江西省经济增长也具有比较明显的刺激作用;进口由于受自身变化的影响,对经济增长的解释力度很小,可见进口作为影响江西省经济增长的因素不明显。
According to 1978-2012 statistics in Jiangxi Province and by usingVAR models and impulse response functions and variance decomposition to analyze the relationship between FDI of Jiangxi and economic growth, the conclusions turn out that： FDI is one important factor affecting fluctuations in economic growth in Jiangxi province, and in long term, FDI plays a promoting role in economic growth; Export is another factor to promote the economic growth of Jiangxi, in the long run~ export also has obvious economic stimulus on economic growth in Jiangxi province. Economic growth can hardly count on import due to the impact of its changes, so that it is not obvious that import is a factor promoting economic growth.
出处
《萍乡高等专科学校学报》
2013年第4期16-20,共5页
Journal of Pingxiang College
基金
2012年度江西省"十二五"社科规划青年项目"江西省文化创意产业群研究"(编号:12YJ61)成果
关键词
FDI
对外贸易
经济增长
VAR模型
Foreign Direct Investment
foreign trade
economic growth
VAR model
