摘要
文章采用计量经济模型,检验新疆1985—2008年间能源消费、经济增长与碳排放的关系。结论显示:三个变量之间存在长期协整关系;能源消费和经济增长是碳排放Granger原因;能源消费对碳排放和经济增长的影响都是正的,经济增长对碳排放和能源消费的影响也都是正的。鉴于此,新疆未来发展要优化能源结构,实现"投入"减排;优化产业结构,实现"生产"减排;通过技术创新,实现"全过程";通过制度创新,实现"政策"减排。
This paper, using the econometric model, examines the relation among energy consumption, economic growth and carbon emissions during 1985-2008 in Xingjiang. It is proved that there has existed a long-term co-integration relation among the three variables. Energy consumption and economic growth Granger cause the carbon emissions; the influence of the energy consumption on the carbon emissions and economic growth is positive, so is the influence of the economic growth on the carbon emissions and energy consumption. In view of this, Xinjiang must optimize the energy structure, industrial structure and reduce the carbon emissions through innovation of technology and policy.
出处
《新疆大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
2012年第1期20-24,共5页
Journal of Xinjiang University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)
基金
国家自然科学基金项目"基于评价与预警的新疆区域经济与环境协调发展综合研究"(70863010)
新疆社科基金重点项目"新疆加快新型工业化发展研究"(10AJY001)
新疆财经大学研究生科研项目"新疆低碳经济发展评价与路径选择"
关键词
能源消费
经济增长
碳排放
新疆
Energy consumption, Economic growth, Carbon emissions, Xinjiang
