摘要
基于VAR模型,运用脉冲响应函数和方差分解对江西省改革开放30年的第一产业结构和经济增长数据进行定量的实证分析,得出第一产业结构和经济增长之间存在长期均衡关系,且第一产业产值结构的调整对经济有极大促进作用;虽然有短暂的滞后期,但经济增长对第一产业结构调整反映敏感。
Based on VAR model,this paper utilizes the function of impulse response and variance decomposition to make a quantitative empirical analysis over the 30 years＇ revolutionary data in Jiang Xi province.It establishes the long term balanced relationship between primary industrial structure and economic growth.Furthermore,adjustment in primary industrial structure significantly enhances economy.Although there exists short term laps,reflection of economic growth towards adjustment of primary industrial structure proves to be sensitive.
出处
《北京航空航天大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
2011年第5期82-86,共5页
Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics：Social Sciences edition Edition
基金
国家863科技支撑计划资助项目(2006BAK01A22)
关键词
产业结构
VAR模型
脉冲响应函数
方差分解
industrial structure
VAR model
impulse response function
variance decomposition
