摘要
通过建立国内旅游收入、旅游外汇收入、国内过夜旅游人数、入境旅游人数、入境过夜旅游人数的ARMA模型,定量评价了广东省旅游业应对金融危机措施效用。结果表明,广东省应对金融危机的措施对国内旅游的影响,尤其是对国内短途旅游的影响最为明显,然而对国际入境旅游的促进作用不足。
The paper establishes ARMA model of domestic tourism receipts,international tourism receipts,domestic travelers staying overnight,visitor arrivals and visitor arrivals staying overnight,and makes an auantitative analysis of the effectiveness of measures of addessing the financial crisis on Guangdong Province＇s tourism industry.The paper conclude that these measures have a obvious effect on domestic short-haul tourism,while the role of these measures in domestic overnight tourism and international inbound tourism is slightly ineffective.
出处
《旅游论坛》
CSSCI
2011年第2期59-63,共5页
Tourism Forum
关键词
ARMA模型
广东省旅游业
金融危机
ARMA model
Guangdong Province＇s tourism industry
financial crisis
