摘要
从生态足迹视角出发,采用1952~2007年的数据探讨我国经济增长与资源环境压力之间的关系。对生态足迹各个构成项的分析表明,煤、石油、天然气和电的消耗在各项中增长最快,要控制我国生态足迹的持续增大,必须严格控制能源消耗增长速率。回归分析结果则表明,在我国语境下,宏观意义上的资源环境综合压力符合环境库兹涅茨曲线假设,我国资源环境压力随着我国人均GDP的增长出现倒"U"形;同时,我国当前面临特殊的国际背景,必须采取有效手段进一步控制经济发展对资源环境的压力,否则倒"U"形曲线将转向环境质量再次降低的"N"形曲线。
This paper aims at studying the relationship between economic growth and environmental degradation,using the data of 1952-2007 of China,based on ecological footprint,a more comprehensive measure of environment degradation.Making a further decomposition of ecological footprint,it suggests that,in China,coal,oil,natural gas and electricity are most responsible for the increasing ecological footprint,which must be strictly controlled.In the regression analysis,it is found that the stress on environment and natural resource in China echoes the EKC theory,as it presents the inverted "U" shaped curve.However,due to special international and local background,China must effectively control the environmental stress from economic growth to prevent the inverted "U" shaped EKC curve from transforming into the "N" shaped curve.
出处
《生态经济》
北大核心
2010年第10期24-29,共6页
Ecological Economy
基金
水体污染控制与治理科技重大专项子课题(2008ZX07314-001)
国家自然科学基金重点项目(40830747)
关键词
经济增长
环境库兹涅茨曲线
生态足迹
协整检验
economic growth
environmental Kuznets curve
ecological footprint
cointegration test