摘要
通过对战后日本经济景气循环的全景考察,发现中国经济现状和日本20世纪70年代具有很大的相似性。1970前后,日本进入大众消费的阶段,经济增长的所有要素贡献率都呈下降趋势,日本政府通过调整产业政策,促进制造业升级换代,实现了经济结构的转型。对比日本的发展历程,中国应加快政府职能转换和产业转型的步伐,扩大国内消费,避免经济的过度虚拟化。
This paper studies Japan＇s post -war economic cycles. We find similarities between the current Chinese economic situation and that of Japan in the 1970s, during which period Japan shifted to a mass consumption society, with a decreasing contribution of capital, labour and TFP to economic growth. The Japanese government adjusted its industrial policies to facilitate the upgrading of manufacturing sectors, in response to the economic structural changes. This comparative study concludes that China should speed up progress towards a shift of government role as well as industrial upgrading, expand domestic consumption, ~m-d avoid excessive virtualization of economy.
出处
《现代日本经济》
CSSCI
2010年第2期9-14,共6页
Contemporary Economy OF Japan
基金
国家留学基金委公派研究生基金项目"国际经济发展与产业升级"(2008649009)
关键词
景气循环
消费
经济结构
支柱产业
通货膨胀
Economic Cycles
Consumption
Economic Structure
Pillar Industry
Inflation
