摘要
自然资源禀赋对经济增长来说是"财富"还是"魔咒"是一个存在争议的问题。首先将自然资源对经济增长所产生的影响区分为直接效应和间接效应,并以此为基础来构建理论模型,从理论上分析了自然资源对经济增长所产生直接、间接、总效应大小,以及不同因素对区域经济增长差异的相对影响;然后以中国30个省市的面板数据进行了实证检验,实证研究结果显示:自然资源禀赋在中国经济增长中既存在正面的直接效应也存在负面的间接效应,且负面效应总体上大于正面效应,但在不同省份存在较大的地区差异性;其负面效应主要通过降低投资、受教育水平、技术创新、对外开放度、法治水平而间接阻碍经济增长。中国不同省份自然资源禀赋差异能够一定程度解释经济增长所存在的地区差异性,但不是经济增长所存在的区域差异性的主要原因。
It is a disputed question that abundant natural resource is a gift or curse for economic growth. Many theoretical researches are conducted voluntarily and there are different views about the theme. In this paper, effects of natural resource abundance on economic growth are first catagorized as direct and indirect effects. Second, a theoretical model is established to analyze direct, indirect and overall effects of natural resources on economic growth, and effects of other factors on economic growth in different places, and degrees of different influencing factors. Then, based on panel data of 30 provinces in China, a econometric model is established to test these theoretical conclusions. The result reveals that natural resource abundance not only exerts direct positive effects on economic growth in China, but there are also indirect negative effects. What is more, the indirect negative effects of natural resource abundance on economic growth are greater than the direct positive effects. However, differences exist in different provinces in China. The negative effects include lower physical investment, education level of inhabitants, technology innovation, degree of opening-up, law level, which indirectly hinders economic growth. For example, provinces with abundant natural resource are more likely to be backward in technology innovation in China. In fact, the difference of natural resource abundance greatly differs across provinces in China, Such fact explains the differences of economic growth rates between different provinces to a certan extend. Although natural resource abundance may be a ＂bottle-neck＂ for economic growth, the differences of natural resource abundance are not the main reasons for economic growth rate differences. The main influencing factors of economic growth difference include physical investment, human capital investment, degree of openning-up, democracy and legal system, market degree in different provinces. However, these social and economic variables are not natural elements and can be developed.
出处
《资源科学》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2009年第6期1051-1060,共10页
Resources Science
关键词
自然资源
社会经济资源
经济增长
面板数据
中国
Natural resources
Social economic resources, Economic growth
Panel data
China
