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Predictors of work injury in underground mines—an application of a logistic regression model 被引量:6

Predictors of work injury in underground mines—an application of a logistic regression model
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摘要 Mine accidents and injuries are complex and generally characterized by several factors starting from personal to technical, and technical to social characteristics.In this study, an attempt has been made to identify the various factors responsible for work related injuries in mines and to estimate the risk of work injury to mine workers.The prediction of work injury in mines was done by a step-by-step multivariate logistic regression modeling with an application to case study mines in India.In total, 18 variables were considered in this study.Most of the variables are not directly quantifiable.Instruments were developed to quantify them through a questionnaire type survey.Underground mine workers were randomly selected for the survey.Responses from 300 participants were used for the analysis.Four variables, age, negative affectivity, job dissatisfaction, and physical hazards, bear significant discriminating power for risk of injury to the workers, comparing between cases and controls in a multivariate situation while controlling all the personal and socio-technical variables.The analysis reveals that negatively affected workers are 2.54 times more prone to injuries than the less negatively affected workers and this factor is a more important risk factor for the case-study mines.Long term planning through identification of the negative individuals, proper counseling regarding the adverse effects of negative behaviors and special training is urgently required.Care should be taken for the aged and experienced workers in terms of their job responsibility and training requirements.Management should provide a friendly atmosphere during work to increase the confidence of the injury prone miners. Mine accidents and injuries are complex and generally characterized by several factors starting from personal to technical, and technical to social characteristics.In this study, an attempt has been made to identify the various factors responsible for work related injuries in mines and to estimate the risk of work injury to mine workers.The prediction of work injury in mines was done by a step-by-step multivariate logistic regression modeling with an application to case study mines in India.In total, 18 variables were considered in this study.Most of the variables are not directly quantifiable.Instruments were developed to quantify them through a questionnaire type survey.Underground mine workers were randomly selected for the survey.Responses from 300 participants were used for the analysis.Four variables, age, negative affectivity, job dissatisfaction, and physical hazards, bear significant discriminating power for risk of injury to the workers, comparing between cases and controls in a multivariate situation while controlling all the personal and socio-technical variables.The analysis reveals that negatively affected workers are 2.54 times more prone to injuries than the less negatively affected workers and this factor is a more important risk factor for the case-study mines.Long term planning through identification of the negative individuals, proper counseling regarding the adverse effects of negative behaviors and special training is urgently required.Care should be taken for the aged and experienced workers in terms of their job responsibility and training requirements.Management should provide a friendly atmosphere during work to increase the confidence of the injury prone miners.
作者 P. S. Paul
出处 《Mining Science and Technology》 EI CAS 2009年第3期282-289,共8页 矿业科学技术(英文版)
关键词 mine safety logistic model case control study occupational injury Logistic回归模型 logistic回归模型 工伤 预测 应用 煤矿工人 社会技术 矿山事故
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参考文献10

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同被引文献59

  • 1刘轶松.安全管理中人的不安全行为的探讨[J].西部探矿工程,2005,17(6):226-228. 被引量:77
  • 2陈红,祁慧,谭慧.基于特征源与环境特征的中国煤矿重大事故研究[J].中国安全科学学报,2005,15(9):33-38. 被引量:61
  • 3LIU Ya-jing,MAO Shan-jun,LI Mei,YAO Ji-ming.Study of a Comprehensive Assessment Method for Coal Mine Safety Based on a Hierarchical Grey Analysis[J].Journal of China University of Mining and Technology,2007,17(1):6-10. 被引量:27
  • 4杜思才.控制人的不安全行为 保证企业的安全生产[J].安徽电力,2007,24(1):62-65. 被引量:6
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  • 9Larsson S, Pousette A, Torner M. Psychological climate and safety in the construction industry-mediated influence on safety behaviour [ J ]. Safety Science, 2008,46(3) :405-412.
  • 10Pousette A, Larsson S, Torner M. Safety climate cross-validation, strength and prediction of safety be- haviour [ J ]. Safety Science, 2008,46 (3) : 398-404.

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