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我国城市人口全口径统计模型研究

China urban population calculation mode research
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摘要 城市人口统计的偏离会造成城市规划和决策的失误,本文提出兼顾地域、职业及生活特征的全口径城市人口统计模型,除常住人口外还纳入符合一定判据的农村户口居民。本文提出包括人均GDP、收入、消费水平三类指标构成的城市人口判据,按东莞等3个市的数据验算结果表明,本方法算出的城市人口比按户籍法统计多30%~50%,比按地域法少15%左右,差异显著,且验算结果与3市实地调查相符。 This paper puts forward a new urban census statistic model-- full caliber urban census statistic model and demonstrates its reasonability. The measure puts the urbanized rural population into the urban cen sus, abandons the statistic method that only concerns with registered permanent residences, adopts a method that carries out the statistic in accordance with actu al income, consumption, infrastructure and the life style of the village, thus technically avoids the in completion of the statistic of urban census. This paper suggests that the urban census statistic index should be modified as: the urban census= residents governed by the committee of residents' members + residents that conform to the conditions of urbanization governed by committee of villagers.
作者 台冰
出处 《特区经济》 北大核心 2009年第2期267-269,共3页 Special Zone Economy
关键词 城市人口统计 统计模型 全口径 城市化 urban census statistic the statistic model full caliber Urbanization
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