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城市化进程中郊区农民迁移意愿模型——对广州的实证研究 被引量:36

Migration Desire Model of Peasants in Suburb during Process of Urbanization——a Case Study of Guangzhou City
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摘要 基于行为地理学和经济学相关理论,依据农户调查数据,采用定量方法,对影响郊区农民迁移意愿的外在环境因素和内在自身因素进行了分析,构建了城市化进程中郊区农民的迁移意愿模型。模型表明:在市场经济环境下,农民的迁移行为选择是理性的,农民是否迁移取决于能否获得预期迁移收益的最大化,而农民的最大化收益又取决于其所处的外在环境因素和内在自身因素的综合作用。 Building upon the theory of behavioural geography and economy, by quantitative analysis on the firsthand information of the peasants in the suburb of Guangzhou, this paper researches the external and individual factors influencing the migration desire of peasants in the suburb. As a result, this paper presents a migration desire model of peasants in the suburbs during process of urbanization. According to the model, the external factors influencing the peasants' migration to the urban include the income gap between cities and countries, working opportunities, the better educational, medical condition in the cities, the higher living cost and working risk in the cities, housing and collective welfare in the countries, rural living environment, the system of registered permanent residence, the social security system and farmland system and so on. Among the individual factors, the household collective melon-cutting, age, school children and family types are the main factors. As a whole, in market economy condition, the behavior of migration decision-making of peasants is rational, the willing of peasants to migrate or not lies on whether they could gain the maximal anticipative income or not, that rest with the integrative effect of the external and individual factors.
作者 王华 彭华
出处 《地理科学》 CSCD 北大核心 2009年第1期50-55,共6页 Scientia Geographica Sinica
关键词 农民迁移意愿模型 郊区 城市化 广州市 migration desire model of peasants suburb urbanization Guangzhou city
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