摘要
导弹备件是平时保证导弹装备良好战备状态,战时保持和恢复装备战斗力的重要因素。但是其需求统计数据有限,样本严格服从某个典型概率分布的要求很难满足,用一般方法准确地预测很困难.故运用GH(1,1)预测指定时间的备件需求量,并通过一个具体实例验证了该模型的实用性。
The spare parts of missiles is the important factor of pledging the good combat readiness of equipment in peacetime, keeping and recovering equipment＇ combat effectiveness in wartime. But the statistical data of its demand is limited, the requirement that sample is strictly obeying certain typical probability distribution is very difficult to meet, accurately prediction with the general method is very difficult, so the text uses the GM （ 1,1 ） to predict spare parts demand of the briefed time, and has verified the practicality of the model by a living example.
出处
《科技广场》
2008年第7期34-36,共3页
Science Mosaic
关键词
备件
预测
GM(1
1)模型
the Spare Parts
Forecasting
GM （ 1,1 ） Model
