摘要
通过协整理论等现代计量经济学分析方法,利用软件Eviews3.0检验出山东省电力消费和经济发展之间存在长期均衡关系,并依据分析结果给出山东省电力工业的发展相对经济发展具有先导性和超前性,提出山东省电力工业发展需要充分考虑可再生资源的利用,做好电力需求的精确预测,处理好供需矛盾。
The relationship between electricity demand and economic development has been a hot spot in the Chinas macro - economic regulation and control, particularly those in the industrialized countries with economies in transition and the key to advancing period. On such a big economic province, Shandong is a particularly heavy industrialization - intensive area, and the power consumption for economic development plays an important role. Through Cointegration analysis of quantitative method the long - term relationship between Shandong power consumption and its economic development is givenout, and our work can give some suggestions for the electricity supply of Shanddong province.
出处
《济南大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
2008年第4期415-418,共4页
Journal of University of Jinan(Science and Technology)
基金
山东省软科学基金(B2005014)
关键词
电力消费
国内生产总值
山东省
协整理论
electricity consumption
gross domestic product
Sbandong province
cointegration analysis
