摘要
本文分析了城市化进程与建筑业发展之间的关系。研究结果表明:建筑业发展和我国城市化进程各项指标之间存在协整关系。在1%显著性水平上,建筑业是引起城市人口和人均GDP变动的原因,工业化是引起建筑业变动的原因。从变量之间的动态影响来看,城市化进程对建筑业产生影响的滞后时间大约为4年。其中,工业化进程对建筑业发展的影响最大,其次是来自于人均GDP和人口城市化的影响。
Time series data are used to analyze the relationships between urbanization and building industry. A Cointegrated relationship is confirmed after the tests were carried out. Building industry causes the citizen population and average per person GDP to change, and industrialization causes building industry to change at 1% level. The lagged time between urbanization and building industry is about 4 years. In these factors, the impact from industrialization to building industry is stronger than the impact from average per person GDP and population urbanization.
出处
《建筑经济》
北大核心
2007年第4期20-23,共4页
Construction Economy
关键词
城市化
建筑业
协整检验
MAR
urbanization
building industry
Co-integrated test
VAR analysis
