摘要
利用0.618优选法,给出了一种选取平滑系数的方法,实际工作表明,该方法使指数平滑法的预测精度提高了10倍,而工作量减少近一半,并在辽阳石油化工高等专科学校仪表厂进行初步应用.
Using the exponent smooth coefficient method to forecast accuracy is a simple and effectmethod. The key of this method is selection of the smooth coefficient, 0.618 optimum seecking methodwas used to resolve the smooth coefficient. The result shows that the forecasting accuracy is increasedabout 10 times and the amount of the work of calculating decreased aboat , comparesing with theformer method. It was used by the factory of instrument of Liao Yang petrochernical college.
出处
《石油化工高等学校学报》
CAS
1996年第3期78-80,共3页
Journal of Petrochemical Universities
关键词
平滑系数
优选法
预测
Smooth coefficient
Optimum seeking Forecast