摘要
本文在介绍香港贸易分类及其相互关系的基础上,综述了CEPA实施以来内地与香港间的贸易效应、香港贸易与内地经济发展关系等两方面的文献观点,分析和对比了CEPA实施前后中国内地与香港之间贸易关系的改变情况,发现CEPA对推动香港金融、保险等服务出口中国内地的效果非常显著;并通过对CEPA实施前后中国内地与香港的服务贸易创造效应的测算发现,CEPA具有贸易创造效应,进而判定CEPA实施以后极大地促进了内地与香港的贸易关系,效果明显,基本上达到了预期目标。然而从近几年情况看,中国内地与香港的各类贸易发展处于停滞状态,甚至出现下降趋势。为扭转这种趋势,本文提出了开放中国内地服务业市场和积极发展香港与中国内地离岸贸易等对策建议。
On the basis of introducing the trade classification and their relations,this paper summarizes the literature views on the trade effect between the mainland and Hong Kong since the implementation of CEPA,and on the relations between Hong Kong’s trade and the development of the mainland’s economy.It analyzes and compares the implementation of the CEPA and before the implementation.In particular,the trade in services such as finance and insurance has shown a rapid growth compared with the implementation of CEPA.After the analysis of the trade relations between the mainland and Hong Kong,the creation effect of the service trade between the mainland and Hong Kong after the implementation of CEPA is calculated,and the conclusion is that it has the effect of trade creation.It is concluded that the implementation of CEPA has greatly promoted the trade relationship between the mainland and Hong Kong.The effect is obvious and basically achieved the expected goal.However,in recent years,the development of trade between China's Mainland and Hong Kong has been stagnant or even declining.In order to reverse this trend,this paper puts forward countermeasures and suggestions for opening up the service market in the mainland of China and actively developing offshore trade between Hong Kong and the mainland.
出处
《当代港澳研究》
2019年第2期18-38,共21页
Studies on Hong Kong and Macao
基金
广东省科技厅软科学课题(2016A070705057)
广州市软科学项目(201609020017)
广东省教育科学规划课题(2018JKSJD73)
广东省教育科学“十三五”规划研究项目(2018JKDY10)
广东外语外贸大学校级课题(16QN25)研究成果
