摘要
在探析公路网规模影响因素和发达国家公路建设发展规律的基础上,分析预测公路网总里程的各种方法的优缺点,并采取综合模型法对传统预测模型预测结果进行优化,并建立指标体系,采用模糊多层次综合评判法对预测结果进行评价。根据实例验证,提出的方法具有良好的科学性和可操作性。
Based on research of the effect factors of highway network scale and the development law of national highway construction in developed countries,the advantages and disadvantages of various methods for predicting the total length of highway networks were analyzed,and the comprehensive model method was adopted to optimize the prediction results of the traditional prediction model.The indicator system was established.The fuzzy multi-level comprehensive evaluation method was applied to evaluate the prediction results.According to the example,the method proposed in this paper is scientific and feasible.
作者
刘雄伟
LIU Xiong-wei(Shanxi Transportation Technology Research&Development Co.,Ltd.,Taiyuan,Shanxi 030032,China)
出处
《山西交通科技》
2020年第3期44-46,58,共4页
Shanxi Science & Technology of Transportation
关键词
公路网规模
综合模型法
指标体系
模糊多层次综合评判法
highway network scale
comprehensive model method
indicator system
fuzzy multi-level comprehensive evaluation method
