Using the climatic data, such as extreme minimum temperature and relative humidity, in 15 bases in the main planting area of Guizhou Red Heart Kiwifruit from December 1st to next April 30th, respectively, from 2010 to...Using the climatic data, such as extreme minimum temperature and relative humidity, in 15 bases in the main planting area of Guizhou Red Heart Kiwifruit from December 1st to next April 30th, respectively, from 2010 to 2018, combined with the monitoring of red heart kiwifruit ulcer disease, we analyze the occurrence and prevalence of meteorological factors and dynamic characteristics of the red heart kiwifruit ulcer disease in Guizhou, China. The results showed that the main period of occurrence and prevalence of red heart kiwifruit ulcer was from March to April. In winter, when the daily average temperature of 5 d and above is ≤2°C, the daily extreme minimum temperature is ≤−2°C, and the daily average relative humidity is ≥75%, it is beneficial for the ulcer pathogen to lurk and propagate in the plant. It is suggested that this meteorological condition should be used as an early warning indicator for the prevention of ulcer disease of red heart kiwifruit, in order to actively organize prevention after the emergence of early warning indicators to improve the prevention and treatment effect. In spring, the average daily temperature of 5 d and above is ≤18°C, and the daily average relative humidity is ≥80%, which is easy to induce ulcer disease. It can be seen that the first is the winter climatic conditions to meet the breeding of ulcer disease, and then the spring climatic conditions must also meet the rapid propagation of ulcer disease, ulcer disease can occur, develop and popularize. It is of great practical significance to carry out experiments on the relationship between the occurrence of ulcer disease in Guizhou red heart kiwifruit and meteorological conditions.展开更多
Taking a typical strong storm in Guizhou on April 5, 2017 for example, the diagnosis analysis used the water vapor cloud and the initial field of EC thin grid, including physical quantity, surface and upper air meteor...Taking a typical strong storm in Guizhou on April 5, 2017 for example, the diagnosis analysis used the water vapor cloud and the initial field of EC thin grid, including physical quantity, surface and upper air meteorological observation, as well as radar observation data. For the environment parameter analysis, small CAPE value tended to underestimate storm intensity on potential forecast stage, strong vertical wind shear revealed the strong dry cold air was the important intensity factors of the storm. The water vapor cloud map can be used to monitor the most important features, the dry zone, the wet zone and the boundary between them. When dry intrusion is found, it can be used as one of the bases for the development of heavy rain. Dry cold air intrusion on high-level was traced by water vapor images. And in this process, the analyses revealed the role of dry cold air’s influence on intensity of the storm.展开更多
Due to its special observation principle, GPS remote sensing atmospheric precipitation has the advantages of high time resolution and no weather conditions, and has been widely used in the research field of atmospheri...Due to its special observation principle, GPS remote sensing atmospheric precipitation has the advantages of high time resolution and no weather conditions, and has been widely used in the research field of atmospheric precipitation. Using ground-based GPS precipitate water vapor data (GPS-PWV) and radiosonde-precipitate water vapor data (RS-PWV) that integrated by Radiosonde data, the error between GPS-PWV and RS-PWV in Tengchong is analyzed on its distribution of wet and dry seasons, also the difference between 00:00 UTC and 12:00 UTC. Results show that the RMSE of GPS-PWV and RS-PWV on both 00:00 UTC and 12:00 UTC are less than 5 mm, they correspond with each other well and their correlation coefficient is above 0.95, additionally, GPS-PWV value is stable than RS-PWV value. On the whole, the value of GPS-PWV is slightly larger than RS-PWV. And the mean absolute error between them has higher values, 4.5 mm in 2011 and 4.7 mm in 2012 from May to October (local rainy season) and lower values, 2.8 mm in 2011 and 3.1 mm in 2012 in November to April (local dry season). Besides, the mean absolute error in the morning seems has a difference with its component in the evening. Specifically, it is bigger on 12:00 UTC than on 00:00 UTC and the mean absolute errors on 12:00 UTC of two years are 27% and 11% larger than errors on 00:00 UTC respectively. The correlation of mean absolute error and surface vapor pressure, surface air temperature is examined in this study as well. We achieved that the correlation coefficient between mean absolute error and surface vapor pressure, surface air temperature equals 0.32, 0.37 separately. Diverse characters of mean absolute error under different precipitation conditions are also discussed. The outcome is that the mean absolute error has a higher value on rainy days and a lower value on clear days. However, during the precipitation periods, it appears that the mean absolute error and the rainfall situation don’t agree with each other well, it is likely to change randomly.展开更多
Highland barley(Hordeum vulgare Linn.cv.nudum Hook.f.)is the principal cereal crop over the Tibetan Plateau(TP).The response of highland barely to climate change in the past decades,especially in terms of yields still...Highland barley(Hordeum vulgare Linn.cv.nudum Hook.f.)is the principal cereal crop over the Tibetan Plateau(TP).The response of highland barely to climate change in the past decades,especially in terms of yields still remains uncertain.In this study,its responses to climate change were investigated using daily weather data and agriculture data during 1961–2018.The results showed that the annual mean air temperature over the TP increased at 0.33°C per decade during 1961–2018,and the rate of warming increased with altitude,reaching 0.41°C per decade at altitudes of 4500–4700 m.The growing degree days(GDDs)increased by 9.6%during 2011–2018 compared with the 1960s,whereas low temperature degree days(LDDs)decreased by 40.3%over the same period,indicating that the thermal conditions for highland barley cultivation have improved.A strong relationship was observed between the yield of highland barley and LDDs(−0.76,p<0.001)than GDDs(0.58,p<0.001)in Xizang,where sufficient irrigation water is available from the melting of snow cover or glaciers.In Sichuan,with abundant precipitation,significant correlations were noticed between county-level barley yield and GDDs and LDDs(0.60,p<0.001;−0.65,p<0.001).In Qinghai,the dry regions,county-level yields were influenced significantly by temperature and precipitation.These results indicated that climate warming was beneficial to highland barley yield in most region of the TP,mainly due to decreased LDDs.The potential altitude at which highland barley cultivation is feasible increased by approximately 280–484 m during 2016–2018,compared with 1981–1983.In Xizang,highland barley could be cultivated up to an altitude of 4507 m a.s.l.between 2016 and 2018,and it increased to 4179 m a.s.l.in Qinghai.These results could help local government to take actions to adapt to global warming and improve food security.展开更多
文摘Using the climatic data, such as extreme minimum temperature and relative humidity, in 15 bases in the main planting area of Guizhou Red Heart Kiwifruit from December 1st to next April 30th, respectively, from 2010 to 2018, combined with the monitoring of red heart kiwifruit ulcer disease, we analyze the occurrence and prevalence of meteorological factors and dynamic characteristics of the red heart kiwifruit ulcer disease in Guizhou, China. The results showed that the main period of occurrence and prevalence of red heart kiwifruit ulcer was from March to April. In winter, when the daily average temperature of 5 d and above is ≤2°C, the daily extreme minimum temperature is ≤−2°C, and the daily average relative humidity is ≥75%, it is beneficial for the ulcer pathogen to lurk and propagate in the plant. It is suggested that this meteorological condition should be used as an early warning indicator for the prevention of ulcer disease of red heart kiwifruit, in order to actively organize prevention after the emergence of early warning indicators to improve the prevention and treatment effect. In spring, the average daily temperature of 5 d and above is ≤18°C, and the daily average relative humidity is ≥80%, which is easy to induce ulcer disease. It can be seen that the first is the winter climatic conditions to meet the breeding of ulcer disease, and then the spring climatic conditions must also meet the rapid propagation of ulcer disease, ulcer disease can occur, develop and popularize. It is of great practical significance to carry out experiments on the relationship between the occurrence of ulcer disease in Guizhou red heart kiwifruit and meteorological conditions.
文摘Taking a typical strong storm in Guizhou on April 5, 2017 for example, the diagnosis analysis used the water vapor cloud and the initial field of EC thin grid, including physical quantity, surface and upper air meteorological observation, as well as radar observation data. For the environment parameter analysis, small CAPE value tended to underestimate storm intensity on potential forecast stage, strong vertical wind shear revealed the strong dry cold air was the important intensity factors of the storm. The water vapor cloud map can be used to monitor the most important features, the dry zone, the wet zone and the boundary between them. When dry intrusion is found, it can be used as one of the bases for the development of heavy rain. Dry cold air intrusion on high-level was traced by water vapor images. And in this process, the analyses revealed the role of dry cold air’s influence on intensity of the storm.
文摘Due to its special observation principle, GPS remote sensing atmospheric precipitation has the advantages of high time resolution and no weather conditions, and has been widely used in the research field of atmospheric precipitation. Using ground-based GPS precipitate water vapor data (GPS-PWV) and radiosonde-precipitate water vapor data (RS-PWV) that integrated by Radiosonde data, the error between GPS-PWV and RS-PWV in Tengchong is analyzed on its distribution of wet and dry seasons, also the difference between 00:00 UTC and 12:00 UTC. Results show that the RMSE of GPS-PWV and RS-PWV on both 00:00 UTC and 12:00 UTC are less than 5 mm, they correspond with each other well and their correlation coefficient is above 0.95, additionally, GPS-PWV value is stable than RS-PWV value. On the whole, the value of GPS-PWV is slightly larger than RS-PWV. And the mean absolute error between them has higher values, 4.5 mm in 2011 and 4.7 mm in 2012 from May to October (local rainy season) and lower values, 2.8 mm in 2011 and 3.1 mm in 2012 in November to April (local dry season). Besides, the mean absolute error in the morning seems has a difference with its component in the evening. Specifically, it is bigger on 12:00 UTC than on 00:00 UTC and the mean absolute errors on 12:00 UTC of two years are 27% and 11% larger than errors on 00:00 UTC respectively. The correlation of mean absolute error and surface vapor pressure, surface air temperature is examined in this study as well. We achieved that the correlation coefficient between mean absolute error and surface vapor pressure, surface air temperature equals 0.32, 0.37 separately. Diverse characters of mean absolute error under different precipitation conditions are also discussed. The outcome is that the mean absolute error has a higher value on rainy days and a lower value on clear days. However, during the precipitation periods, it appears that the mean absolute error and the rainfall situation don’t agree with each other well, it is likely to change randomly.
基金supported by National Key Technology R&D Program of China(2019YFD1002204)and S&T Development Fund of CAMS.
文摘Highland barley(Hordeum vulgare Linn.cv.nudum Hook.f.)is the principal cereal crop over the Tibetan Plateau(TP).The response of highland barely to climate change in the past decades,especially in terms of yields still remains uncertain.In this study,its responses to climate change were investigated using daily weather data and agriculture data during 1961–2018.The results showed that the annual mean air temperature over the TP increased at 0.33°C per decade during 1961–2018,and the rate of warming increased with altitude,reaching 0.41°C per decade at altitudes of 4500–4700 m.The growing degree days(GDDs)increased by 9.6%during 2011–2018 compared with the 1960s,whereas low temperature degree days(LDDs)decreased by 40.3%over the same period,indicating that the thermal conditions for highland barley cultivation have improved.A strong relationship was observed between the yield of highland barley and LDDs(−0.76,p<0.001)than GDDs(0.58,p<0.001)in Xizang,where sufficient irrigation water is available from the melting of snow cover or glaciers.In Sichuan,with abundant precipitation,significant correlations were noticed between county-level barley yield and GDDs and LDDs(0.60,p<0.001;−0.65,p<0.001).In Qinghai,the dry regions,county-level yields were influenced significantly by temperature and precipitation.These results indicated that climate warming was beneficial to highland barley yield in most region of the TP,mainly due to decreased LDDs.The potential altitude at which highland barley cultivation is feasible increased by approximately 280–484 m during 2016–2018,compared with 1981–1983.In Xizang,highland barley could be cultivated up to an altitude of 4507 m a.s.l.between 2016 and 2018,and it increased to 4179 m a.s.l.in Qinghai.These results could help local government to take actions to adapt to global warming and improve food security.
