How does stablecoin design affect market behavior during turbulent periods?Stable-coins attempt to maintain a“stable”peg to the US dollar,but do so with widely varying structural designs.The spectacular collapse of ...How does stablecoin design affect market behavior during turbulent periods?Stable-coins attempt to maintain a“stable”peg to the US dollar,but do so with widely varying structural designs.The spectacular collapse of the TerraUSD(UST)stablecoin and the linked Terra(LUNA)token in May 2022 precipitated a series of reactions across major stablecoins,with some experiencing a fall in value and others gaining value.Using a Baba,Engle,Kraft and Kroner(1990)(BEKK)model,we examine the reaction to this exogenous shock and find significant contagion effects from the UST collapse,likely partially due to herding behavior among traders.We test the varying reactions among stablecoins and find that stablecoin design differences affect the direction,magnitude,and duration of the response to shocks.We discuss the implications for stablecoin developers,exchanges,traders,and regulators.展开更多
We examine the interactions between stablecoins,Bitcoin,and a basket of altcoins to uncover whether stablecoins represent the investors’demand for trading and investing into cryptoassets or rather play a role as boos...We examine the interactions between stablecoins,Bitcoin,and a basket of altcoins to uncover whether stablecoins represent the investors’demand for trading and investing into cryptoassets or rather play a role as boosting mechanisms during cryptomarkets price rallies.Using a set of instruments covering the standard cointegration framework as well as quantile-specific and non-linear causality tests,we argue that stablecoins mostly reflect an increasing demand for investing in cryptoassets rather than serve as a boosting mechanism for periods of extreme appreciation.We further discuss some specificities of 2017,even though the dynamic patterns remain very similar to the general behavior.Overall,we do not find support for claims about stablecoins being bubble boosters in the cryptoassets ecosystem.展开更多
This study discusses the European Union’s proposal for a Regulation on Markets in Crypto-Assets,now subject to formal approval by the European Parliament.The objective is to explore whether it will positively impact ...This study discusses the European Union’s proposal for a Regulation on Markets in Crypto-Assets,now subject to formal approval by the European Parliament.The objective is to explore whether it will positively impact the adoption of crypto-assets in the financial sector.The use of crypto-assets is growing.However,some stakeholders in the financial service sector remain skeptical and hesitant to adopt assets that are yet to be defined and have an unclear legal status.This regulatory uncertainty has been identified as the primary reason for the reluctant adoption.The proposed regulation(part of the EU’s Digital Finance Strategy)aims to provide this legal certainty for currently unregulated crypto-assets.This study investigates whether or not the proposed regulation can be expected to have the intended effect by reviewing the proposed regulation itself,the opinions and reactions of the various stakeholders,and secondary literature.Findings reveal that such regulation will most likely not accelerate the adoption of crypto-assets in the EU financial services sector,at least not sufficiently or as intended.Some suggestions are made to improve the proposal.展开更多
This study suggests a payment portfolio model that includes new payment methods that have emerged from the development of cryptocurrency markets and central bank digital currencies(CBDCs).Our model analyzes the optima...This study suggests a payment portfolio model that includes new payment methods that have emerged from the development of cryptocurrency markets and central bank digital currencies(CBDCs).Our model analyzes the optimal payment choice for consumers under various macroeconomic conditions.We determine that an individual economic agent chooses payment methods under specific conditions by incorporating policy interest rates on CBDCs and stablecoins used on cryptocurrency exchanges.We analyze the impacts of CBDCs and stablecoins on the choice of whether to use cash or deposits.We also examine how the agent changes her portfolio compositions in response to exogenous macroeconomic policies.If a government replaces cash with a CBDC,the convenience of digital currency would not affect consumer choices.The higher the government’s interest rate on CBDCs,the more consumers will use CBDCs than deposits.展开更多
We provide empirical evidence supporting the economic reasoning behind the impossibility of diversification benefits and the hedge attributes of cryptocurrencies remaining in force during the downside trends observed ...We provide empirical evidence supporting the economic reasoning behind the impossibility of diversification benefits and the hedge attributes of cryptocurrencies remaining in force during the downside trends observed in bearish financial markets.We employ a spillover connectedness model driven by time-varying parameter vector autoregressions on daily data covering January 2018 to November 2022 to analyze spillover transmissions between conventional and digital markets,focusing on the role of stablecoin issuances.We study the stock,bond,cryptocurrency,and stablecoin markets and find very high connectedness,which varies over time in response to up/down trends in financial markets.The results show that during financial turmoil,cryptocurrencies amplify downside risks rather than serve as diversifiers.In addition to risky assets from conventional financial markets,cryptocurrencies champion the transmission of spillovers to digital and conventional markets.In contrast,changes in stablecoin issuances produce few shocks because of their pegged prices,but they facilitate investors’switch from volatile cryptos to more stable digital instruments;that is,we observe a phenomenon designated by us as the“flight-to-cryptosafety.”We draw insightful conclusions,provoking new thinking regarding portfolio hedge strategies that could potentially benefit investors when searching for less volatile investment performance.展开更多
基金funding agencies in the public,commercial,or not-for-profit sectors.Luca Galati was founded by the Rozetta Institute(formerly CMCRC-SIRCA),55 Harrington St,The Rocks,Sydney,NSW 2000,Australia.
文摘How does stablecoin design affect market behavior during turbulent periods?Stable-coins attempt to maintain a“stable”peg to the US dollar,but do so with widely varying structural designs.The spectacular collapse of the TerraUSD(UST)stablecoin and the linked Terra(LUNA)token in May 2022 precipitated a series of reactions across major stablecoins,with some experiencing a fall in value and others gaining value.Using a Baba,Engle,Kraft and Kroner(1990)(BEKK)model,we examine the reaction to this exogenous shock and find significant contagion effects from the UST collapse,likely partially due to herding behavior among traders.We test the varying reactions among stablecoins and find that stablecoin design differences affect the direction,magnitude,and duration of the response to shocks.We discuss the implications for stablecoin developers,exchanges,traders,and regulators.
基金Support from the Charles University PRIMUS program(Project PRIMUS/19/HUM/17)the Czech Science Foundation(Project 20-17295S)is highly appreciated.
文摘We examine the interactions between stablecoins,Bitcoin,and a basket of altcoins to uncover whether stablecoins represent the investors’demand for trading and investing into cryptoassets or rather play a role as boosting mechanisms during cryptomarkets price rallies.Using a set of instruments covering the standard cointegration framework as well as quantile-specific and non-linear causality tests,we argue that stablecoins mostly reflect an increasing demand for investing in cryptoassets rather than serve as a boosting mechanism for periods of extreme appreciation.We further discuss some specificities of 2017,even though the dynamic patterns remain very similar to the general behavior.Overall,we do not find support for claims about stablecoins being bubble boosters in the cryptoassets ecosystem.
文摘This study discusses the European Union’s proposal for a Regulation on Markets in Crypto-Assets,now subject to formal approval by the European Parliament.The objective is to explore whether it will positively impact the adoption of crypto-assets in the financial sector.The use of crypto-assets is growing.However,some stakeholders in the financial service sector remain skeptical and hesitant to adopt assets that are yet to be defined and have an unclear legal status.This regulatory uncertainty has been identified as the primary reason for the reluctant adoption.The proposed regulation(part of the EU’s Digital Finance Strategy)aims to provide this legal certainty for currently unregulated crypto-assets.This study investigates whether or not the proposed regulation can be expected to have the intended effect by reviewing the proposed regulation itself,the opinions and reactions of the various stakeholders,and secondary literature.Findings reveal that such regulation will most likely not accelerate the adoption of crypto-assets in the EU financial services sector,at least not sufficiently or as intended.Some suggestions are made to improve the proposal.
基金supported by the Ministry of Education of the Republic of Korea and the National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF-2022R1A2C1010596).
文摘This study suggests a payment portfolio model that includes new payment methods that have emerged from the development of cryptocurrency markets and central bank digital currencies(CBDCs).Our model analyzes the optimal payment choice for consumers under various macroeconomic conditions.We determine that an individual economic agent chooses payment methods under specific conditions by incorporating policy interest rates on CBDCs and stablecoins used on cryptocurrency exchanges.We analyze the impacts of CBDCs and stablecoins on the choice of whether to use cash or deposits.We also examine how the agent changes her portfolio compositions in response to exogenous macroeconomic policies.If a government replaces cash with a CBDC,the convenience of digital currency would not affect consumer choices.The higher the government’s interest rate on CBDCs,the more consumers will use CBDCs than deposits.
基金Fundacão para a Ciencia e a Tecnologia(Grant No.UIDB/04521/2020).
文摘We provide empirical evidence supporting the economic reasoning behind the impossibility of diversification benefits and the hedge attributes of cryptocurrencies remaining in force during the downside trends observed in bearish financial markets.We employ a spillover connectedness model driven by time-varying parameter vector autoregressions on daily data covering January 2018 to November 2022 to analyze spillover transmissions between conventional and digital markets,focusing on the role of stablecoin issuances.We study the stock,bond,cryptocurrency,and stablecoin markets and find very high connectedness,which varies over time in response to up/down trends in financial markets.The results show that during financial turmoil,cryptocurrencies amplify downside risks rather than serve as diversifiers.In addition to risky assets from conventional financial markets,cryptocurrencies champion the transmission of spillovers to digital and conventional markets.In contrast,changes in stablecoin issuances produce few shocks because of their pegged prices,but they facilitate investors’switch from volatile cryptos to more stable digital instruments;that is,we observe a phenomenon designated by us as the“flight-to-cryptosafety.”We draw insightful conclusions,provoking new thinking regarding portfolio hedge strategies that could potentially benefit investors when searching for less volatile investment performance.
