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Prognostic model for esophagogastric variceal rebleeding after endoscopic treatment in liver cirrhosis: A Chinese multicenter study
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作者 Jun-Yi Zhan Jie Chen +7 位作者 Jin-Zhong Yu Fei-Peng Xu Fei-Fei Xing De-Xin Wang Ming-Yan Yang Feng Xing Jian Wang Yong-Ping Mu 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS 2025年第2期85-101,共17页
BACKGROUND Rebleeding after recovery from esophagogastric variceal bleeding(EGVB)is a severe complication that is associated with high rates of both incidence and mortality.Despite its clinical importance,recognized p... BACKGROUND Rebleeding after recovery from esophagogastric variceal bleeding(EGVB)is a severe complication that is associated with high rates of both incidence and mortality.Despite its clinical importance,recognized prognostic models that can effectively predict esophagogastric variceal rebleeding in patients with liver cirrhosis are lacking.AIM To construct and externally validate a reliable prognostic model for predicting the occurrence of esophagogastric variceal rebleeding.METHODS This study included 477 EGVB patients across 2 cohorts:The derivation cohort(n=322)and the validation cohort(n=155).The primary outcome was rebleeding events within 1 year.The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator was applied for predictor selection,and multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to construct the prognostic model.Internal validation was performed with bootstrap resampling.We assessed the discrimination,calibration and accuracy of the model,and performed patient risk stratification.RESULTS Six predictors,including albumin and aspartate aminotransferase concentrations,white blood cell count,and the presence of ascites,portal vein thrombosis,and bleeding signs,were selected for the rebleeding event prediction following endoscopic treatment(REPET)model.In predicting rebleeding within 1 year,the REPET model ex-hibited a concordance index of 0.775 and a Brier score of 0.143 in the derivation cohort,alongside 0.862 and 0.127 in the validation cohort.Furthermore,the REPET model revealed a significant difference in rebleeding rates(P<0.01)between low-risk patients and intermediate-to high-risk patients in both cohorts.CONCLUSION We constructed and validated a new prognostic model for variceal rebleeding with excellent predictive per-formance,which will improve the clinical management of rebleeding in EGVB patients. 展开更多
关键词 Esophagogastric variceal bleeding Variceal rebleeding Liver cirrhosis prognostic model Risk stratification Secondary prophylaxis
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Hemogram-derived ratios as prognostic markers for major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction
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作者 Emir Bećirović Minela Bećirović +10 位作者 SabinaŠegalo Amir Bećirović Semir Hadžić Kenana Ljuca Emsel Papić Lamija Ferhatbegović Malik Ejubović Amira JagodićEjubović Amila Kovčić ArminŠljivo Emir Begagić 《World Journal of Methodology》 2025年第2期125-136,共12页
BACKGROUND Non-ST segment elevation myocardial infarction(NSTEMI)poses significant challenges in clinical management due to its diverse outcomes.Understanding the prognostic role of hematological parameters and derive... BACKGROUND Non-ST segment elevation myocardial infarction(NSTEMI)poses significant challenges in clinical management due to its diverse outcomes.Understanding the prognostic role of hematological parameters and derived ratios in NSTEMI patients could aid in risk stratification and improve patient care.AIM To evaluate the predictive value of hemogram-derived ratios for major adverse cardiovascular events(MACE)in NSTEMI patients,potentially improving clinical outcomes.METHODS A prospective,observational cohort study was conducted in 2021 at the Internal Medicine Clinic of the University Hospital in Tuzla,Bosnia and Herzegovina.The study included 170 patients with NSTEMI,who were divided into a group with MACE and a control group without MACE.Furthermore,the MACE group was subdivided into lethal and non-lethal groups for prognostic analysis.Alongside hematological parameters,an additional 13 hematological-derived ratios(HDRs)were monitored,and their prognostic role was investigated.RESULTS Hematological parameters did not significantly differ between non-ST segment elevation myocardial infarction(NSTEMI)patients with MACE and a control group at T1 and T2.However,significant disparities emerged in HDRs among NSTEMI patients with lethal and non-lethal outcomes post-MACE.Notably,neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio(NLR)and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio(PLR)were elevated in lethal outcomes.Furthermore,C-reactive protein-to-lymphocyte ratio(CRP/Ly)at T1(>4.737)demonstrated predictive value[odds ratio(OR):3.690,P=0.024].Both NLR at T1(>4.076)and T2(>4.667)emerged as significant predictors,with NLR at T2 exhibiting the highest diagnostic performance,as indicated by an area under the curve of 0.811(95%CI:0.727-0.859)and OR of 4.915(95%CI:1.917-12.602,P=0.001),emphasizing its important role as a prognostic marker.CONCLUSION This study highlights the significant prognostic value of hemogram-derived indexes in predicting MACE among NSTEMI patients.During follow-up,NLR,PLR,and CRP/Ly offer important insights into the inflammatory processes underlying cardiovascular events. 展开更多
关键词 Hemogram-derived ratios prognostic markers Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio Myocardial infarction
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Validation of the prognostic model for palliative radiotherapy in older patients with cancer
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作者 Hyojung Park 《World Journal of Clinical Oncology》 2025年第3期49-56,共8页
BACKGROUND Older patients are more likely to have a poor performance status and comor-bidities.There is a reluctance to extensively investigate and treat older patients.As elderly individuals and patients with neoplas... BACKGROUND Older patients are more likely to have a poor performance status and comor-bidities.There is a reluctance to extensively investigate and treat older patients.As elderly individuals and patients with neoplasms each increase in number,palliative treatment of older patients is expected to grow as an issue.AIM To investigated the role of palliative radiotherapy in older patients and patients who were expected to demonstrate a therapeutic effect.METHODS From February 2019 to February 2022,33 patients aged≥80 years underwent palliative radiotherapy.The prognosis in palliative care study predictor(PiPS),palliative prognostic index(PPI),and delirium-palliative prognostic score(D-PaP)models were used for prognosis prediction.D-PaP scores calculated according to the doctor's prediction of clinical prediction of survival(CPS)were excluded and then analyzed for comparison.Radiation was prescribed at a dose of 2.5-7 Gy per fraction,up to a median of 39 Gy10(range,28-75 Gy10).RESULTS The median follow-up was 2.4 months(range,0.2-27.5 months),and 28 patients(84.8%)showed subjective symptom improvements following treatment.The 2-and 6-month survival rates of all patients were 91.5%and 91.5%,respectively.According to regression analysis,the performance status index,symptom type,and radiation dose all showed no significant correlation with the treatment re-sponse.When survival was expected for>55 days in the PiPS model,the 2-month survival rate was 94.4%.For patients with PPI and D-PaP-CPS values of 0-3.9 points,the 2-month survival rates were 90.0%and 100%,respectively.For patients with a score of≥4 points,the 2-month survival rates were 37.5%and 0%,res-pectively.Core Tip:This is a retrospective study to investigate the role of palliative radiotherapy in older patients and patients who were expected to demonstrate a great therapeutic effect.The prognosis in palliative care study predictor,palliative prognostic index,and delirium-palliative prognostic score models were used for prognosis prediction.Most of patients showed subjective symptom improvements following treatment.The prognosis prediction model showed good correlation with survival.In order to increase the therapeutic effectiveness in palliative radiotherapy,it is necessary to assess a patient's exact prognosis and select appropriate patients accordingly.INTRODUCTION The incidence of cancer is high among individuals 60-69 years old and is 11 times greater among those≥65-years-old compared to those<65-years-old.For this reason,about half of all cancer cases are diagnosed in individuals aged≥70 years,and older patients account for a large portion of the total population regarding the prevalence of cancer[1].Cancer is one of the most significant diseases in older patients.About 60%of all cancer-related deaths occur in older patients aged 70 years[1,2].Moreover,cancer accounts for about one-third of the causes of death in the elderly population[1,2].When choosing a cancer treatment,both the characteristics of the cancer and the overall health status of the patient,such as their general condition and any underlying diseases,should be considered[2].Older patients have a shorter life expectancy than younger patients;moreover,they typically have many accompanying underlying diseases and have a poorer general condition.For this reason,older patients are often rejected from receiving active testing and treatment services.Therefore,even if other factors,such as the underlying disease,are the same in young and old patients,older patients typically receive less treatment due to the simple fact that they are older[3].Palliative treatment is a treatment approach that improves the pain and symptoms of a patient and their quality of life.Although palliative treatment is applicable regardless of patient age and the type and severity of their disease,most patients requiring palliative treatment are cancer patients.Palliative radiotherapy is relatively effective for cancer patients and tends to be a well-tolerated treatment.Although some studies have reported the usefulness of palliative radiotherapy in elderly patients,a large number of patients and caregivers are not receiving treatment due to fears of treatment,the risks of side effects,and doubts about treatment effectiveness[1].Since actual age is not always associated with physical ability,the determination of treatment based solely on age can be an obstacle preventing appropriate treatment opportunities.The importance of palliative care is increasing due to the recent growth of the elderly population,as well as,the increase in cancer incidence,and the changes in traditional views or perceptions,such as a growing acceptance of the pursuit of a dignified death[4].Therefore,in this study,we investigated the role of palliative radiotherapy in older patients and in patients who are expected to show a great therapeutic effect. 展开更多
关键词 ELDERLY NEOPLASM Palliative radiotherapy prognostic factors SURVIVAL
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Prognostic value of combined detection of alpha-fetoprotein,plasma prothrombin activity,and serum prealbumin in acute-on-chronic liver failure
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作者 Rui-Xian Duan Ling Liu +1 位作者 Yan Wang Wen-Ming Wu 《World Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery》 2025年第2期97-104,共8页
BACKGROUND Acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF)is a liver disease based on chronic liver disease,which is significantly influenced by clinical treatment regimen and disease status,and despite the existence of multiple... BACKGROUND Acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF)is a liver disease based on chronic liver disease,which is significantly influenced by clinical treatment regimen and disease status,and despite the existence of multiple prognostic assessment indicators for ACLF,the overall sensitivity and accuracy are relatively low.AIM To investigate the prognostic value of the combined detection of alpha-fetoprotein(AFP),plasma prothrombin activity(PTA),and serum prealbumin(PA)in ACLF.METHODS This retrospective study included 87 patients with ACLF admitted from February 2021 to February 2023 and categorized them into the survival(n=47)and death(n=40)groups according to their clinical outcomes 3 months posttreatment.All the participants underwent AFP,PTA,and PA level measurements upon admission.Baseline data,as well as AFP,PTA,and PA levels,were comparatively analyzed.Pearson correlation coefficients were utilized to analyze the correlations of AFP,PTA,and PA with different survival outcomes in patients with ACLF.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves and areas under the curves were used to evaluate the predictive value of AFP,PTA,and PA for ACLF prognosis.RESULTS AFP,PTA,and PA levels were markedly decreased in the death group than in the survival group(P<0.05).Pearson analysis indicated a positive association of the AFP,PTA,and PA levels with the survival of patients with ACLF(P<0.05).ROC curve analysis determined the sensitivity and specificity of the combined diagnosis at 91.24%and 100.00%,respectively,both of which were notably increased compared to the single-index diagnosis.The ROC of their combined diagnosis was 0.989,significantly surpassing 0.907,0.849,and 0.853 of AFP,PTA,and PA,respectively.No statistically significant variance was determined in the sensitivity and specificity of the combined diagnosis vs the single detection(P>0.05).CONCLUSION The combined detection of AFP,PTA,and PA levels demonstrates favorable diagnostic value for the short-term prognosis of patients with ACLF,featuring high sensitivity and specificity. 展开更多
关键词 ALPHA-FETOPROTEIN Prothrombin activity PREALBUMIN Acute-on-chronic liver failure prognostic value
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Prognostic value of preoperative fibrinogen to albumin ratio in predicting postoperative outcomes in patients with gallbladder cancer
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作者 Peng-Fu Wang Ya-Jian Duan 《World Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery》 2025年第2期37-44,共8页
BACKGROUND Gallbladder cancer(GBC)is known for its poor prognosis and challenging management.The preoperative fibrinogen to albumin ratio(FAR)has been proposed as a potential prognostic marker for predicting postopera... BACKGROUND Gallbladder cancer(GBC)is known for its poor prognosis and challenging management.The preoperative fibrinogen to albumin ratio(FAR)has been proposed as a potential prognostic marker for predicting postoperative outcomes in GBC patients,but its efficacy and prognostic value remain underexplored.AIM To evaluate the prognostic value of preoperative FAR in GBC outcomes.METHODS This retrospective cohort study included 66 patients who underwent curative surgery for GBC at our institution from January 2018 to January 2022.Preoperative FAR values were obtained within one week prior to surgery.Patients were followed through outpatient visits or telephone interviews,with overall survival(OS)as the primary endpoint.Statistical analyses,including receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and Kaplan-Meier survival estimates,were performed using SPSS software(version 27.0).RESULTS The cohort consisted of 36 male and 30 female patients,with a mean age of 61.81±8.58 years.The optimal FAR cut-off value was determined to be 0.088,with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.7899,sensitivity of 68.96%,and specificity of 80.01%.Patients with FAR≤0.088 showed significantly better survival rates(1-year:60.5%,2-year:52.6%,3-year:25.9%)and a median OS of 25.6 months(95%confidence interval:18.8-30.5 months),compared to those with FAR>0.088 who had a median OS of 10.8 months(95%confidence interval:6.3-12.9 months).CONCLUSION Lower preoperative FAR is associated with longer OS in GBC patients,confirming its potential as a valuable prognostic indicator for improving outcome predictions and guiding patient management strategies in gallbladder cancer. 展开更多
关键词 Gallbladder cancer Fibrinogen to albumin ratio Overall survival prognostic biomarker Surgical outcomes
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Development of a prognostic scoring system for hepatic vena cava Budd-Chiari syndrome with hepatocellular carcinoma
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作者 Sheng-Yan Liu Lu-Hao Li +2 位作者 Zhao-Chen Liu Su-Xin Li Xiao-Wei Dang 《Hepatobiliary & Pancreatic Diseases International》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第4期370-375,共6页
Background:Hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)is a serious complication of hepatic vena cava Budd-Chiari syndrome(HVC-BCS)that significantly reduces the survival time of patients.Our study aimed to analyze the prognostic fa... Background:Hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)is a serious complication of hepatic vena cava Budd-Chiari syndrome(HVC-BCS)that significantly reduces the survival time of patients.Our study aimed to analyze the prognostic factors influencing the survival of HVC-BCS patients with HCC and to develop a prognostic scoring system.Methods:The clinical and follow-up data of 64 HVC-BCS patients with HCC who received invasive treatment at the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University between January 2015 and December 2019 were retrospectively analyzed.Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests were used to analyze the survival curve of patients and the difference in prognoses between the groups.Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to analyze the influence of biochemical,tumor,and etiological characteristics on the total survival time of patients,and a new prognostic scoring system was developed according to the regression coefficients of the independent predictors in the statistical model.The prediction efficiency was evaluated using the time-dependent receiver operating characteristics curve and concordance index.Results:Multivariate analysis showed that serum albumin level<34 g/L[hazard ratio(HR)=4.207,95%confidence interval(CI):1.816-8.932,P=0.001],maximum tumor diameter>7 cm(HR=8.623,95%CI:3.771-19.715,P<0.001),and inferior vena cava stenosis(HR=3.612,95%CI:1.646-7.928,P=0.001)were independent predictors of survival.A prognostic scoring system was developed according to the above-mentioned independent predictors,and patients were classified into grades A,B,C and D.Significant differences in survival were found among the four groups.Conclusions:This study successfully developed a prognostic scoring system for HVC-BCS patients with HCC,which is helpful for clinical evaluation of patient prognosis. 展开更多
关键词 Budd-Chiari syndrome Hepatocellular carcinoma prognostic factors Inferior vena cava stenosis prognostic scoring system
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Construction and validation of a pancreatic cancer prognostic model based on genes related to the hypoxic tumor microenvironment 被引量:1
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作者 Fan Yang Na Jiang +3 位作者 Xiao-Yu Li Xing-Si Qi Zi-Bin Tian Ying-Jie Guo 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS 2024年第36期4057-4070,共14页
BACKGROUND Pancreatic cancer is one of the most lethal malignancies,characterized by poor prognosis and low survival rates.Traditional prognostic factors for pancreatic cancer offer inadequate predictive accuracy,ofte... BACKGROUND Pancreatic cancer is one of the most lethal malignancies,characterized by poor prognosis and low survival rates.Traditional prognostic factors for pancreatic cancer offer inadequate predictive accuracy,often failing to capture the complexity of the disease.The hypoxic tumor microenvironment has been recognized as a significant factor influencing cancer progression and resistance to treatment.This study aims to develop a prognostic model based on key hypoxia-related molecules to enhance prediction accuracy for patient outcomes and to guide more effective treatment strategies in pancreatic cancer.AIM To develop and validate a prognostic model for predicting outcomes in patients with pancreatic cancer using key hypoxia-related molecules.METHODS This pancreatic cancer prognostic model was developed based on the expression levels of the hypoxia-associated genes CAPN2,PLAU,and CCNA2.The results were validated in an independent dataset.This study also examined the correlations between the model risk score and various clinical features,components of the immune microenvironment,chemotherapeutic drug sensitivity,and metabolism-related pathways.Real-time quantitative PCR verification was conducted to confirm the differential expression of the target genes in hypoxic and normal pancreatic cancer cell lines.RESULTS The prognostic model demonstrated significant predictive value,with the risk score showing a strong correlation with clinical features:It was significantly associated with tumor grade(G)(bP<0.01),moderately associated with tumor stage(T)(aP<0.05),and significantly correlated with residual tumor(R)status(bP<0.01).There was also a significant negative correlation between the risk score and the half-maximal inhibitory concentration of some chemotherapeutic drugs.Furthermore,the risk score was linked to the enrichment of metabolism-related pathways in pancreatic cancer.CONCLUSION The prognostic model based on hypoxia-related genes effectively predicts pancreatic cancer outcomes with improved accuracy over traditional factors and can guide treatment selection based on risk assessment. 展开更多
关键词 Pancreatic cancer HYPOXIA prognostic model Immune microenvironment Metabolism pathway
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Identification and validation of a pyroptosis-related prognostic model for colorectal cancer based on bulk and single-cell RNA sequencing data 被引量:2
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作者 Li-Hua Zhu Jun Yang +3 位作者 Yun-Fei Zhang Li Yan Wan-Rong Lin Wei-Qing Liu 《World Journal of Clinical Oncology》 2024年第2期329-355,共27页
BACKGROUND Pyroptosis impacts the development of malignant tumors,yet its role in colorectal cancer(CRC)prognosis remains uncertain.AIM To assess the prognostic significance of pyroptosis-related genes and their assoc... BACKGROUND Pyroptosis impacts the development of malignant tumors,yet its role in colorectal cancer(CRC)prognosis remains uncertain.AIM To assess the prognostic significance of pyroptosis-related genes and their association with CRC immune infiltration.METHODS Gene expression data were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas(TCGA)and single-cell RNA sequencing dataset GSE178341 from the Gene Expression Omnibus(GEO).Pyroptosis-related gene expression in cell clusters was analyzed,and enrichment analysis was conducted.A pyroptosis-related risk model was developed using the LASSO regression algorithm,with prediction accuracy assessed through K-M and receiver operating characteristic analyses.A nomo-gram predicting survival was created,and the correlation between the risk model and immune infiltration was analyzed using CIBERSORTx calculations.Finally,the differential expression of the 8 prognostic genes between CRC and normal samples was verified by analyzing TCGA-COADREAD data from the UCSC database.RESULTS An effective pyroptosis-related risk model was constructed using 8 genes-CHMP2B,SDHB,BST2,UBE2D2,GJA1,AIM2,PDCD6IP,and SEZ6L2(P<0.05).Seven of these genes exhibited differential expression between CRC and normal samples based on TCGA database analysis(P<0.05).Patients with higher risk scores demonstrated increased death risk and reduced overall survival(P<0.05).Significant differences in immune infiltration were observed between low-and high-risk groups,correlating with pyroptosis-related gene expression.CONCLUSION We developed a pyroptosis-related prognostic model for CRC,affirming its correlation with immune infiltration.This model may prove useful for CRC prognostic evaluation. 展开更多
关键词 Colorectal cancer PYROPTOSIS Single-cell RNA sequencing Immune infiltration prognostic model
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Prognostic value of PEA3 subfamily gene expression in cholangiocarcinoma 被引量:1
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作者 Li Wang Zhe Zhang Hai-Zhang Ma 《World Journal of Gastrointestinal Oncology》 SCIE 2024年第9期4014-4027,共14页
BACKGROUND Cholangiocarcinoma(CCA)is a lethal malignancy with limited treatment options and poor prognosis.The PEA3 subfamily of E26 transformation specific genes:ETV1,ETV4,and ETV5 are known to play significant roles... BACKGROUND Cholangiocarcinoma(CCA)is a lethal malignancy with limited treatment options and poor prognosis.The PEA3 subfamily of E26 transformation specific genes:ETV1,ETV4,and ETV5 are known to play significant roles in various cancers by influencing cell proliferation,invasion,and metastasis.AIM To analyze PEA3 subfamily gene expression levels in CCA and their correlation with clinical parameters to determine their prognostic value for CCA.METHODS The expression levels of PEA3 subfamily genes in pan-cancer and CCA data in the cancer genome atlas and genotype-tissue expression project databases were analyzed with R language software.Survival curve and receiver operating characteristic analyses were performed using the SurvMiner,Survival,and Procr language packages.The gene expression profiling interactive analysis 2.0 database was used to analyze the expression levels of PEA3 subfamily genes in different subtypes and stages of CCA.Web Gestalt was used to perform the gene ontology/Kyoto encyclopedia of genes and genomes(GO/KEGG)analysis,and STRING database analysis was used to determine the genes and proteins related to PEA3 subfamily genes.RESULTS ETV1,ETV4,and ETV5 expression levels were significantly increased in CCA.There were significant differences in ETV1,ETV4,and ETV5 expression levels among the different subtypes of CCA,and predictive analysis revealed that only high ETV1 and ETV4 expression levels were significantly associated with shorter overall survival in patients with CCA.GO/KEGG analysis revealed that PEA3 subfamily genes were closely related to transcriptional misregulation in cancer.In vitro and in vivo experiments revealed that PEA3 silencing inhibited the invasion and metastasis of CCA cells.CONCLUSION The expression level of ETV4 may be a predictive biomarker of survival in patients with CCA. 展开更多
关键词 PEA3 subfamily CHOLANGIOCARCINOMA The cancer genome atlas ETV4 The prognosis prognostic biomarker
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Preoperative controlling nutritional status as an optimal prognostic nutritional index to predict the outcome for colorectal cancer 被引量:1
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作者 Li-Xiang Liu Hao Wang +6 位作者 Bo Gao Ting-Ting Xu Qing-Gang Yuan Shi-Zhen Zhou Chao Ding Ji Miao Wen-Xian Guan 《World Journal of Gastrointestinal Oncology》 SCIE 2024年第2期343-353,共11页
BACKGROUND The controlling nutritional status(CONUT)score effectively reflects a patient’s nutritional status,which is closely related to cancer prognosis.This study invest-igated the relationship between the CONUT s... BACKGROUND The controlling nutritional status(CONUT)score effectively reflects a patient’s nutritional status,which is closely related to cancer prognosis.This study invest-igated the relationship between the CONUT score and prognosis after radical surgery for colorectal cancer,and compared the predictive ability of the CONUT score with other indexes.AIM To analyze the predictive performance of the CONUT score for the survival rate of colorectal cancer patients who underwent potentially curative resection.METHODS This retrospective analysis included 217 patients with newly diagnosed colorectal.The CONUT score was calculated based on the serum albumin level,total lymphocyte count,and total cholesterol level.The cutoff value of the CONUT score for predicting prognosis was 4 according to the Youden Index by the receiver operating characteristic curve.The associations between the CONUT score and the prognosis were performed using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression analysis.RESULTS Using the cutoff value of the CONUT score,patients were stratified into CONUT low(n=189)and CONUT high groups(n=28).The CONUT high group had worse overall survival(OS)(P=0.013)and relapse-free survival(RFS)(P=0.015).The predictive performance of CONUT was superior to the modified Glasgow prognostic score,the prognostic nutritional index,and the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio.Meanwhile,the predictive performances of CONUT+tumor node metastasis(TNM)stage for 3-year OS[area under the receiver operating characteristics curve(AUC)=0.803]and 3-year RFS(AUC=0.752)were no less than skeletal muscle mass index(SMI)+TNM stage.The CONUT score was negatively correlated with SMI(P<0.01).CONCLUSION As a nutritional indicator,the CONUT score could predict long-term outcomes after radical surgery for colorectal cancer,and its predictive ability was superior to other indexes.The correlation between the CONUT score and skeletal muscle may be one of the factors that play a predictive role. 展开更多
关键词 Controlling nutritional status Colorectal cancer prognostic marker SARCOPENIA Skeletal muscle
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Prognostic analysis of related factors of adverse reactions to immunotherapy in advanced gastric cancer and establishment of a nomogram model 被引量:1
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作者 Xu-Xu He Bang Du +1 位作者 Tao Wu Hao Shen 《World Journal of Gastrointestinal Oncology》 SCIE 2024年第4期1268-1280,共13页
BACKGROUND Immunotherapy for advanced gastric cancer has attracted widespread attention in recent years.However,the adverse reactions of immunotherapy and its relationship with patient prognosis still need further stu... BACKGROUND Immunotherapy for advanced gastric cancer has attracted widespread attention in recent years.However,the adverse reactions of immunotherapy and its relationship with patient prognosis still need further study.In order to determine the association between adverse reaction factors and prognosis,the aim of this study was to conduct a systematic prognostic analysis.By comprehensively evaluating the clinical data of patients with advanced gastric cancer treated by immunotherapy,a nomogram model will be established to predict the survival status of patients more accurately.AIM To explore the characteristics and predictors of immune-related adverse reactions(irAEs)in advanced gastric cancer patients receiving immunotherapy with programmed death protein-1(PD-1)inhibitors and to analyze the correlation between irAEs and patient prognosis.METHODS A total of 140 patients with advanced gastric cancer who were treated with PD-1 inhibitors in our hospital from June 2021 to October 2023 were selected.Patients were divided into the irAEs group and the non-irAEs group according to whether or not irAEs occurred.Clinical features,manifestations,and prognosis of irAEs in the two groups were collected and analyzed.A multivariate logistic regression model was used to analyze the related factors affecting the occurrence of irAEs,and the prediction model of irAEs was established.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was used to evaluate the ability of different indicators to predict irAEs.A Kaplan-Meier survival curve was used to analyze the correlation between irAEs and prognosis.The Cox proportional risk model was used to analyze the related factors affecting the prognosis of patients.RESULTS A total of 132 patients were followed up,of whom 63(47.7%)developed irAEs.We looked at the two groups’clinical features and found that the two groups were statistically different in age≥65 years,Ki-67 index,white blood cell count,neutrophil count,and regulatory T cell(Treg)count(all P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that Treg count was a protective factor affecting irAEs occurrence(P=0.030).The ROC curve indicated that Treg+Ki-67+age(≥65 years)combined could predict irAEs well(area under the curve=0.753,95%confidence interval:0.623-0.848,P=0.001).Results of the Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that progressionfree survival(PFS)was longer in the irAEs group than in the non-irAEs group(P=0.001).Cox proportional hazard regression analysis suggested that the occurrence of irAEs was an independent factor for PFS(P=0.006).CONCLUSION The number of Treg cells is a separate factor that affects irAEs in advanced gastric cancer patients receiving PD-1 inhibitor immunotherapy.irAEs can affect the patients’PFS and result in longer PFS.Treg+Ki-67+age(≥65 years old)combined can better predict the occurrence of adverse reactions. 展开更多
关键词 Advanced gastric cancer prognostic analysis IMMUNOTHERAPY Nomogram model
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Establishment and evaluation of a prognostic model for patients with unresectable gastric cancer liver metastases 被引量:1
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作者 Zheng-Yao Chang Wen-Xing Gao +3 位作者 Yue Zhang Wen Zhao Di Wu Lin Chen 《World Journal of Clinical Cases》 SCIE 2024年第13期2182-2193,共12页
BACKGROUND Liver metastases(LM)is the primary factor contributing to unfavorable outcomes in patients diagnosed with gastric cancer(GC).The objective of this study is to analyze significant prognostic risk factors for... BACKGROUND Liver metastases(LM)is the primary factor contributing to unfavorable outcomes in patients diagnosed with gastric cancer(GC).The objective of this study is to analyze significant prognostic risk factors for patients with GCLM and develop a reliable nomogram model that can accurately predict individualized prognosis,thereby enhancing the ability to evaluate patient outcomes.AIM To analyze prognostic risk factors for GCLM and develop a reliable nomogram model to accurately predict individualized prognosis,thereby enhancing patient outcome assessment.METHODS Retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical data pertaining to GCLM(type III),admitted to the Department of General Surgery across multiple centers of the Chinese PLA General Hospital from January 2010 to January 2018.The dataset was divided into a development cohort and validation cohort in a ratio of 2:1.In the development cohort,we utilized univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses to identify independent risk factors associated with overall survival in GCLM patients.Subsequently,we established a prediction model based on these findings and evaluated its performance using receiver operator characteristic curve analysis,calibration curves,and clinical decision curves.A nomogram was created to visually represent the prediction model,which was then externally validated using the validation cohort.RESULTS A total of 372 patients were included in this study,comprising 248 individuals in the development cohort and 124 individuals in the validation cohort.Based on Cox analysis results,our final prediction model incorporated five independent risk factors including albumin levels,primary tumor size,presence of extrahepatic metastases,surgical treatment status,and chemotherapy administration.The 1-,3-,and 5-years Area Under the Curve values in the development cohort are 0.753,0.859,and 0.909,respectively;whereas in the validation cohort,they are observed to be 0.772,0.848,and 0.923.Furthermore,the calibration curves demonstrated excellent consistency between observed values and actual values.Finally,the decision curve analysis curve indicated substantial net clinical benefit.CONCLUSION Our study identified significant prognostic risk factors for GCLM and developed a reliable nomogram model,demonstrating promising predictive accuracy and potential clinical benefit in evaluating patient outcomes. 展开更多
关键词 Gastric cancer Liver metastases NOMOGRAM prognostic model Survival analysis
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Use of machine learning models for the prognostication of liver transplantation: A systematic review 被引量:2
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作者 Gidion Chongo Jonathan Soldera 《World Journal of Transplantation》 2024年第1期164-188,共25页
BACKGROUND Liver transplantation(LT)is a life-saving intervention for patients with end-stage liver disease.However,the equitable allocation of scarce donor organs remains a formidable challenge.Prognostic tools are p... BACKGROUND Liver transplantation(LT)is a life-saving intervention for patients with end-stage liver disease.However,the equitable allocation of scarce donor organs remains a formidable challenge.Prognostic tools are pivotal in identifying the most suitable transplant candidates.Traditionally,scoring systems like the model for end-stage liver disease have been instrumental in this process.Nevertheless,the landscape of prognostication is undergoing a transformation with the integration of machine learning(ML)and artificial intelligence models.AIM To assess the utility of ML models in prognostication for LT,comparing their performance and reliability to established traditional scoring systems.METHODS Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis guidelines,we conducted a thorough and standardized literature search using the PubMed/MEDLINE database.Our search imposed no restrictions on publication year,age,or gender.Exclusion criteria encompassed non-English studies,review articles,case reports,conference papers,studies with missing data,or those exhibiting evident methodological flaws.RESULTS Our search yielded a total of 64 articles,with 23 meeting the inclusion criteria.Among the selected studies,60.8%originated from the United States and China combined.Only one pediatric study met the criteria.Notably,91%of the studies were published within the past five years.ML models consistently demonstrated satisfactory to excellent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values(ranging from 0.6 to 1)across all studies,surpassing the performance of traditional scoring systems.Random forest exhibited superior predictive capabilities for 90-d mortality following LT,sepsis,and acute kidney injury(AKI).In contrast,gradient boosting excelled in predicting the risk of graft-versus-host disease,pneumonia,and AKI.CONCLUSION This study underscores the potential of ML models in guiding decisions related to allograft allocation and LT,marking a significant evolution in the field of prognostication. 展开更多
关键词 Liver transplantation Machine learning models prognosticATION Allograft allocation Artificial intelligence
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Phospholipase A2 enzymes PLA2G2A and PLA2G12B as potential diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers in cholangiocarcinoma 被引量:1
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作者 Chen Qiu Yu-Kai Xiang +6 位作者 Xuan-Bo Da Hong-Lei Zhang Xiang-Yu Kong Nian-Zong Hou Cheng Zhang Fu-Zhou Tian Yu-Long Yang 《World Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery》 SCIE 2024年第2期289-306,共18页
BACKGROUND Phospholipase A2(PLA2)enzymes are pivotal in various biological processes,such as lipid mediator production,membrane remodeling,bioenergetics,and maintaining the body surface barrier.Notably,these enzymes p... BACKGROUND Phospholipase A2(PLA2)enzymes are pivotal in various biological processes,such as lipid mediator production,membrane remodeling,bioenergetics,and maintaining the body surface barrier.Notably,these enzymes play a significant role in the development of diverse tumors.AIM To systematically and comprehensively explore the expression of the PLA2 family genes and their potential implications in cholangiocarcinoma(CCA).METHODS We conducted an analysis of five CCA datasets from The Cancer Genome Atlas and the Gene Expression Omnibus.The study identified differentially expressed genes between tumor tissues and adjacent normal tissues,with a focus on PLA2G2A and PLA2G12B.Gene Set Enrichment Analysis was utilized to pinpoint associated pathways.Moreover,relevant hub genes and microRNAs for PLA2G2A and PLA2G12B were predicted,and their correlation with the prognosis of CCA was evaluated.RESULTS PLA2G2A and PLA2G12B were discerned as differentially expressed in CCA,manifesting significant variations in expression levels in urine and serum between CCA patients and healthy individuals.Elevated expression of PLA2G2A was correlated with poorer overall survival in CCA patients.Additionally,the study delineated pathways and miRNAs associated with these genes.CONCLUSION Our findings suggest that PLA2G2A and PLA2G12B may serve as novel potential diagnostic and prognostic markers for CCA.The increased levels of these genes in biological fluids could be employed as non-invasive markers for CCA,and their expression levels are indicative of prognosis,underscoring their potential utility in clinical settings. 展开更多
关键词 PLA2G2A PLA2G12B DIAGNOSTIC prognostic biomarkers cholangiocarcinoma
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A Meta-Analysis of the Prognostic and Clinicopathological Significance of circZFR in Human Gastrointestinal Cancers 被引量:1
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作者 Christian Cedric Bongolo Erick Thokerunga +1 位作者 Yu Zhang Jian-Cheng Tu 《International Journal of Clinical Medicine》 CAS 2024年第3期134-144,共11页
Background: Studies of gastrointestinal (GIT) cancers have shown that circZFR could be involved in the development and progression of various GIT cancers. However, small sample sizes limit the clinical significance of... Background: Studies of gastrointestinal (GIT) cancers have shown that circZFR could be involved in the development and progression of various GIT cancers. However, small sample sizes limit the clinical significance of these studies. Here, a meta-analysis was conducted to ascertain the actual involvement of circZFR in the development and prognosis of GIT cancers. Methods: PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library were searched up to December 31, 2023. Hazard ratios (HRs) or odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were pooled to evaluate the association between circZFR expression and overall survival (OS). Publication bias was measured using the funnel plot and Egger’s test. Results: 10 studies having 659 participants were enrolled for meta-analysis. High circZFR expression was associated with poor OS (HR = 1.4, 95% CI: 1.20, 1.70). High circZFR expression also predicted larger tumor size (OR = 4.38, 95% CI 2.65, 7.25), advanced clinical stage (OR = 5.33, 95% CI 3.10, 9.16), and tendency for distant metastasis (OR = 2.89, 95% CI: 1.62, 5.11), but was not related to age, gender, and histological grade. Conclusions: In summary, high circZFR expression was associated with poor OS, larger tumor size, advanced stage cancer and tendency for distant metastasis. These findings suggested that circZFR could be a prognostic marker for GIT cancers. 展开更多
关键词 CircZFR GASTROINTESTINAL prognostic SIGNIFICANCE META-ANALYSIS
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Elucidating the molecular basis of ATP-induced cell death in breast cancer: Construction of a robust prognostic model 被引量:1
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作者 Hao-Ling Zhang Sandai Doblin +11 位作者 Zhong-Wen Zhang Zhi-Jing Song Babu Dinesh Yasser Tabana DahhamSabbar Saad Mowaffaq Adam Ahmed Adam Yong Wang Wei Wang Hao-Long Zhang Sen Wu Rui Zhao Barakat Khaled 《World Journal of Clinical Oncology》 2024年第2期208-242,共35页
BACKGROUND Breast cancer is a multifaceted and formidable disease with profound public health implications.Cell demise mechanisms play a pivotal role in breast cancer pathogenesis,with ATP-triggered cell death attract... BACKGROUND Breast cancer is a multifaceted and formidable disease with profound public health implications.Cell demise mechanisms play a pivotal role in breast cancer pathogenesis,with ATP-triggered cell death attracting mounting interest for its unique specificity and potential therapeutic pertinence.AIM To investigate the impact of ATP-induced cell death(AICD)on breast cancer,enhancing our understanding of its mechanism.METHODS The foundational genes orchestrating AICD mechanisms were extracted from the literature,underpinning the establishment of a prognostic model.Simultaneously,a microRNA(miRNA)prognostic model was constructed that mirrored the gene-based prognostic model.Distinctions between high-and low-risk cohorts within mRNA and miRNA characteristic models were scrutinized,with the aim of delineating common influence mechanisms,substantiated through enrichment analysis and immune infiltration assessment.RESULTS The mRNA prognostic model in this study encompassed four specific mRNAs:P2X purinoceptor 4,pannexin 1,caspase 7,and cyclin 2.The miRNA prognostic model integrated four pivotal miRNAs:hsa-miR-615-3p,hsa-miR-519b-3p,hsa-miR-342-3p,and hsa-miR-324-3p.B cells,CD4+T cells,CD8+T cells,endothelial cells,and macrophages exhibited inverse correlations with risk scores across all breast cancer subtypes.Furthermore,Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes analysis revealed that genes differentially expressed in response to mRNA risk scores significantly enriched 25 signaling pathways,while miRNA risk scores significantly enriched 29 signaling pathways,with 16 pathways being jointly enriched.CONCLUSION Of paramount significance,distinct mRNA and miRNA signature models were devised tailored to AICD,both potentially autonomous prognostic factors.This study's elucidation of the molecular underpinnings of AICD in breast cancer enhances the arsenal of potential therapeutic tools,offering an unparalleled window for innovative interventions.Essentially,this paper reveals the hitherto enigmatic link between AICD and breast cancer,potentially leading to revolutionary progress in personalized oncology. 展开更多
关键词 ATP-induced cell death MRNA MIRNA prognostic model Breast cancer
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Circulating tumor DNA as prognostic markers of relapsed breast cancer:a systematic review and meta-analysis 被引量:1
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作者 Na’na Guo Qingxin Zhou +4 位作者 Xiaowei Chen Baoqi Zeng Shanshan Wu Hongmei Zeng Feng Sun 《Journal of the National Cancer Center》 2024年第1期63-73,共11页
Objective: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is increasingly being used as a potential prognosis biomarker in patients of breast cancer. This review aims to assess the clinical value of ctDNA in outcome prediction in brea... Objective: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is increasingly being used as a potential prognosis biomarker in patients of breast cancer. This review aims to assess the clinical value of ctDNA in outcome prediction in breast cancer patients throughout the whole treatment cycle. Methods: PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane Library, Scopus, and clinical trials.gov were searched from January 2016 to May 2022. Conference abstracts published in last three years were also included. The following search terms were used: ctDNA OR circulating tumor DNA AND breast cancer OR breast carcinoma. Only studies written in English languages were included. The following pre-specified criteria should be met for inclusion: (1) observational studies (prospective or retrospective), randomized control trials, case-control studies and case series studies;(2) patients with breast cancer;(3) ctDNA measurement;(4) clinical outcome data such as objective response rate (ORR), pathological complete response (pCR), relapse-free survival (RFS), overall survival (OS), and so on. The random-effect model was preferred considering the potential heterogeneity across studies. The primary outcomes included postoperative short-term outcomes (ORR and pCR) and postoperative long-term outcomes (RFS, OS, and relapse). Secondary outcomes focused on ctDNA detection rate. Results: A total of 30 studies, comprising of 19 cohort studies, 2 case-control studies and 9 case series studies were included. The baseline ctDNA was significantly negatively associated with ORR outcome (Relative Risk [RR] = 0.65, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.50–0.83), with lower ORR in the ctDNA-positive group than ctDNAnegative group. ctDNA during neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) treatment was significantly associated with pCR outcomes (Odds Ratio [OR] = 0.15, 95% CI: 0.04–0.54). The strong association between ctDNA and RFS or relapse outcome was significant across the whole treatment period, especially after the surgery (RFS: Hazard Ratio [HR] = 6.74, 95% CI: 3.73–12.17;relapse outcome: RR = 7.11, 95% CI: 3.05–16.53), although there was heterogeneity in these results. Pre-operative and post-operative ctDNA measurements were significantly associated with OS outcomes (pre-operative: HR = 2.03, 95% CI: 1.12–3.70;post-operative: HR = 6.03, 95% CI: 1.31–27.78). Conclusions: In this review, ctDNA measurements at different timepoints are correlated with evaluation indexes at different periods after treatment. The ctDNA can be used as an early potential postoperative prognosis biomarker in breast cancer, and also as a reference index to evaluate the therapeutic effect at different stages. 展开更多
关键词 CTDNA Breast cancer prognostic outcome prediction META-ANALYSIS
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A Prognostic Model Based on Colony Stimulating Factors-related Genes in Triple-negative Breast Cancer
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作者 GUO Yu-Xuan WANG Zhi-Yu +7 位作者 XIAO Pei-Yao ZHENG Chan-Juan FU Shu-Jun HE Guang-Chun LONG Jun WANG Jie DENG Xi-Yun WANG Yi-An 《生物化学与生物物理进展》 SCIE CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第10期2741-2756,共16页
Objective Triple-negative breast cancer(TNBC)is the breast cancer subtype with the worst prognosis,and lacks effective therapeutic targets.Colony stimulating factors(CSFs)are cytokines that can regulate the production... Objective Triple-negative breast cancer(TNBC)is the breast cancer subtype with the worst prognosis,and lacks effective therapeutic targets.Colony stimulating factors(CSFs)are cytokines that can regulate the production of blood cells and stimulate the growth and development of immune cells,playing an important role in the malignant progression of TNBC.This article aims to construct a novel prognostic model based on the expression of colony stimulating factors-related genes(CRGs),and analyze the sensitivity of TNBC patients to immunotherapy and drug therapy.Methods We downloaded CRGs from public databases and screened for differentially expressed CRGs between normal and TNBC tissues in the TCGA-BRCA database.Through LASSO Cox regression analysis,we constructed a prognostic model and stratified TNBC patients into high-risk and low-risk groups based on the colony stimulating factors-related genes risk score(CRRS).We further analyzed the correlation between CRRS and patient prognosis,clinical features,tumor microenvironment(TME)in both high-risk and low-risk groups,and evaluated the relationship between CRRS and sensitivity to immunotherapy and drug therapy.Results We identified 842 differentially expressed CRGs in breast cancer tissues of TNBC patients and selected 13 CRGs for constructing the prognostic model.Kaplan-Meier survival curves,time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves,and other analyses confirmed that TNBC patients with high CRRS had shorter overall survival,and the predictive ability of CRRS prognostic model was further validated using the GEO dataset.Nomogram combining clinical features confirmed that CRRS was an independent factor for the prognosis of TNBC patients.Moreover,patients in the high-risk group had lower levels of immune infiltration in the TME and were sensitive to chemotherapeutic drugs such as 5-fluorouracil,ipatasertib,and paclitaxel.Conclusion We have developed a CRRS-based prognostic model composed of 13 differentially expressed CRGs,which may serve as a useful tool for predicting the prognosis of TNBC patients and guiding clinical treatment.Moreover,the key genes within this model may represent potential molecular targets for future therapies of TNBC. 展开更多
关键词 triple-negative breast cancer colony stimulating factors prognostic model tumor microenvironment drug sensitivity
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A pilot clinical study to evaluate feasibility of using single patient classifier as a prognostic test in stage Ⅱ-Ⅲ gastric cancer patients
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作者 Ji Yeong An Sung Eun Oh +13 位作者 Soomin Ahn Hyoung-II Kim Yoo Min Kim Minah Cho Keun Won Ryu Hong Man Yoon Young Kyu Park In Gyu Kwon Sung Hoon Noh Kyung Hee Lee In Cho Myoung Won Son Jong Won Kim Young-Woo Kim 《Chinese Journal of Cancer Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第4期368-377,共10页
Objective:Precision medicine approaches emphasize the importance of reliable prognostic tools for guiding individualized therapy decisions.In this study,we evaluated the clinical feasibility of the single patient clas... Objective:Precision medicine approaches emphasize the importance of reliable prognostic tools for guiding individualized therapy decisions.In this study,we evaluated the clinical feasibility of the single patient classifier(SPC)test,a new clinical-grade prognostic assay,in stageⅡ-Ⅲgastric cancer patients.Methods:A prospective multicenter study was conducted,involving 237 patients who underwent gastrectomy between September 2019 and August 2020 across nine hospitals.The SPC test was employed to stratify patients into risk groups,and its feasibility and performance were evaluated.The primary endpoint was the proportion of the cases in which the test results were timely delivered before selecting postoperative treatment.Furthermore,3-year disease-free survivals of risk groups were analyzed.Results:The SPC test met the primary endpoint criteria.The 99.5%of SPC tests were timely delivered to hospitals before the postoperative treatment started.In a clinical setting,the median time from the specimen transfer to laboratory to the result delivery to hospital was 4 d.Furthermore,3-year disease-free survivals were significantly different between risk groups classified with SPC tests.Conclusions:This study highlights the SPC test's feasibility in offering crucial information timely delivered for making informed decisions regarding postoperative treatment strategies.It also provides evidence to support the implementation of a future prospective clinical trial aimed at evaluating the clinical utility of the SPC test in guiding personalized treatment decisions for gastric cancer patients. 展开更多
关键词 prognostic test advanced gastric cancer adjuvant chemotherapy FEASIBILITY GASTRECTOMY
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Advancing prognostic precision in gastric cancer with an immunoinflammatory index
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作者 Hong-Mei Zhang Guo-Hua Wang +1 位作者 Shan-Wen Sun Lei Yuan 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS 2024年第44期4754-4758,共5页
Gastric cancer remains a major global health challenge with high morbidity and mortality rates.Recent advancements in immunology and inflammation research have highlighted the crucial roles that these biological proce... Gastric cancer remains a major global health challenge with high morbidity and mortality rates.Recent advancements in immunology and inflammation research have highlighted the crucial roles that these biological processes play in tumor progression and patient outcomes.This has sparked new interest in developing prognostic biomarkers that integrate these two key biological processes.In this letter,we discuss the recent study by Ba et al,which proposed a novel prognostic immunoinflammatory index for patients with gastric cancer.We underscore the importance of this research,its potential impact on medical practice,and the prospective avenues for further investigation in this rapidly emerging area of study. 展开更多
关键词 Gastric cancer Immunoinflammatory index prognostic biomarkers INFLAMMATION IMMUNOLOGY
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