BACKGROUND Red blood cell distribution width(RDW)is associated with the development and progression of various diseases.AIM To explore the association between pretreatment RDW and short-term outcomes after laparoscopi...BACKGROUND Red blood cell distribution width(RDW)is associated with the development and progression of various diseases.AIM To explore the association between pretreatment RDW and short-term outcomes after laparoscopic pancreatoduodenectomy(LPD).METHODS A total of 804 consecutive patients who underwent LPD at our hospital between March 2017 and November 2021 were retrospectively analyzed.Correlations between pretreatment RDW and clinicopathological characteristics and short-term outcomes were investigated.RESULTS Patients with higher pretreatment RDW were older,had higher Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group scores and were associated with poorer short-term outcomes than those with normal RDW.High pretreatment RDW was an independent risk factor for postoperative complications(POCs)(hazard ratio=2.973,95%confidence interval:2.032-4.350,P<0.001)and severe POCs of grade IIIa or higher(hazard ratio=3.138,95%confidence interval:2.042-4.824,P<0.001)based on the Clavien-Dino classification system.Subgroup analysis showed that high pretreatment RDW was an independent risk factor for Clavien-Dino classi-fication grade IIIb or higher POCs,a comprehensive complication index score≥26.2,severe postoperative pancreatic fistula,severe bile leakage and severe hemorrhage.High pretreatment RDW was positively associated with the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio and was negatively associated with albumin and the prognostic nutritional index.CONCLUSION Pretreatment RDW was a special parameter for patients who underwent LPD.It was associated with malnutrition,severe inflammatory status and poorer short-term outcomes.RDW could be a surrogate marker for nutritional and inflammatory status in identifying patients who were at high risk of developing POCs after LPD.展开更多
BACKGROUND Proton pump inhibitors(PPIs)are widely used,including among cancer patients,to manage gastroesophageal reflux and other gastric acid-related disorders.Recent evidence suggests associations between long-term...BACKGROUND Proton pump inhibitors(PPIs)are widely used,including among cancer patients,to manage gastroesophageal reflux and other gastric acid-related disorders.Recent evidence suggests associations between long-term PPI use and higher risks for various adverse health outcomes,including greater mortality.AIM To investigate the association between PPI use and all-cause mortality among cancer patients by a comprehensive analysis after adjustment for various confounders and a robust methodological approach to minimize bias.METHODS This retrospective cohort study used data from the TriNetX research network,with electronic health records from multiple healthcare organizations.The study employed a new-user,active comparator design,which compared newly treated PPI users with non-users and newly treated histamine2 receptor antagonists(H2RA)users among adult cancer patients.Newly prescribed PPIs(esomeprazole,lansoprazole,omeprazole,pantoprazole,or rabeprazole)users were compared to non-users or newly prescribed H2RAs(cimetidine,famotidine,nizatidine,or ranitidine)users.The primary outcome was all-cause mortality.Each patient in the main group was matched to a patient in the control group using 1:1 propensity score matching to reduce confounding effects.Multivariable Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios(HRs)and 95% confidence interval(CI).RESULTS During the follow-up period(median 5.4±1.8 years for PPI users and 6.5±1.0 years for non-users),PPI users demonstrated a higher all-cause mortality rate than non-users after 1 year,2 years,and at the end of follow up(HRs:2.34-2.72).Compared with H2RA users,PPI users demonstrated a higher rate of all-cause mortality HR:1.51(95%CI:1.41-1.69).Similar results were observed across sensitivity analyses by excluding deaths from the first 9 months and 1-year post-exposure,confirming the robustness of these findings.In a sensitivity analysis,we analyzed all-cause mortality outcomes between former PPI users and individuals who have never used PPIs,providing insights into the long-term effects of past PPI use.In addition,at 1-year follow-up,the analysis revealed a significant difference in mortality rates between former PPI users and non-users(HR:1.84;95%CI:1.82-1.96).CONCLUSION PPI use among cancer patients was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality compared to non-users or H2RA users.These findings emphasize the need for cautious use of PPIs in cancer patients and suggest that alternative treatments should be considered when clinically feasible.However,further studies are needed to corroborate our findings,given the significant adverse outcomes in cancer patients.展开更多
Geographical variations in all-cause mortality rates may be influenced by residents’ place of residence and the time period under study. Understanding these variations is essential for designing effective public heal...Geographical variations in all-cause mortality rates may be influenced by residents’ place of residence and the time period under study. Understanding these variations is essential for designing effective public health interventions and optimizing resource allocation. This study aimed to identify small area level factors associated with all-cause mortality and to map hotspots of excess deaths across a region. The analysis produced relative mortality rates and exceedance probabilities to pinpoint areas with an excess burden of death. Results showed that all-cause mortality was particularly concentrated in the upper central and northern regions of the region, where many rural counties are located. Key factors associated with higher mortality rates included lower median income, younger median age, and a lower percentage of Hispanic population in the counties studied. These findings highlight the importance of addressing income disparity in high-mortality areas, particularly in rural regions, to guide resource allocation and develop targeted interventions that can most effectively reduce mortality rates where they are needed most.展开更多
Introduction: In Africa, care during childbirth depends on routine practices to the detriment of quality. The aim of this study was to assess the quality of delivery care at the Coronthie CMC. Methods: The study was c...Introduction: In Africa, care during childbirth depends on routine practices to the detriment of quality. The aim of this study was to assess the quality of delivery care at the Coronthie CMC. Methods: The study was carried out at the Coronthie Community Medical Center. It was a cross-sectional, descriptive and analytical study lasting 6 months, from July 01 to December 31, 2021. Parturients whose term was ≥28 SA and who agreed to participate in the study were included. Excluded were those with a term Results: The frequency of quality care is 36.7%. The average age of parturients was 28.6 ± 5 years. Most parturients (89.7%) were married women with secondary education (35%) and self-employed (32%). Pauciparous women accounted for 43.80%, and most parturients (59.8%) were delivered by Caesarean section. We found that 21.5% of parturients had developed complications. These complications were perineal trauma and post-partum haemorrhage. There were no maternal deaths, and the neonatal mortality rate was 20/1000 NV. Acute fetal distress was the main cause of perinatal death. Conclusion: Correct management of factors influencing childbirth could improve maternal and neonatal prognosis.展开更多
Introduction: Uterine rupture is certainly one of the most serious, as it immediately jeopardises the vital prognosis of the mother and foetus. It is a common obstetric tragedy in our delivery rooms in countries with ...Introduction: Uterine rupture is certainly one of the most serious, as it immediately jeopardises the vital prognosis of the mother and foetus. It is a common obstetric tragedy in our delivery rooms in countries with limited resources, reflecting the poor quality of obstetric care and, consequently, an unmet obstetric need. Methods: This was a descriptive and analytical cross-sectional study with prospective data collection over a four-year period from 1 January 2020 to 31 December 2023 at the University Hospital Centre (CHU) of Bouaké, in the Obstetrics and Gynaecology Department. The variables studied were epidemiological characteristics, therapeutic aspects and factors associated with maternal. Results: The prevalence of uterine rupture was 0.63%. The average age was 32, with patients aged 35 and over accounting for 33.68%, married 44.21% and 70% not in education. Patients with uterine rupture had been evacuated in 85.26% of cases. Uterine rupture was diagnosed in 97.89% of cases during labour. Maternal lethality due to rupture was 15.79%. The causes of maternal death were dominated by haemorrhagic shock (53.33%). Factors statistically associated with death were age ≥ 35 years (OR: 3.14), duration of labour ≥ 12 hours (OR: 5.8), multiparity (OR: 19.04), admission delay beyond 2 hours (OR: 4.36), haemoglobin level ≤ 7 g/dl (OR: 36.84), coma or obnubilation (OR: 71.82), haemorrhagic shock (OR: 243.94) and occurrence of post-operative complications (OR: 76.45). Conclusion: The frequency of uterine rupture remains significant in the department (0.63%), with maternal mortality still high (15.79%). The key to reducing uterine rupture and its consequences lies in timely referral and early, appropriate management.展开更多
This study examines the relationship between geomagnetic indices and mortality rates from specific diseases in the Northeast (NE) and Southern (S) regions of Brazil from 1996 to 2020. Solar activity data, including th...This study examines the relationship between geomagnetic indices and mortality rates from specific diseases in the Northeast (NE) and Southern (S) regions of Brazil from 1996 to 2020. Solar activity data, including the Ap and Sudden Ionospheric Disturbance (SID) indices, were sourced from the World Data Center, while mortality data were obtained from the Mortality Information System (SIM-DATASUS). Acute Myocardial Infarction (AMI) emerged as the leading cause of mortality, with average death rates of 60.4, 56.8, and 58.3 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants in Pernambuco (PE), Rio Grande do Sul (RS), and Paraná (PR), respectively. Temporal analysis revealed a consistent upward trend in AMI mortality across most states, except for Santa Catarina (SC). Seasonal patterns identified through Principal Component Analysis (PCA) demonstrated that geomagnetic and climatic indices influenced mortality differently across regions and seasons. The Ap geomagnetic index was strongly correlated with higher AMI mortality rates during summer, while the SID index showed greater relevance during winter. A dipole phenomenon was observed, with AMI deaths increasing alongside geomagnetic activity in the S region but showing an inverse relationship in the NE region. These findings highlight the significant influence of geomagnetic variations on public health, particularly cardiovascular mortality. The study underscores the need for further research into the biological mechanisms underlying these associations and recommends the development of early warning systems and targeted preventive measures to mitigate the potential health impacts of geomagnetic disturbances, especially for vulnerable populations.展开更多
Objective: To develop an illness severity score that predicts short-term mortality, based on a small number of readily available measurements, and overcomes limitations of the SOFA score, for use in research involving...Objective: To develop an illness severity score that predicts short-term mortality, based on a small number of readily available measurements, and overcomes limitations of the SOFA score, for use in research involving large-scale electronic health records. Design: Retrospective analysis of electronic records for 37,739 adult inpatients. Setting: A single tertiary care hospital system from 2016-2022. Patients: 37,739 adult ICU patients. Interventions: IMPS was developed using logistic regression with the 6 SOFA components, age, sex and missingness indicators as predictors, and 10-day mortality as the outcome. This was compared with SOFA with median imputation. Measurements and Main Results: Discrimination was evaluated by AUROC, calibration by comparing predicted and observed mortality. IMPS showed excellent discrimination (AUROC 0.80) and calibration. It outperformed SOFA alone (AUROC 0.70) and with age/sex (0.74). Conclusions: By retaining continuous data, adding age, allowing for missingness, and optimizing weights based on empirical mortality association, IMPS achieved substantially better mortality prediction than the original SOFA.展开更多
This editorial comments on the article by Desai et al,which investigates the impact of coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)on in-hospital mortality among patients with recurrent stroke using data from the 2020 National ...This editorial comments on the article by Desai et al,which investigates the impact of coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)on in-hospital mortality among patients with recurrent stroke using data from the 2020 National Inpatient Sample.The findings reveal significantly higher mortality rates in COVID-19-positive patients compared to non-COVID-19 patients,particularly among middle-aged individuals,males,and ethnic minorities.This editorial explores the underlying mechanisms contributing to these outcomes and discusses the clinical implications for targeted management strategies in high-risk groups.The results emphasize the need for comprehensive approaches to mitigate the heightened risks faced by recurrent stroke patients during the COVID-19 pandemic.展开更多
BACKGROUND Oesophageal cancer is a significant health concern worldwide,with high inci-dence and mortality rates.In China,the disease burden is particularly high,accounting for a substantial proportion of oesophageal ...BACKGROUND Oesophageal cancer is a significant health concern worldwide,with high inci-dence and mortality rates.In China,the disease burden is particularly high,accounting for a substantial proportion of oesophageal cancer cases and related deaths worldwide.AIM To explore the relationship between the mortality rate of oesophageal cancer patients and insurance type,out-of-pocket ratio,and the joint effects of insurance type and out-of-pocket ratio.METHODS The χ^(2) test was used to analyze patients’demographic and clinical characteristics.Multivariate logistic regression,the Cox proportional hazard model,and the competitive risk model were used to calculate the cumulative hazard ratios(HRs)of all-cause death and oesophageal cancer-specific death among patients with different types of insurance and out-of-pocket ratios.RESULTS Compared with patients covered by basic medical insurance for urban and rural residents,patients covered by urban employee basic medical insurance for urban workers(UEBMI)had a 23.30%increased risk of oesophageal cancer-specific death[HR=1.233,95%confidence interval(CI):1.093-1.391,P<0.005].Compared with patients in the low out-of-pocket ratio group,patients in the high out-of-pocket ratio group had a 25.80%reduction in the risk of oesophageal cancer-specific death(HR=0.742,95%CI:0.6555-0.84,P<0.005).With each 10%increase in the out-of-pocket ratio,the risk of oesophageal cancer-specific death decreased by 10.10%in patients covered by UEBMI.However,the risk of oesophageal cancer-specific death increased by 26.90%in patients in the high out-of-pocket ratio group.CONCLUSION This study reveals the relationships of the specific mortality rate of patients with oesophageal cancer with the out-of-pocket ratio and medical insurance types as well as their combined effects.This study provides practical suggestions and guidance for the formulation of relevant policies in this area.展开更多
Background:Skin cancer is a common skin disease whose incidence and mortality rates have been showing yearly increases.In this report,we update the most recent data on skin cancer as obtained from GLOBOCAN 2022.Method...Background:Skin cancer is a common skin disease whose incidence and mortality rates have been showing yearly increases.In this report,we update the most recent data on skin cancer as obtained from GLOBOCAN 2022.Methods:The incidence and mortality rates of skin cancer(melanoma of skin and non-melanoma skin cancer)in GLOBOCAN 2022 were reviewed.These data were analyzed and the characteristics of incidence and mortality across five continents and top five countries and regions in each continent are presented.In addition,correlations between Human Development Index(HDI)and age-standardized incidence and mortality rates of these two skin cancers are described.Results:The GLOBOCAN 2022 data indicated that melanoma was the 17th most common cancer.An estimated 331,722 people were diagnosed with melanoma globally and approximately 58,667 died from this disease.For non-melanoma skin cancer,it ranks as the 5th most common cancer,and an estimated 1,234,533 people were diagnosed with non-melanoma skin cancer globally and approximately 69,416 died from this disease.The incidence of skin cancer varies across geographic regions and countries,with a predominance observed in Oceania,North America,and Europe.Australia was ranked first in terms of incidence,while incidence rates in Africa and Asia were very low.Despite these regional differences in incidence,there was little geographic variation in mortality rates.Currently,the number of deaths from non-melanoma skin cancer exceeds that of melanoma of skin.HDI was positively associated with the incidence of both types of skin cancers,with a positive correlation obtained between HDI and mortality from melanoma of skin and a negative correlation between HDI and mortality from non-melanoma skin cancer.Conclusions:Skin cancer remains a major disease burden worldwide.Substantial variations are observed across countries and regions.Further research on skin cancer will be required to provide a rationale for more effective preventions and treatments of this condition.展开更多
Root tips are the main components of absorptive fine roots,but their seasonal dynamics and relationship to environmental factors remain unclear due to the difficulties in methodology.In this study,we explored the temp...Root tips are the main components of absorptive fine roots,but their seasonal dynamics and relationship to environmental factors remain unclear due to the difficulties in methodology.In this study,we explored the temporal patterns of root-tip production and mortality in monoculture plantations of five temperate tree species at a common site in northeastern China,and identified the general environmental controls on such processes.We made monthly in-situ assessments of root tip length(RTL)production and mortality in two hardwood and three coniferous species with a minirhizotron(MR)method during the growing seasons of 2008 and 2009.Air temperature,rainfall,soil temperature and water content at 10 cm depth were determined concurrently.RTL production in all species exhibited consistent peaks in summer(June–August)in two growing seasons.RTL mortality showed substantial interannual and interspecific variability,with peaks in autumn and winter in 2008,but various patterns in 2009.RTL production positively correlated with monthly soil and air temperature across all species,and with monthly rainfall in three coniferous species.However,there was no significant correlation between RTL production and soil water content.By contrast,RTL mortality was weakly related to environmental factors,showing positive correlations with soil temperature in Korean spruce,and with rainfall in Korean pine and Korean spruce.Our findings suggest that the seasonal patterns of RTL production are convergent across the five temperate tree species due to the overlapped distribution of heat and rainfall,which can conduce roots to maximizing the acquisition of nutrient resources in the soil.展开更多
Objective:To investigate the association between diagnosis delays and mortality in patients with haemorrhagic fever in Upper Southern Thailand.Methods:A hospital-based case control study was conducted between December...Objective:To investigate the association between diagnosis delays and mortality in patients with haemorrhagic fever in Upper Southern Thailand.Methods:A hospital-based case control study was conducted between December 2019 and January 2020.Cases were defined as patients who had been diagnosed with haemorrhagic fever and died during hospitalization,while controls were patients with similar conditions who survived.Medical records were retrospectively reviewed,with the primary variable being a diagnosis delay of more than three days after the onset of illness.The outcome of interest was mortality during hospitalization.Data analysis involved descriptive statistics and multiple logistic regression.Results:A total of 38815 haemorrhagic fever cases were reported from 2014 to 2019.The case-to-control ratio was 1:3,comprising 66 cases and 198 controls.Among 66 cases and 198 controls,the median(IQR)time from illness onset to diagnosis was 4(4)days in cases vs.1(0)day in controls.Diagnosis delays significantly increased mortality risk[adjusted OR(aOR)5.60,95%CI 2.74-11.46].Other risk factors for mortality included age曑5 years(aOR 16.15,95%CI 3.70-70.42)and overweight status(aOR 3.43,95%CI 1.57-7.52).Conclusions:Delayed diagnosis in patients with haemorrhagic fever was strongly associated with higher mortality rates.These findings highlight the critical importance of early diagnosis to reduce mortality in haemorrhagic fever cases.展开更多
Liver cirrhosis represents the final stage of liver diseases.The transition from the compensated to the decompensated form is a critical phase,as it is associated with a negative impact on patient prognosis.Therefore,...Liver cirrhosis represents the final stage of liver diseases.The transition from the compensated to the decompensated form is a critical phase,as it is associated with a negative impact on patient prognosis.Therefore,having a tool to identify patients at higher risk of complications and mortality is an ideal goal.Currently,the validated scores for this purpose are the model for end-stage liver disease score and the Child-Pugh score.However,these scores have limitations,as they do not account for other factors associated with liver cirrhosis that are equally relevant from a prognostic perspective.Among these,alterations in body composition,particularly sarcopenia,increase the risk of mortality and should therefore be considered in the comprehensive assessment of patients with liver cirrhosis.展开更多
Shen et al’s retrospective study aims to compare the utility of two separate scoring systems for predicting mortality attributable to gastrointestinal(GI)injury in critically ill patients[the GI Dysfunction Score(GID...Shen et al’s retrospective study aims to compare the utility of two separate scoring systems for predicting mortality attributable to gastrointestinal(GI)injury in critically ill patients[the GI Dysfunction Score(GIDS)and the Acute Gastroin-testinal Injury(AGI)grade].The authors note that this study is the first proposal that suggests an equivalence between the ability of both scores to predict mor-tality at 28 days from intensive care unit(ICU)admission.Shen et al retrospec-tively analysed an ICU cohort of patients utilising two physicians administering both the AGI grade and GIDS score,using electronic healthcare records and ICU flowsheets.Where these physicians disagreed about the scores,the final decision as to the scores was made by an associate chief physician,or chief physician.We note that the primary reason for the development of GIDS was to create a clear score for GI dysfunction,with minimal subjectivity or inter-operator variability.The subjectivity inherent to the older AGI grading system is what ultimately led to the development of GIDS in 2021.By ensuring consensus between physicians administering the AGI,Shen et al have controlled for one of this grading systems biggest issues.We have concerns,however,that this does not represent the real-world challenges associated with applying the AGI compared to the newer GIDS,and wonder if this arbitration process had not been instituted,would the two scoring systems remain equivalent in terms of predicted mortality?展开更多
BACKGROUND Severe dengue children with critical complications have been attributed to high mortality rates,varying from approximately 1%to over 20%.To date,there is a lack of data on machine-learning-based algorithms ...BACKGROUND Severe dengue children with critical complications have been attributed to high mortality rates,varying from approximately 1%to over 20%.To date,there is a lack of data on machine-learning-based algorithms for predicting the risk of inhospital mortality in children with dengue shock syndrome(DSS).AIM To develop machine-learning models to estimate the risk of death in hospitalized children with DSS.METHODS This single-center retrospective study was conducted at tertiary Children’s Hospital No.2 in Viet Nam,between 2013 and 2022.The primary outcome was the in-hospital mortality rate in children with DSS admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit(PICU).Nine significant features were predetermined for further analysis using machine learning models.An oversampling method was used to enhance the model performance.Supervised models,including logistic regression,Naïve Bayes,Random Forest(RF),K-nearest neighbors,Decision Tree and Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost),were employed to develop predictive models.The Shapley Additive Explanation was used to determine the degree of contribution of the features.RESULTS In total,1278 PICU-admitted children with complete data were included in the analysis.The median patient age was 8.1 years(interquartile range:5.4-10.7).Thirty-nine patients(3%)died.The RF and XGboost models demonstrated the highest performance.The Shapley Addictive Explanations model revealed that the most important predictive features included younger age,female patients,presence of underlying diseases,severe transaminitis,severe bleeding,low platelet counts requiring platelet transfusion,elevated levels of international normalized ratio,blood lactate and serum creatinine,large volume of resuscitation fluid and a high vasoactive inotropic score(>30).CONCLUSION We developed robust machine learning-based models to estimate the risk of death in hospitalized children with DSS.The study findings are applicable to the design of management schemes to enhance survival outcomes of patients with DSS.展开更多
BACKGROUND:Pancreatoduodenectomy offers the only chance of cure for patients with periampullary cancers.This,however,is a major undertaking in most patients and is associated with a significant morbidity and mortality...BACKGROUND:Pancreatoduodenectomy offers the only chance of cure for patients with periampullary cancers.This,however,is a major undertaking in most patients and is associated with a significant morbidity and mortality.A multidisciplinary approach to the workup and follow-up of patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy was initiated at our institution to improve the diagnosis,resection rate,mortality and morbidity.We undertook the study to assess the effect of this approach on diagnosis,resection rates and short-term outcomes such as morbidity and mortality.METHODS:A prospective database of patients presenting with periampullary cancers to a single surgeon between April 2004 and April 2010 was reviewed.All cases were discussed at a multidisciplinary meeting comprising surgeons,gastroenterologists,radiologists,oncologists,radiation oncologists,pathologists and nursing staff.A standardized investigation and management algorithm was followed.Complications were graded according to the Clavien-Dindo classification.RESULTS:A total of 295 patients with a periampullary lesion were discussed and 178 underwent pancreatoduodenectomy (resection rate 60%).Sixty-one patients (34%) required either a vascular or an additional organ resection.Eighty-nine patients experienced complications,of which the commonest was blood transfusion (12%).Thirty-four patients (19%) had major complications,i.e.grade 3 or above.There was no in-hospital,30-day or 60-day mortality.CONCLUSIONS:Pancreatoduodenectomy can safely be performed in high-volume centers with very low mortality.The surgeon’s role should be careful patient selection,intensive preoperative investigations,use of a team approach,and an unbiased discussion at a multidisciplinary meeting to optimize the outcome in these patients.展开更多
BACKGROUND The current understanding of the magnitude and consequences of multimorbidity in Chinese older adults with coronary heart disease(CHD)is insufficient.We aimed to assess the association and population-attrib...BACKGROUND The current understanding of the magnitude and consequences of multimorbidity in Chinese older adults with coronary heart disease(CHD)is insufficient.We aimed to assess the association and population-attributable fractions(PAFs)between multimorbidity and mortality among hospitalized older patients who were diagnosed with CHD in Shenzhen,China.METHODS We conducted a retrospective cohort study of older Chinese patients(aged≥65 years)who were diagnosed with CHD.Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the associations between multimorbidity and all-cause and cardiovascular disease(CVD)mortality.We also calculated the PAFs.RESULTS The study comprised 76,455 older hospitalized patients who were diagnosed with CHD between January 1,2016,and August 31,2022.Among them,70,217(91.9%)had multimorbidity,defined as the presence of at least one of the predefined 14 chronic conditions.Those with cancer,hemorrhagic stroke and chronic liver disease had the worst overall death risk,with adjusted HRs(95%CIs)of 4.05(3.77,4.38),2.22(1.94,2.53),and 1.85(1.63,2.11),respectively.For CVD mortality,the highest risk was observed for hemorrhagic stroke,ischemic stroke,and chronic kidney disease;the corresponding adjusted HRs(95%CIs)were 3.24(2.77,3.79),1.91(1.79,2.04),and 1.81(1.64,1.99),respectively.All-cause mortality was mostly attributable to cancer,heart failure and ischemic stroke,with PAFs of 11.8,10.2,and 9.1,respectively.As for CVD mortality,the leading PAFs were heart failure,ischemic stroke and diabetes;the corresponding PAFs were 18.0,15.7,and 6.1,respectively.CONCLUSIONS Multimorbidity was common and had a significant impact on mortality among older patients with CHD in Shenzhen,China.Cancer,heart failure,ischemic stroke and diabetes are the primary contributors to PAFs.Therefore,prioritizing improved treatment and management of these comorbidities is essential for the survival prognosis of CHD patients from a holistic public health perspective.展开更多
Background:The National Cancer Center(NCC)of China regularly reports the nationwide statistics on cancer incidence and mortality in China.The International Agency for Research on Cancer(IARC)calculates and publishes t...Background:The National Cancer Center(NCC)of China regularly reports the nationwide statistics on cancer incidence and mortality in China.The International Agency for Research on Cancer(IARC)calculates and publishes the cancer burden of countries around the world every two years.To ensure consistency between the actual surveillance data in China and the data published by IARC,NCC has received approval from the National Health Commission and IARC to simultaneously release the cancer burden data for China in GLOBOCAN 2022.Methods:There were a total of 700 registries reporting high-quality data on cancer incidence and mortality across China in 2018,of which 106 registries with continuous monitoring from 2010 to 2018 were used to establish an age-period-cohort model to simulate the trend of cancer incidence and mortality and to estimate the incidence and mortality in China in 2022.In addition,we analyzed the temporal trends of age-standardized cancer incidence and mortality from 2000 to 2018 using data from 22 continuous cancer registries.Results:It was estimated about 4,824,700 new cancer cases and 2,574,200 new cancer deaths occurred in China in 2022.Cancers of the lung,colon-rectum,thyroid,liver and stomach were the top five cancer types,accounting for 57.42%of new cancer cases.Cancers of the lung,liver,stomach,colon-rectum and esophagus were the five leading causes of cancer deaths,accounting for 67.50%of total cancer deaths.The crude rate and age-standardized incidence rate(ASIR)were 341.75 per 100,000 and 201.61 per 100,000,respectively.The crude mortality rate was 182.34 per 100,000 and the age-standardized mortality rate(ASMR)was 96.47 per 100,000.The ASIR of all cancers combined increased by approximately 1.4%per year during 2000–2018,while the ASMR decreased by approximately 1.3%per year.We observed decreasing trends in ASIR and ASMR for cancers of the esophagus,stomach,and liver,whereas the ASIR increased significantly for cancers of the thyroid,prostate,and cervix.Conclusions:Cancer remains a major public health concern in China,with a cancer profile that reflects the coexistence of developed and developing regions.Sustained implementation of prevention and control measures has resulted in significant reductions in the incidence and mortality rates of certain historically high incidence cancers,such as esophageal,stomach and liver cancers.Adherence to the guidelines of the Healthy China Action Plan and the Cancer Prevention and Control Action Plan,along with continued efforts in comprehensive risk factor control,cancer screening,early diagnosis and treatment,and standardization of diagnostic and therapeutic protocols,are key strategies to effectively mitigate the increasing cancer burden by 2030.展开更多
Background Depressive symptoms are established risk factors for various health outcomes.However,previous studies assessed depressive symptoms at a single time point,neglecting individual variations over time.Aims To i...Background Depressive symptoms are established risk factors for various health outcomes.However,previous studies assessed depressive symptoms at a single time point,neglecting individual variations over time.Aims To identify depressive symptoms trajectories through repeated measures and examine their associations with cardiovascular disease(CVD),cancer and mortality.Methods This study included 20634 UK Biobank participants free of CVD and cancer at baseline with two or more assessments of depressive symptoms during 2006-2016.Group-based trajectory modelling identified depressive symptoms trajectories.Incident CVD,cancer and mortality were followed up until 2021 through linked registries.Results Six depressive symptoms trajectories were identified:no symptoms(n=6407),mild-stable(n=11539),moderate-stable(n=2183),severe-decreasing(n=206),moderate-increasing(n=177)and severe-stable(n=122).During a median follow-up of 5.5 years,1471 CVD cases,1275 cancer cases and 503 deaths were documented.Compared with the no symptoms trajectory,the mildstable,moderate-stable and severe-stable trajectories exhibited higher CVD risk,with hazard ratios(HRs)(95%CIs)of 1.19(1.06 to 1.34),1.32(1.08 to 1.34)and 2.99(1.85 to 4.84),respectively.Moderate-increasing and severe-stable trajectories were associated with higher mortality risks,with HRs(95%CIs)of 2.27(1.04 to 4.93)and 3.26(1.55 to 6.88),respectively.However,the severedecreasing trajectory was not associated with higher risks of adverse outcomes.We did not find significant associations between any trajectory and cancer.Conclusions Trajectories related to stable and increasing depressive symptoms,but not the trajectory associated with severe depressive symptoms at the initial assessment but decreasing at the follow-up,were associated with higher risks of CVD and mortality.Alleviating severe depressive symptoms at the initial onset may mitigate CVD and mortality risks.展开更多
Background:A quality diet and an active lifestyle are both important cornerstones of cardiovascular disease(CVD)prevention.However,despite their interlinked effects on metabolic health,the 2 behaviors are rarely consi...Background:A quality diet and an active lifestyle are both important cornerstones of cardiovascular disease(CVD)prevention.However,despite their interlinked effects on metabolic health,the 2 behaviors are rarely considered jointly,particularly within the context of CVD prevention.We examined the independent,interactive,and joint associations of diet and physical activity with CVD hospitalization,CVD mortality,and all-cause mortality.Methods:CVD-free Australian participants aged 4574 years(n=85,545)reported physical activity,diet,sociodemographic,and lifestyle characteristics at baseline(20062009)and follow-up(20122015),and data were linked to hospitalization and death registries(03/31/2019 for CVD hospitalization and all-cause mortality and 12/08/2017 for CVD mortality).Diet quality was categorized as low,medium,and high based on meeting dietary recommendations.Physical activity was operationalized as(a)total moderate-to-vigorous physical activity(MVPA)as per guidelines,and(b)the composition of MVPA as the ratio of vigorous-intensity physical activity(VPA)to total MVPA.We used a left-truncated cause-specific Cox proportional hazards model using time-varying covariates.Results:During a median of 10.7 years of follow-up,6576 participants were admitted to the hospital for CVD and 6581 died from all causes(876 from CVD during 9.3 years).A high-quality diet was associated with a 17%lower risk of all-cause mortality than a low-quality diet,and the highest MVPA category(compared with the lowest)was associated with a 44%and 48%lower risk of CVD and all-cause mortality,respectively.Multiplicative interactions between diet and physical activity were non-significant.For all outcomes,the lowest risk combinations involved a high-quality diet and the highest MVPA categories.Accounting for total MVPA,some VPA was associated with further risk reduction of CVD hospitalization and all-cause mortality.Conclusion:For CVD prevention and longevity,one should adhere to both a healthy diet and an active lifestyle and incorporate some VPA when possible.展开更多
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.81302124.
文摘BACKGROUND Red blood cell distribution width(RDW)is associated with the development and progression of various diseases.AIM To explore the association between pretreatment RDW and short-term outcomes after laparoscopic pancreatoduodenectomy(LPD).METHODS A total of 804 consecutive patients who underwent LPD at our hospital between March 2017 and November 2021 were retrospectively analyzed.Correlations between pretreatment RDW and clinicopathological characteristics and short-term outcomes were investigated.RESULTS Patients with higher pretreatment RDW were older,had higher Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group scores and were associated with poorer short-term outcomes than those with normal RDW.High pretreatment RDW was an independent risk factor for postoperative complications(POCs)(hazard ratio=2.973,95%confidence interval:2.032-4.350,P<0.001)and severe POCs of grade IIIa or higher(hazard ratio=3.138,95%confidence interval:2.042-4.824,P<0.001)based on the Clavien-Dino classification system.Subgroup analysis showed that high pretreatment RDW was an independent risk factor for Clavien-Dino classi-fication grade IIIb or higher POCs,a comprehensive complication index score≥26.2,severe postoperative pancreatic fistula,severe bile leakage and severe hemorrhage.High pretreatment RDW was positively associated with the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio and was negatively associated with albumin and the prognostic nutritional index.CONCLUSION Pretreatment RDW was a special parameter for patients who underwent LPD.It was associated with malnutrition,severe inflammatory status and poorer short-term outcomes.RDW could be a surrogate marker for nutritional and inflammatory status in identifying patients who were at high risk of developing POCs after LPD.
文摘BACKGROUND Proton pump inhibitors(PPIs)are widely used,including among cancer patients,to manage gastroesophageal reflux and other gastric acid-related disorders.Recent evidence suggests associations between long-term PPI use and higher risks for various adverse health outcomes,including greater mortality.AIM To investigate the association between PPI use and all-cause mortality among cancer patients by a comprehensive analysis after adjustment for various confounders and a robust methodological approach to minimize bias.METHODS This retrospective cohort study used data from the TriNetX research network,with electronic health records from multiple healthcare organizations.The study employed a new-user,active comparator design,which compared newly treated PPI users with non-users and newly treated histamine2 receptor antagonists(H2RA)users among adult cancer patients.Newly prescribed PPIs(esomeprazole,lansoprazole,omeprazole,pantoprazole,or rabeprazole)users were compared to non-users or newly prescribed H2RAs(cimetidine,famotidine,nizatidine,or ranitidine)users.The primary outcome was all-cause mortality.Each patient in the main group was matched to a patient in the control group using 1:1 propensity score matching to reduce confounding effects.Multivariable Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios(HRs)and 95% confidence interval(CI).RESULTS During the follow-up period(median 5.4±1.8 years for PPI users and 6.5±1.0 years for non-users),PPI users demonstrated a higher all-cause mortality rate than non-users after 1 year,2 years,and at the end of follow up(HRs:2.34-2.72).Compared with H2RA users,PPI users demonstrated a higher rate of all-cause mortality HR:1.51(95%CI:1.41-1.69).Similar results were observed across sensitivity analyses by excluding deaths from the first 9 months and 1-year post-exposure,confirming the robustness of these findings.In a sensitivity analysis,we analyzed all-cause mortality outcomes between former PPI users and individuals who have never used PPIs,providing insights into the long-term effects of past PPI use.In addition,at 1-year follow-up,the analysis revealed a significant difference in mortality rates between former PPI users and non-users(HR:1.84;95%CI:1.82-1.96).CONCLUSION PPI use among cancer patients was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality compared to non-users or H2RA users.These findings emphasize the need for cautious use of PPIs in cancer patients and suggest that alternative treatments should be considered when clinically feasible.However,further studies are needed to corroborate our findings,given the significant adverse outcomes in cancer patients.
文摘Geographical variations in all-cause mortality rates may be influenced by residents’ place of residence and the time period under study. Understanding these variations is essential for designing effective public health interventions and optimizing resource allocation. This study aimed to identify small area level factors associated with all-cause mortality and to map hotspots of excess deaths across a region. The analysis produced relative mortality rates and exceedance probabilities to pinpoint areas with an excess burden of death. Results showed that all-cause mortality was particularly concentrated in the upper central and northern regions of the region, where many rural counties are located. Key factors associated with higher mortality rates included lower median income, younger median age, and a lower percentage of Hispanic population in the counties studied. These findings highlight the importance of addressing income disparity in high-mortality areas, particularly in rural regions, to guide resource allocation and develop targeted interventions that can most effectively reduce mortality rates where they are needed most.
文摘Introduction: In Africa, care during childbirth depends on routine practices to the detriment of quality. The aim of this study was to assess the quality of delivery care at the Coronthie CMC. Methods: The study was carried out at the Coronthie Community Medical Center. It was a cross-sectional, descriptive and analytical study lasting 6 months, from July 01 to December 31, 2021. Parturients whose term was ≥28 SA and who agreed to participate in the study were included. Excluded were those with a term Results: The frequency of quality care is 36.7%. The average age of parturients was 28.6 ± 5 years. Most parturients (89.7%) were married women with secondary education (35%) and self-employed (32%). Pauciparous women accounted for 43.80%, and most parturients (59.8%) were delivered by Caesarean section. We found that 21.5% of parturients had developed complications. These complications were perineal trauma and post-partum haemorrhage. There were no maternal deaths, and the neonatal mortality rate was 20/1000 NV. Acute fetal distress was the main cause of perinatal death. Conclusion: Correct management of factors influencing childbirth could improve maternal and neonatal prognosis.
文摘Introduction: Uterine rupture is certainly one of the most serious, as it immediately jeopardises the vital prognosis of the mother and foetus. It is a common obstetric tragedy in our delivery rooms in countries with limited resources, reflecting the poor quality of obstetric care and, consequently, an unmet obstetric need. Methods: This was a descriptive and analytical cross-sectional study with prospective data collection over a four-year period from 1 January 2020 to 31 December 2023 at the University Hospital Centre (CHU) of Bouaké, in the Obstetrics and Gynaecology Department. The variables studied were epidemiological characteristics, therapeutic aspects and factors associated with maternal. Results: The prevalence of uterine rupture was 0.63%. The average age was 32, with patients aged 35 and over accounting for 33.68%, married 44.21% and 70% not in education. Patients with uterine rupture had been evacuated in 85.26% of cases. Uterine rupture was diagnosed in 97.89% of cases during labour. Maternal lethality due to rupture was 15.79%. The causes of maternal death were dominated by haemorrhagic shock (53.33%). Factors statistically associated with death were age ≥ 35 years (OR: 3.14), duration of labour ≥ 12 hours (OR: 5.8), multiparity (OR: 19.04), admission delay beyond 2 hours (OR: 4.36), haemoglobin level ≤ 7 g/dl (OR: 36.84), coma or obnubilation (OR: 71.82), haemorrhagic shock (OR: 243.94) and occurrence of post-operative complications (OR: 76.45). Conclusion: The frequency of uterine rupture remains significant in the department (0.63%), with maternal mortality still high (15.79%). The key to reducing uterine rupture and its consequences lies in timely referral and early, appropriate management.
文摘This study examines the relationship between geomagnetic indices and mortality rates from specific diseases in the Northeast (NE) and Southern (S) regions of Brazil from 1996 to 2020. Solar activity data, including the Ap and Sudden Ionospheric Disturbance (SID) indices, were sourced from the World Data Center, while mortality data were obtained from the Mortality Information System (SIM-DATASUS). Acute Myocardial Infarction (AMI) emerged as the leading cause of mortality, with average death rates of 60.4, 56.8, and 58.3 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants in Pernambuco (PE), Rio Grande do Sul (RS), and Paraná (PR), respectively. Temporal analysis revealed a consistent upward trend in AMI mortality across most states, except for Santa Catarina (SC). Seasonal patterns identified through Principal Component Analysis (PCA) demonstrated that geomagnetic and climatic indices influenced mortality differently across regions and seasons. The Ap geomagnetic index was strongly correlated with higher AMI mortality rates during summer, while the SID index showed greater relevance during winter. A dipole phenomenon was observed, with AMI deaths increasing alongside geomagnetic activity in the S region but showing an inverse relationship in the NE region. These findings highlight the significant influence of geomagnetic variations on public health, particularly cardiovascular mortality. The study underscores the need for further research into the biological mechanisms underlying these associations and recommends the development of early warning systems and targeted preventive measures to mitigate the potential health impacts of geomagnetic disturbances, especially for vulnerable populations.
文摘Objective: To develop an illness severity score that predicts short-term mortality, based on a small number of readily available measurements, and overcomes limitations of the SOFA score, for use in research involving large-scale electronic health records. Design: Retrospective analysis of electronic records for 37,739 adult inpatients. Setting: A single tertiary care hospital system from 2016-2022. Patients: 37,739 adult ICU patients. Interventions: IMPS was developed using logistic regression with the 6 SOFA components, age, sex and missingness indicators as predictors, and 10-day mortality as the outcome. This was compared with SOFA with median imputation. Measurements and Main Results: Discrimination was evaluated by AUROC, calibration by comparing predicted and observed mortality. IMPS showed excellent discrimination (AUROC 0.80) and calibration. It outperformed SOFA alone (AUROC 0.70) and with age/sex (0.74). Conclusions: By retaining continuous data, adding age, allowing for missingness, and optimizing weights based on empirical mortality association, IMPS achieved substantially better mortality prediction than the original SOFA.
文摘This editorial comments on the article by Desai et al,which investigates the impact of coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)on in-hospital mortality among patients with recurrent stroke using data from the 2020 National Inpatient Sample.The findings reveal significantly higher mortality rates in COVID-19-positive patients compared to non-COVID-19 patients,particularly among middle-aged individuals,males,and ethnic minorities.This editorial explores the underlying mechanisms contributing to these outcomes and discusses the clinical implications for targeted management strategies in high-risk groups.The results emphasize the need for comprehensive approaches to mitigate the heightened risks faced by recurrent stroke patients during the COVID-19 pandemic.
基金Supported by the Chongqing Science and Health Joint Medical Research Project,No.2024MSXM065.
文摘BACKGROUND Oesophageal cancer is a significant health concern worldwide,with high inci-dence and mortality rates.In China,the disease burden is particularly high,accounting for a substantial proportion of oesophageal cancer cases and related deaths worldwide.AIM To explore the relationship between the mortality rate of oesophageal cancer patients and insurance type,out-of-pocket ratio,and the joint effects of insurance type and out-of-pocket ratio.METHODS The χ^(2) test was used to analyze patients’demographic and clinical characteristics.Multivariate logistic regression,the Cox proportional hazard model,and the competitive risk model were used to calculate the cumulative hazard ratios(HRs)of all-cause death and oesophageal cancer-specific death among patients with different types of insurance and out-of-pocket ratios.RESULTS Compared with patients covered by basic medical insurance for urban and rural residents,patients covered by urban employee basic medical insurance for urban workers(UEBMI)had a 23.30%increased risk of oesophageal cancer-specific death[HR=1.233,95%confidence interval(CI):1.093-1.391,P<0.005].Compared with patients in the low out-of-pocket ratio group,patients in the high out-of-pocket ratio group had a 25.80%reduction in the risk of oesophageal cancer-specific death(HR=0.742,95%CI:0.6555-0.84,P<0.005).With each 10%increase in the out-of-pocket ratio,the risk of oesophageal cancer-specific death decreased by 10.10%in patients covered by UEBMI.However,the risk of oesophageal cancer-specific death increased by 26.90%in patients in the high out-of-pocket ratio group.CONCLUSION This study reveals the relationships of the specific mortality rate of patients with oesophageal cancer with the out-of-pocket ratio and medical insurance types as well as their combined effects.This study provides practical suggestions and guidance for the formulation of relevant policies in this area.
基金supported by the grants from the National Key R&D Program of China(No.2023YFC2508200)National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.82273538)the Public Health Research and Development Program of the Shenyang Science and Technology Bureau(No.22-321-33-12).
文摘Background:Skin cancer is a common skin disease whose incidence and mortality rates have been showing yearly increases.In this report,we update the most recent data on skin cancer as obtained from GLOBOCAN 2022.Methods:The incidence and mortality rates of skin cancer(melanoma of skin and non-melanoma skin cancer)in GLOBOCAN 2022 were reviewed.These data were analyzed and the characteristics of incidence and mortality across five continents and top five countries and regions in each continent are presented.In addition,correlations between Human Development Index(HDI)and age-standardized incidence and mortality rates of these two skin cancers are described.Results:The GLOBOCAN 2022 data indicated that melanoma was the 17th most common cancer.An estimated 331,722 people were diagnosed with melanoma globally and approximately 58,667 died from this disease.For non-melanoma skin cancer,it ranks as the 5th most common cancer,and an estimated 1,234,533 people were diagnosed with non-melanoma skin cancer globally and approximately 69,416 died from this disease.The incidence of skin cancer varies across geographic regions and countries,with a predominance observed in Oceania,North America,and Europe.Australia was ranked first in terms of incidence,while incidence rates in Africa and Asia were very low.Despite these regional differences in incidence,there was little geographic variation in mortality rates.Currently,the number of deaths from non-melanoma skin cancer exceeds that of melanoma of skin.HDI was positively associated with the incidence of both types of skin cancers,with a positive correlation obtained between HDI and mortality from melanoma of skin and a negative correlation between HDI and mortality from non-melanoma skin cancer.Conclusions:Skin cancer remains a major disease burden worldwide.Substantial variations are observed across countries and regions.Further research on skin cancer will be required to provide a rationale for more effective preventions and treatments of this condition.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(32071749)。
文摘Root tips are the main components of absorptive fine roots,but their seasonal dynamics and relationship to environmental factors remain unclear due to the difficulties in methodology.In this study,we explored the temporal patterns of root-tip production and mortality in monoculture plantations of five temperate tree species at a common site in northeastern China,and identified the general environmental controls on such processes.We made monthly in-situ assessments of root tip length(RTL)production and mortality in two hardwood and three coniferous species with a minirhizotron(MR)method during the growing seasons of 2008 and 2009.Air temperature,rainfall,soil temperature and water content at 10 cm depth were determined concurrently.RTL production in all species exhibited consistent peaks in summer(June–August)in two growing seasons.RTL mortality showed substantial interannual and interspecific variability,with peaks in autumn and winter in 2008,but various patterns in 2009.RTL production positively correlated with monthly soil and air temperature across all species,and with monthly rainfall in three coniferous species.However,there was no significant correlation between RTL production and soil water content.By contrast,RTL mortality was weakly related to environmental factors,showing positive correlations with soil temperature in Korean spruce,and with rainfall in Korean pine and Korean spruce.Our findings suggest that the seasonal patterns of RTL production are convergent across the five temperate tree species due to the overlapped distribution of heat and rainfall,which can conduce roots to maximizing the acquisition of nutrient resources in the soil.
文摘Objective:To investigate the association between diagnosis delays and mortality in patients with haemorrhagic fever in Upper Southern Thailand.Methods:A hospital-based case control study was conducted between December 2019 and January 2020.Cases were defined as patients who had been diagnosed with haemorrhagic fever and died during hospitalization,while controls were patients with similar conditions who survived.Medical records were retrospectively reviewed,with the primary variable being a diagnosis delay of more than three days after the onset of illness.The outcome of interest was mortality during hospitalization.Data analysis involved descriptive statistics and multiple logistic regression.Results:A total of 38815 haemorrhagic fever cases were reported from 2014 to 2019.The case-to-control ratio was 1:3,comprising 66 cases and 198 controls.Among 66 cases and 198 controls,the median(IQR)time from illness onset to diagnosis was 4(4)days in cases vs.1(0)day in controls.Diagnosis delays significantly increased mortality risk[adjusted OR(aOR)5.60,95%CI 2.74-11.46].Other risk factors for mortality included age曑5 years(aOR 16.15,95%CI 3.70-70.42)and overweight status(aOR 3.43,95%CI 1.57-7.52).Conclusions:Delayed diagnosis in patients with haemorrhagic fever was strongly associated with higher mortality rates.These findings highlight the critical importance of early diagnosis to reduce mortality in haemorrhagic fever cases.
文摘Liver cirrhosis represents the final stage of liver diseases.The transition from the compensated to the decompensated form is a critical phase,as it is associated with a negative impact on patient prognosis.Therefore,having a tool to identify patients at higher risk of complications and mortality is an ideal goal.Currently,the validated scores for this purpose are the model for end-stage liver disease score and the Child-Pugh score.However,these scores have limitations,as they do not account for other factors associated with liver cirrhosis that are equally relevant from a prognostic perspective.Among these,alterations in body composition,particularly sarcopenia,increase the risk of mortality and should therefore be considered in the comprehensive assessment of patients with liver cirrhosis.
文摘Shen et al’s retrospective study aims to compare the utility of two separate scoring systems for predicting mortality attributable to gastrointestinal(GI)injury in critically ill patients[the GI Dysfunction Score(GIDS)and the Acute Gastroin-testinal Injury(AGI)grade].The authors note that this study is the first proposal that suggests an equivalence between the ability of both scores to predict mor-tality at 28 days from intensive care unit(ICU)admission.Shen et al retrospec-tively analysed an ICU cohort of patients utilising two physicians administering both the AGI grade and GIDS score,using electronic healthcare records and ICU flowsheets.Where these physicians disagreed about the scores,the final decision as to the scores was made by an associate chief physician,or chief physician.We note that the primary reason for the development of GIDS was to create a clear score for GI dysfunction,with minimal subjectivity or inter-operator variability.The subjectivity inherent to the older AGI grading system is what ultimately led to the development of GIDS in 2021.By ensuring consensus between physicians administering the AGI,Shen et al have controlled for one of this grading systems biggest issues.We have concerns,however,that this does not represent the real-world challenges associated with applying the AGI compared to the newer GIDS,and wonder if this arbitration process had not been instituted,would the two scoring systems remain equivalent in terms of predicted mortality?
文摘BACKGROUND Severe dengue children with critical complications have been attributed to high mortality rates,varying from approximately 1%to over 20%.To date,there is a lack of data on machine-learning-based algorithms for predicting the risk of inhospital mortality in children with dengue shock syndrome(DSS).AIM To develop machine-learning models to estimate the risk of death in hospitalized children with DSS.METHODS This single-center retrospective study was conducted at tertiary Children’s Hospital No.2 in Viet Nam,between 2013 and 2022.The primary outcome was the in-hospital mortality rate in children with DSS admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit(PICU).Nine significant features were predetermined for further analysis using machine learning models.An oversampling method was used to enhance the model performance.Supervised models,including logistic regression,Naïve Bayes,Random Forest(RF),K-nearest neighbors,Decision Tree and Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost),were employed to develop predictive models.The Shapley Additive Explanation was used to determine the degree of contribution of the features.RESULTS In total,1278 PICU-admitted children with complete data were included in the analysis.The median patient age was 8.1 years(interquartile range:5.4-10.7).Thirty-nine patients(3%)died.The RF and XGboost models demonstrated the highest performance.The Shapley Addictive Explanations model revealed that the most important predictive features included younger age,female patients,presence of underlying diseases,severe transaminitis,severe bleeding,low platelet counts requiring platelet transfusion,elevated levels of international normalized ratio,blood lactate and serum creatinine,large volume of resuscitation fluid and a high vasoactive inotropic score(>30).CONCLUSION We developed robust machine learning-based models to estimate the risk of death in hospitalized children with DSS.The study findings are applicable to the design of management schemes to enhance survival outcomes of patients with DSS.
文摘BACKGROUND:Pancreatoduodenectomy offers the only chance of cure for patients with periampullary cancers.This,however,is a major undertaking in most patients and is associated with a significant morbidity and mortality.A multidisciplinary approach to the workup and follow-up of patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy was initiated at our institution to improve the diagnosis,resection rate,mortality and morbidity.We undertook the study to assess the effect of this approach on diagnosis,resection rates and short-term outcomes such as morbidity and mortality.METHODS:A prospective database of patients presenting with periampullary cancers to a single surgeon between April 2004 and April 2010 was reviewed.All cases were discussed at a multidisciplinary meeting comprising surgeons,gastroenterologists,radiologists,oncologists,radiation oncologists,pathologists and nursing staff.A standardized investigation and management algorithm was followed.Complications were graded according to the Clavien-Dindo classification.RESULTS:A total of 295 patients with a periampullary lesion were discussed and 178 underwent pancreatoduodenectomy (resection rate 60%).Sixty-one patients (34%) required either a vascular or an additional organ resection.Eighty-nine patients experienced complications,of which the commonest was blood transfusion (12%).Thirty-four patients (19%) had major complications,i.e.grade 3 or above.There was no in-hospital,30-day or 60-day mortality.CONCLUSIONS:Pancreatoduodenectomy can safely be performed in high-volume centers with very low mortality.The surgeon’s role should be careful patient selection,intensive preoperative investigations,use of a team approach,and an unbiased discussion at a multidisciplinary meeting to optimize the outcome in these patients.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grants 12126602)the R&D project of Pazhou Lab(Huangpu)under Grant 2023K0610+5 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grants 82030102)the Shenzhen Medical Academy of Research and Translation(Grants C2302001)the Shenzhen Science and Technology Innovation Committee(No.ZDSYS20200810171403013)the Chinese Postdoctoral Science Foundation(No.2022M721463)the SUSTech Presidential Postdoctoral Fellowshipthe Ministry of Science and Technology of China(Grants 2022YFC3702703).
文摘BACKGROUND The current understanding of the magnitude and consequences of multimorbidity in Chinese older adults with coronary heart disease(CHD)is insufficient.We aimed to assess the association and population-attributable fractions(PAFs)between multimorbidity and mortality among hospitalized older patients who were diagnosed with CHD in Shenzhen,China.METHODS We conducted a retrospective cohort study of older Chinese patients(aged≥65 years)who were diagnosed with CHD.Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the associations between multimorbidity and all-cause and cardiovascular disease(CVD)mortality.We also calculated the PAFs.RESULTS The study comprised 76,455 older hospitalized patients who were diagnosed with CHD between January 1,2016,and August 31,2022.Among them,70,217(91.9%)had multimorbidity,defined as the presence of at least one of the predefined 14 chronic conditions.Those with cancer,hemorrhagic stroke and chronic liver disease had the worst overall death risk,with adjusted HRs(95%CIs)of 4.05(3.77,4.38),2.22(1.94,2.53),and 1.85(1.63,2.11),respectively.For CVD mortality,the highest risk was observed for hemorrhagic stroke,ischemic stroke,and chronic kidney disease;the corresponding adjusted HRs(95%CIs)were 3.24(2.77,3.79),1.91(1.79,2.04),and 1.81(1.64,1.99),respectively.All-cause mortality was mostly attributable to cancer,heart failure and ischemic stroke,with PAFs of 11.8,10.2,and 9.1,respectively.As for CVD mortality,the leading PAFs were heart failure,ischemic stroke and diabetes;the corresponding PAFs were 18.0,15.7,and 6.1,respectively.CONCLUSIONS Multimorbidity was common and had a significant impact on mortality among older patients with CHD in Shenzhen,China.Cancer,heart failure,ischemic stroke and diabetes are the primary contributors to PAFs.Therefore,prioritizing improved treatment and management of these comorbidities is essential for the survival prognosis of CHD patients from a holistic public health perspective.
基金supported by the CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences(grant numbers:2021-I2M-1-010,2021-I2M-1-046,2021-I2M-1-011,2021-I2M-1-023).
文摘Background:The National Cancer Center(NCC)of China regularly reports the nationwide statistics on cancer incidence and mortality in China.The International Agency for Research on Cancer(IARC)calculates and publishes the cancer burden of countries around the world every two years.To ensure consistency between the actual surveillance data in China and the data published by IARC,NCC has received approval from the National Health Commission and IARC to simultaneously release the cancer burden data for China in GLOBOCAN 2022.Methods:There were a total of 700 registries reporting high-quality data on cancer incidence and mortality across China in 2018,of which 106 registries with continuous monitoring from 2010 to 2018 were used to establish an age-period-cohort model to simulate the trend of cancer incidence and mortality and to estimate the incidence and mortality in China in 2022.In addition,we analyzed the temporal trends of age-standardized cancer incidence and mortality from 2000 to 2018 using data from 22 continuous cancer registries.Results:It was estimated about 4,824,700 new cancer cases and 2,574,200 new cancer deaths occurred in China in 2022.Cancers of the lung,colon-rectum,thyroid,liver and stomach were the top five cancer types,accounting for 57.42%of new cancer cases.Cancers of the lung,liver,stomach,colon-rectum and esophagus were the five leading causes of cancer deaths,accounting for 67.50%of total cancer deaths.The crude rate and age-standardized incidence rate(ASIR)were 341.75 per 100,000 and 201.61 per 100,000,respectively.The crude mortality rate was 182.34 per 100,000 and the age-standardized mortality rate(ASMR)was 96.47 per 100,000.The ASIR of all cancers combined increased by approximately 1.4%per year during 2000–2018,while the ASMR decreased by approximately 1.3%per year.We observed decreasing trends in ASIR and ASMR for cancers of the esophagus,stomach,and liver,whereas the ASIR increased significantly for cancers of the thyroid,prostate,and cervix.Conclusions:Cancer remains a major public health concern in China,with a cancer profile that reflects the coexistence of developed and developing regions.Sustained implementation of prevention and control measures has resulted in significant reductions in the incidence and mortality rates of certain historically high incidence cancers,such as esophageal,stomach and liver cancers.Adherence to the guidelines of the Healthy China Action Plan and the Cancer Prevention and Control Action Plan,along with continued efforts in comprehensive risk factor control,cancer screening,early diagnosis and treatment,and standardization of diagnostic and therapeutic protocols,are key strategies to effectively mitigate the increasing cancer burden by 2030.
基金supported by the Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China(grant number LY23G030005)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(grant number 72204071)the Scientific Research Foundation for Scholars of HZNU(grant number 4265C50221204119).
文摘Background Depressive symptoms are established risk factors for various health outcomes.However,previous studies assessed depressive symptoms at a single time point,neglecting individual variations over time.Aims To identify depressive symptoms trajectories through repeated measures and examine their associations with cardiovascular disease(CVD),cancer and mortality.Methods This study included 20634 UK Biobank participants free of CVD and cancer at baseline with two or more assessments of depressive symptoms during 2006-2016.Group-based trajectory modelling identified depressive symptoms trajectories.Incident CVD,cancer and mortality were followed up until 2021 through linked registries.Results Six depressive symptoms trajectories were identified:no symptoms(n=6407),mild-stable(n=11539),moderate-stable(n=2183),severe-decreasing(n=206),moderate-increasing(n=177)and severe-stable(n=122).During a median follow-up of 5.5 years,1471 CVD cases,1275 cancer cases and 503 deaths were documented.Compared with the no symptoms trajectory,the mildstable,moderate-stable and severe-stable trajectories exhibited higher CVD risk,with hazard ratios(HRs)(95%CIs)of 1.19(1.06 to 1.34),1.32(1.08 to 1.34)and 2.99(1.85 to 4.84),respectively.Moderate-increasing and severe-stable trajectories were associated with higher mortality risks,with HRs(95%CIs)of 2.27(1.04 to 4.93)and 3.26(1.55 to 6.88),respectively.However,the severedecreasing trajectory was not associated with higher risks of adverse outcomes.We did not find significant associations between any trajectory and cancer.Conclusions Trajectories related to stable and increasing depressive symptoms,but not the trajectory associated with severe depressive symptoms at the initial assessment but decreasing at the follow-up,were associated with higher risks of CVD and mortality.Alleviating severe depressive symptoms at the initial onset may mitigate CVD and mortality risks.
基金the Heart Foundation Australia(#101234,#101583)an Emerging Leader Fellowship from the National Health and Medical Research Council(2009254)an Early-Mid Career Researcher Grant under the New South Wales Cardiovascular Research Capacity Program.
文摘Background:A quality diet and an active lifestyle are both important cornerstones of cardiovascular disease(CVD)prevention.However,despite their interlinked effects on metabolic health,the 2 behaviors are rarely considered jointly,particularly within the context of CVD prevention.We examined the independent,interactive,and joint associations of diet and physical activity with CVD hospitalization,CVD mortality,and all-cause mortality.Methods:CVD-free Australian participants aged 4574 years(n=85,545)reported physical activity,diet,sociodemographic,and lifestyle characteristics at baseline(20062009)and follow-up(20122015),and data were linked to hospitalization and death registries(03/31/2019 for CVD hospitalization and all-cause mortality and 12/08/2017 for CVD mortality).Diet quality was categorized as low,medium,and high based on meeting dietary recommendations.Physical activity was operationalized as(a)total moderate-to-vigorous physical activity(MVPA)as per guidelines,and(b)the composition of MVPA as the ratio of vigorous-intensity physical activity(VPA)to total MVPA.We used a left-truncated cause-specific Cox proportional hazards model using time-varying covariates.Results:During a median of 10.7 years of follow-up,6576 participants were admitted to the hospital for CVD and 6581 died from all causes(876 from CVD during 9.3 years).A high-quality diet was associated with a 17%lower risk of all-cause mortality than a low-quality diet,and the highest MVPA category(compared with the lowest)was associated with a 44%and 48%lower risk of CVD and all-cause mortality,respectively.Multiplicative interactions between diet and physical activity were non-significant.For all outcomes,the lowest risk combinations involved a high-quality diet and the highest MVPA categories.Accounting for total MVPA,some VPA was associated with further risk reduction of CVD hospitalization and all-cause mortality.Conclusion:For CVD prevention and longevity,one should adhere to both a healthy diet and an active lifestyle and incorporate some VPA when possible.
