We analytically give the financial rogue waves in the nonlinear option pricing model due to Ivancevic,which is nonlinear wave alternative of the Black-Scholes model.These rogue wave solutions may be used to describe t...We analytically give the financial rogue waves in the nonlinear option pricing model due to Ivancevic,which is nonlinear wave alternative of the Black-Scholes model.These rogue wave solutions may be used to describe thepossible physical mechanisms for rogue wave phenomenon in financial markets and related fields.展开更多
The aim of this paper is to test the ability of conditional and unconditional capital asset pricing models (CAPMs) and to explain emerging markets returns in terms of their integration into the international market....The aim of this paper is to test the ability of conditional and unconditional capital asset pricing models (CAPMs) and to explain emerging markets returns in terms of their integration into the international market. The authors use data on five developed countries and five emerging countries as well as data on the Tunis Stock Exchange (TSE) after the reforms. The results show that the correlations between emerging markets returns and developed markets returns are very low and sometimes negative. Conditional arbitrage pricing theory (APT) as well as conditional CAPM has low predictive power for emerging markets than that for developed markets. Finally, following the financial reforms, Tunisian financial markets have became more and more integrated into the international market (excess returns and unconditional beta consistent with predictions). However, conditional APT does not accurately explain Tunisian market returns. This study confirms the unavailability of an accurate modelling technique of the TSE structure.展开更多
The collective revelation of credit institutions as regards the imminence of specific risks materialising, which often follows long periods of underestimating probable losses, can trigger a broad-based financial delev...The collective revelation of credit institutions as regards the imminence of specific risks materialising, which often follows long periods of underestimating probable losses, can trigger a broad-based financial deleveraging via an overly high upsurge in banks' risk premiums vis-a-vis the dynamics of fundamentals underlying loan repayment capability. In this context, this paper seeks to investigate the banking sector's internal mechanisms that might bring about a negative spiral of credit risk by building a model for the interaction between the increase of the risk premium and that of net interest income and provisioning rate. Statistical results confirm that a higher risk premium is one of the major determinants of credit default in Romania and its excessive widening could affect financial stability in Romania.展开更多
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.60821002/F02
文摘We analytically give the financial rogue waves in the nonlinear option pricing model due to Ivancevic,which is nonlinear wave alternative of the Black-Scholes model.These rogue wave solutions may be used to describe thepossible physical mechanisms for rogue wave phenomenon in financial markets and related fields.
文摘The aim of this paper is to test the ability of conditional and unconditional capital asset pricing models (CAPMs) and to explain emerging markets returns in terms of their integration into the international market. The authors use data on five developed countries and five emerging countries as well as data on the Tunis Stock Exchange (TSE) after the reforms. The results show that the correlations between emerging markets returns and developed markets returns are very low and sometimes negative. Conditional arbitrage pricing theory (APT) as well as conditional CAPM has low predictive power for emerging markets than that for developed markets. Finally, following the financial reforms, Tunisian financial markets have became more and more integrated into the international market (excess returns and unconditional beta consistent with predictions). However, conditional APT does not accurately explain Tunisian market returns. This study confirms the unavailability of an accurate modelling technique of the TSE structure.
文摘The collective revelation of credit institutions as regards the imminence of specific risks materialising, which often follows long periods of underestimating probable losses, can trigger a broad-based financial deleveraging via an overly high upsurge in banks' risk premiums vis-a-vis the dynamics of fundamentals underlying loan repayment capability. In this context, this paper seeks to investigate the banking sector's internal mechanisms that might bring about a negative spiral of credit risk by building a model for the interaction between the increase of the risk premium and that of net interest income and provisioning rate. Statistical results confirm that a higher risk premium is one of the major determinants of credit default in Romania and its excessive widening could affect financial stability in Romania.