利用1980—2015年ERA-5全球再分析资料,对汉中地区典型暴雨发生前纬向风场变化及天气尺度瞬变波活动(Eliassen-Palm通量特征)进行分析。结果表明:瞬变波Eliassen-Palm(EP)通量特征分析为汉江流域暴雨潜势预报提供一个有利的参考指标;暴...利用1980—2015年ERA-5全球再分析资料,对汉中地区典型暴雨发生前纬向风场变化及天气尺度瞬变波活动(Eliassen-Palm通量特征)进行分析。结果表明:瞬变波Eliassen-Palm(EP)通量特征分析为汉江流域暴雨潜势预报提供一个有利的参考指标;暴雨发生前,33°N附近200 h Pa有纬向风减速中心,对应200 hPa为EP通量辐散区,这种垂直分布模型是暴雨前期的有利形势,随着纬向风减速趋势加快,EP通量辐散区扩展并加强,有利于暴雨的发生;与8月相比,7月暴雨强度更强,暴雨范围更广,纬向风变化更明显,200 hPa的EP通量辐散更强。若简单地将盛夏暴雨整体进行研究,会影响对不同月份瞬变波活动及大气环流变化趋势的诊断,造成诊断偏差且难以准确反映瞬变波与暴雨的联系。因此在讨论盛夏季天气尺度瞬变波与对流层环流的相互作用时,应按月份讨论。展开更多
Advanced geological prediction is a crucial means to ensure safety and efficiency in tunnel construction.However,diff erent advanced geological forecasting methods have their own limitations,resulting in poor detectio...Advanced geological prediction is a crucial means to ensure safety and efficiency in tunnel construction.However,diff erent advanced geological forecasting methods have their own limitations,resulting in poor detection accuracy.Using multiple methods to carry out a comprehensive evaluation can eff ectively improve the accuracy of advanced geological prediction results.In this study,geological information is combined with the detection results of geophysical methods,including transient electromagnetic,induced polarization,and tunnel seismic prediction,to establish a comprehensive analysis method of adverse geology.First,the possible main adverse geological problems are determined according to the geological information.Subsequently,various physical parameters of the rock mass in front of the tunnel face can then be derived on the basis of multisource geophysical data.Finally,based on the analysis results of geological information,the multisource data fusion algorithm is used to determine the type,location,and scale of adverse geology.The advanced geological prediction results that can provide eff ective guidance for tunnel construction can then be obtained.展开更多
文摘利用1980—2015年ERA-5全球再分析资料,对汉中地区典型暴雨发生前纬向风场变化及天气尺度瞬变波活动(Eliassen-Palm通量特征)进行分析。结果表明:瞬变波Eliassen-Palm(EP)通量特征分析为汉江流域暴雨潜势预报提供一个有利的参考指标;暴雨发生前,33°N附近200 h Pa有纬向风减速中心,对应200 hPa为EP通量辐散区,这种垂直分布模型是暴雨前期的有利形势,随着纬向风减速趋势加快,EP通量辐散区扩展并加强,有利于暴雨的发生;与8月相比,7月暴雨强度更强,暴雨范围更广,纬向风变化更明显,200 hPa的EP通量辐散更强。若简单地将盛夏暴雨整体进行研究,会影响对不同月份瞬变波活动及大气环流变化趋势的诊断,造成诊断偏差且难以准确反映瞬变波与暴雨的联系。因此在讨论盛夏季天气尺度瞬变波与对流层环流的相互作用时,应按月份讨论。
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(grant numbers 42293351,41877239,51422904 and 51379112).
文摘Advanced geological prediction is a crucial means to ensure safety and efficiency in tunnel construction.However,diff erent advanced geological forecasting methods have their own limitations,resulting in poor detection accuracy.Using multiple methods to carry out a comprehensive evaluation can eff ectively improve the accuracy of advanced geological prediction results.In this study,geological information is combined with the detection results of geophysical methods,including transient electromagnetic,induced polarization,and tunnel seismic prediction,to establish a comprehensive analysis method of adverse geology.First,the possible main adverse geological problems are determined according to the geological information.Subsequently,various physical parameters of the rock mass in front of the tunnel face can then be derived on the basis of multisource geophysical data.Finally,based on the analysis results of geological information,the multisource data fusion algorithm is used to determine the type,location,and scale of adverse geology.The advanced geological prediction results that can provide eff ective guidance for tunnel construction can then be obtained.
