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地区线性矩法在太湖流域暴雨频率分析中的应用 被引量:18
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作者 吴俊梅 林炳章 邵月红 《水文》 CSCD 北大核心 2015年第5期15-22,96,共9页
介绍了基于水文气象途径的地区线性矩法的概念,通过基于次序统计量的线性矩进行参数估计与基于水文气象一致区的地区分析法相结合,以太湖流域1d时段的年极值降雨资料为例,进行暴雨频率分析。应用水文气象一致区的判别准则,将太湖流域划... 介绍了基于水文气象途径的地区线性矩法的概念,通过基于次序统计量的线性矩进行参数估计与基于水文气象一致区的地区分析法相结合,以太湖流域1d时段的年极值降雨资料为例,进行暴雨频率分析。应用水文气象一致区的判别准则,将太湖流域划分为8个水文气象一致区;综合考虑三种拟合优度检测方法,选择1~8区的最优分布线型分别为:GEV、GLO、GEV、GEV、GNO、GNO、GEV、GNO;根据地区分析法原理,估算各雨量站的暴雨频率设计值。分析表明:太湖流域各重现期下的年极值降雨空间分布形态基本一致,西南山区是太湖流域的暴雨高风险区,应该在地区防洪规划中引起重视。结果表明:地区线性矩法具有很高的学术和实用价值,建议在全国范围内推广,作为防洪规划的顶层设计和基础工作,以满足工程防洪设计、地区防洪规划、山洪预警和城市防涝防洪规划等方面的需求。 展开更多
关键词 太湖流域 暴雨频率分析 线性矩 地区分析法 水文气象一致区
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水文气象分区线性矩法在广西暴雨频率分析中的应用 被引量:7
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作者 陈希 林炳章 +1 位作者 吴俊梅 李敏 《水电能源科学》 北大核心 2014年第11期5-9,共5页
基于广西壮族自治区多时段的年最大值降雨量资料,以3h为代表,首先利用水文气象分区线性矩法,将其划分为23个水文气象一致区;然后采用三种拟合优度判别方法,判断每个一致区的最优分布线型,得出GEV和GNO线型在广西是较优的选择;最后根据... 基于广西壮族自治区多时段的年最大值降雨量资料,以3h为代表,首先利用水文气象分区线性矩法,将其划分为23个水文气象一致区;然后采用三种拟合优度判别方法,判断每个一致区的最优分布线型,得出GEV和GNO线型在广西是较优的选择;最后根据地区分析法得到各站对应重现期下的暴雨频率估计值,发现同一时段暴雨频率估计值空间分布形态大致相同,而在同一重现期下不同时段估计值空间分布形态会随设计时段的不同而发生变化。 展开更多
关键词 线性矩 地区分析法 水文气象一致区 暴雨频率分析 广西壮族自治区
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自然保护区体系构建方法综述 被引量:4
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作者 李霄宇 葛静茹 +2 位作者 白庆红 邢韶华 崔国发 《林业经济》 北大核心 2010年第9期109-113,共5页
如何构建合理的自然保护区体系一直是自然保护领域的热点问题。在对国内外自然保护区体系构建文献进行综述的前提下,具体介绍了生物地理区划法、热点地区分析法、保护空缺分析法、生态系统服务功能法4种自然保护区构建的方法和途径,讨... 如何构建合理的自然保护区体系一直是自然保护领域的热点问题。在对国内外自然保护区体系构建文献进行综述的前提下,具体介绍了生物地理区划法、热点地区分析法、保护空缺分析法、生态系统服务功能法4种自然保护区构建的方法和途径,讨论了各种方法的实用性和局限性。在此基础上,对各种方法在实践应用中的前景和趋势进行了展望,以期能为我国自然保护区体系构建研究和实践提供一定参考。 展开更多
关键词 自然保护区体系构建 生物地理区划 热点地区分析法 保护空缺分析 生态系统服务功能
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国际比较教育的若干方法与理论——兼谈我国比较教育研究的方法论问题 被引量:22
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作者 丁邦平 《比较教育研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 1999年第2期13-18,共6页
本文简要地论述了本世纪七十年代中期以后国际比较教育学所采用的两种有影响的研究方法(即地区差异分析法和民族志法)和世界秩序模式规划理论。在此基础上。
关键词 地区差异分析 民族志 世界秩序模式规划理论 研究方情结
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短历时暴雨高风险区划图及其应用 被引量:2
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作者 谭盛杰 林炳章 林刚 《水电能源科学》 北大核心 2014年第12期14-16,共3页
基于太湖流域多时段雨量资料,运用地区线性矩法得到各站点对应重现期下的暴雨频率估计值,再由空间内插得到暴雨高风险区划图,并编制了一套以在线平台形式查询短历时暴雨高风险区划图的软件,可查询不同站点、不同时段、不同重现期下的暴... 基于太湖流域多时段雨量资料,运用地区线性矩法得到各站点对应重现期下的暴雨频率估计值,再由空间内插得到暴雨高风险区划图,并编制了一套以在线平台形式查询短历时暴雨高风险区划图的软件,可查询不同站点、不同时段、不同重现期下的暴雨频率估计值。结果表明,太湖流域的暴雨高风险区域位于西南部山区,西部地区为次暴雨高风险区,说明该平台可为防洪设计标准提供可靠依据,有助于山洪预警,从而减少生命财产损失,有效可行。 展开更多
关键词 防灾减灾 线性矩 地区分析法 高风险区查询
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Sustainability Assessment and Ranking of Run of the River(RoR) Hydropower Projects Using Analytical Hierarchy Process(AHP):A Study from Western Himalayan Region of India 被引量:2
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作者 Deepak KUMAR Surjit Singh KATOCH 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2015年第5期1315-1333,共19页
In the present scenario,tapping the unutilised hydropower potential is one of the highest priorities in developing countries of the world.Special emphasis is being imparted to run of the river(RoR)mode of power genera... In the present scenario,tapping the unutilised hydropower potential is one of the highest priorities in developing countries of the world.Special emphasis is being imparted to run of the river(RoR)mode of power generation.However,the governments are now facing the dilemma whether to promote small hydropower projects(SHPs) or encourage large hydropower projects(LHPs).RoR large hydropower projects result into large scale cutting of mountains for constructing tunnels and access roads,generation of huge quantity of muck and large scale impact on flora and fauna due to diversion of rivers/streams.On the other hand,though SHPs are claimed to be greener and more sustainable by a section of researchers and energy planners but,they will be required to be set up in large number to generate equivalent amount of electricity.The aim of this study is to rank the most sustainable installed capacity range of RoR hydropower projects.To achieve this aim,the study proposes the use of quite popular multi-criteria decision making(MCDM)method of Operation Research named Analytical Hierarchy Process.A case study has been presented from Himachal Pradesh,a hydro rich state located in the western Himalayan region.As per sustainability assessment carried out in this study,hydropower projects in the capacity range 1 to 5 MW have been ranked to be the most sustainable. 展开更多
关键词 Sustainability Run of the river Hydropower project Analytical Hierarchy Process HIMALAYA
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Using analytic network process to analyze problems for implementing turn-key construction projects in Taiwan 被引量:3
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作者 王丹绮 王隆昌 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2011年第2期558-567,共10页
The turn-key construction project is implemented in Taiwan not by a single company but by a make-shift group of several companies. Hence,problems to coordinate the professional construction management (PCM) and the su... The turn-key construction project is implemented in Taiwan not by a single company but by a make-shift group of several companies. Hence,problems to coordinate the professional construction management (PCM) and the supervising architectural company often occur for the lack of long-term experience to work together. The various factors that affect the implementation of turn-key projects currently practiced in Taiwan are analyzed using the analytic network process (ANP). The objective is to study how the twelve key factors in the four layers of "Role assignment","Signing contract","Operational procedures" and "Losing capital investment" affect the progress of implementing the turn-key project in Taiwan. The results reveal that "Delay in payment" has the most negative influence with 15.62% weighing factor; "Latent risk" comes next with 11.14% weighing factor,and "Responsibility of construction company for project quality" is the third with 10.79% weighing factor. 展开更多
关键词 turn-key turn-key construction company professional construction management analytic network process (ANP)
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Genesis and Quality of Groundwater in the Southeastern Region of Southern Vietnam
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作者 Chau Tran Vinh Tran Hong Thai +5 位作者 Doan Van Canh Dang Due Nhan Nguyen Cao Huan Nguyen Van Nghia Nguyen Hong Hieu Trinh Thi Thu Van 《Journal of Environmental Science and Engineering(A)》 2017年第6期277-292,共16页
The origin and quality of groundwater in the Southeastern region (belongs to Southern Plain) were identified by using isotopic techniques and geochemical analysis. Groundwater samples were collected from 7 aquifers... The origin and quality of groundwater in the Southeastern region (belongs to Southern Plain) were identified by using isotopic techniques and geochemical analysis. Groundwater samples were collected from 7 aquifers: the Holocene, upper Pleistocene, middle Pleistocene, lower Pleistocene, upper Pliocene, middle Pliocene and Miocene aquifers. The water isotopic compositions (82H and 8180) were determined to elucidate the origin and the interaction between surface water and groundwater studies. Transit time (age) of the groundwater samples was determined to explain the direction of groundwater flow. The dating techniques included 3H and ^14C isotopes measurement, followed by a correction for the initial ^14C-activity by the ^13C-composition (^13C) in TDIC (Total Dissolved Inorganic Carbon). Geochemical parameters of the groundwater samples were measured either directly in the field or in the laboratory. The results showed that the groundwater from the Holocene and upper Pleistocene aquifers was most recharged from the local meteorological and hydrological systems, including local precipitation, fiver and reservoirs. Thus, it has short transit time and its stable isotopic composition is spread around the local meteoric waterline and lines for rivers or reservoirs water. The groundwater in the deeper aquifers: middle and lower Pleistocene, and Neogene aquifers has old age up to 22.5 ka BP. Its water seems to be recharged from the areas with an altitude from 600 to 700 m higher to the Neogene deposit layer altitude. The groundwater in the SE SP (South-Eastern Southern Plain) region has a high quality. The water type is Na-Ca-Mg-HCO3 with low content of chloride and TDS (Total Dissolved Solids). Calcite/dolomite and gypsum dissolution, organic matter decomposition and sequence of red-ox reactions proceeding through different electron acceptors sediment were controlled the chemistry of the groundwater in the study region. 展开更多
关键词 Water isotopic composition ^14C-dating GROUNDWATER South-Eastern Southern Plain region Vietnam.
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Crustal Thickness and Velocity Ratio beneath National Seismic Stations in the Sichuan-Yunnan Area Based on Receiver Function Analysis
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作者 Sun Li Liu Ruifeng +1 位作者 Huang Zhibin Chen Yotdin 《Earthquake Research in China》 2009年第3期340-347,共8页
By using the teleseismic receiver function method, this paper analyzes the crustal thickness and Vp/Vs ratios beneath the 4 National seismic stations (KMI, TNC, CD2 and PZH) in the Sichuan-Yunnan area. This study gi... By using the teleseismic receiver function method, this paper analyzes the crustal thickness and Vp/Vs ratios beneath the 4 National seismic stations (KMI, TNC, CD2 and PZH) in the Sichuan-Yunnan area. This study gives the variance of Moho depths and velocity ratios of the 4 stations in different directions. The results show that the Moho depth beneath the Kunming station is around 50km, and the vdocity ratio varies between 1.62 and 1.69. The thickness of crust and the velocity ratio do not change much with the direction. The crust beneath Tengchong station shows clear directivity, being 40.7km thick in the northeast and 49.7km thick in the southeast. The difference of the Vp/Vs values is remarkable between the two directions, reaching 0.2. The Chengdu station also has shallow Moho, about 40km, but is 8km deeper in the northeast and southwest and the vdocity ratio has a change of 0.13 between the two directions. The crust beneath the Panzhihua station is stable. In all directions, the Moho depth is around 60km and the Vp/Vs ratio doesn't change significantly. 展开更多
关键词 Receiver function MOHO Thickness of crust Velocity ratio
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Comprehensive Appraisal of Provincial Low Carbon Development:A Case Study of China
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作者 Liu Yong 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2012年第1期27-31,共5页
In this research,the Factor Analysis model of measuring provincial low carbon development in China has been constructed.Based on data from 30 provinces,an empirical study was developed to measure comprehensive low car... In this research,the Factor Analysis model of measuring provincial low carbon development in China has been constructed.Based on data from 30 provinces,an empirical study was developed to measure comprehensive low carbon development using the Factor Analysis model(Principal Components method and Normalized Varimax Rotation).The results reveal that the provincial marks of low carbon development are generally low and only nine provinces have high marks(more than 0.80).The results also show significant regional disparity.The provincial marks of the eastern region are higher than both the middle and western provinces of China's Mainland.All of the provinces with high marks(more than 0.90) are located in the eastern region,and those with the lowest marks(0.60) are located in the middle region.Furthermore,regional disparity in low carbon development follows the same pattern as economic development in China.Finally,some suggestions for decision-makers are presented. 展开更多
关键词 low carbon development INDICATORS Factor Analysismodel China
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Analysis on Cost and Profit in Farming Activity in Malaysia
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作者 Noraniza Yusoff 《Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing》 2016年第4期183-207,共25页
There is an excessive dissimilarity between scholars in how to accumulate output costs. Worldwide farming advancement is concerned with yield enhancement instead of a holistic natural source management for food safety... There is an excessive dissimilarity between scholars in how to accumulate output costs. Worldwide farming advancement is concerned with yield enhancement instead of a holistic natural source management for food safety. Nevertheless, knowledge regarding the achievement of agriculture systems subject to natural and conventional management in tropical and subtropical areas is insufficient. Why do several farmers record less profit than other farmers? Cost in agriculture activity influences the volume of profit gained by farmers. The number of respondents was 53. Data analysis was made using linear regression analysis to achieve the objective. The scatter diagram manifested a positive connection in cost and profit in agriculture activity from 2009 to 2013. For each cost increase in 2009-2012, the model forecasts a rise of returns for every year. The rate of profit earned by farmers every year shifts considerably in relation to the rate of cost in agriculture activity. This study recommends common accounting principles practices that exercise bookkeeping and managerial accounting to enhance farmstead management and profit. Future research may be conducted on the use of compost fertilizer in increasing agricultural income. 展开更多
关键词 COST FARMING MALAYSIA PROFIT regression
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A global network model of the earth's health
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作者 Lingxiao Li Zhiling Guo Qi Li 《International Journal of Technology Management》 2013年第3期124-129,共6页
In this paper, the major objective is to build a global dynamic network model to assess the global health condition .First use the PSR model and Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to calculate the internal health stat... In this paper, the major objective is to build a global dynamic network model to assess the global health condition .First use the PSR model and Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to calculate the internal health status of some regions, and then establish a global network model which links each region together to figure out the global health status. Finally, taking the human influence into consideration, the degree of the earth's health can be figured out in a more accurate way. 展开更多
关键词 PSR model AHP Global network model Human influence
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Evaluation of Gold Geochemical Anomalies in the Liaodong Paleorift
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作者 XU Shan WANG Miao +1 位作者 LIU Changchun LI Shouyi 《International Journal of Technology Management》 2013年第1期124-128,共5页
89 Au geochemical anomalies are delineated by using 1/200000 regional geochemical exploration data. By researching regional geochemical characteristics and the relationship with the geological background, the author p... 89 Au geochemical anomalies are delineated by using 1/200000 regional geochemical exploration data. By researching regional geochemical characteristics and the relationship with the geological background, the author points out that: the main factors causing high background of Au geochemical anomalies are Gaixian and Dashiqiao formation of Liaohe group, intrusions of Mesozoic intermediate-acid intrusive rocks. The elements combination types of typical anomalies are determined by using factorial analysis,cluster analysis and other mathematical methods with the combination of elements association in typical anomalies:the composite anomaly of Baiyun gold deposits is Au-As-Sb, Maoling gold deposit is Au-As- Bi-Mo, Wulong gold deposits is Au-As-Bi-W, Xiaotongjiapuzi gold deposit is Au-As-Bi-Mo-Sb. By using multivariate statistical analysis method,62 ore-caused anomaly are preferred in 89 Au geochemical anomalies delineated. On this basis, the 62 anomalies are divided into 4 kinds of anomaly types reference to elements combination types of typical anomalies,the classification results of ore-caused anomalies are: 4 geochemical anomalies of Baiyun type,36 geochemical anomalies of Maoling type,11 geochemical anomalies of Wulong type, 11 geochemical anomalies of Xiaotongjapuzi type. According to the results, the prospecting direction is provided for the futme of gold exploration. 展开更多
关键词 Liaodong paleofrifta Geochemical Anomaly Multivariate Statistical Analysis Ore-caused Anomalies
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中国的乡—城劳动力流动与城镇失业:一个经验研究 被引量:36
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作者 袁志刚 《管理世界》 CSSCI 北大核心 2006年第8期28-35,共8页
本文运用1995年1%人口抽样调查和2000年第五次全国人口普查数据估算了较为准确的乡——城劳动力流动数量和城镇失业数据,并结合两种相互补充的方法——“地区分析法”和probit模型——对“进城农村劳动力增加显著提高了城镇失业”这一... 本文运用1995年1%人口抽样调查和2000年第五次全国人口普查数据估算了较为准确的乡——城劳动力流动数量和城镇失业数据,并结合两种相互补充的方法——“地区分析法”和probit模型——对“进城农村劳动力增加显著提高了城镇失业”这一假说进行了检验。总的来看,这一假说并未得到经验证据的有力支持。尽管有证据表明城镇中等受教育程度的中年人的失业风险比其他群体更易受到进城农村劳动力的影响,但这种影响的幅度还不足以引起人们的当心。这意味着没有理由以限制农村劳动力向城镇流动和迁移的方法来取得城镇失业状况的改善。 展开更多
关键词 乡—城劳动力流动 城镇失业 地区分析法 PROBIT模型
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Effectiveness of farmland transfer in alleviating farmland abandonment in mountain regions 被引量:15
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作者 邵景安 张仕超 李秀彬 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第2期203-218,共16页
Farmland abandonment is a type of land use change in the mountain region,and this change is under rapid development. Whether farmland transfer can prevent this process and promote the effective allocation of land reso... Farmland abandonment is a type of land use change in the mountain region,and this change is under rapid development. Whether farmland transfer can prevent this process and promote the effective allocation of land resources or not is a question worth studying and discussion. With the help of the previous research findings,the objective of this paper was to find out the role of farmland transfer on preventing farmland abandonment,by using the methods of multiple view with two factors,and single factor correlation analysis. The results showed that:(1) At village level,a significant negative correlation between farmland transfer and farmland abandonment existed in the study site,with R2 = 0.7584. This correlation of farmland with high grade farming conditions presented more outstandingly. The fitted curve for the farmland at Level I had the largest R2 at 0.288,while that for the farmland at Level IV had the smallest R2 at 0.103. Which indicated that farmland transfer could prevent the abandonment of farmland with high grade farming conditions?(2) At plot level,the abandonment rate of farmland with high grade farming conditions was significantly lower than that of farmland with poor grade farming conditions. It was the lowest at 10.49% for the farmland with Level I farming conditions,whereas the farmland with Level I farming conditions was 26.21%. Abandoned farmland was mainly contributed by farmland with Level IV farming conditions in the study site.(3) At village level,the role of farming conditions on farmland abandonment was insignificant. The univariate correlation analysis revealed that the abandonment ratio was negatively correlated with the proportions of farmland at Levels I and II and their accumulated proportion; however,their R2 were small at 0.194,0.258,and 0.275,respectively. The abandonment of farmland with high farming conditions still existed. The abandonment ratios of farmland at Levels I and II were high at 9.96% and 10.60%,respectively. This presented that farmland transfer on behalf of the land rental market was still not developed.(4) However,the village possessed the high rate of farmland transfer,and its rate of farmland abandonment with high grade farming conditions was all lower. When the transfer ratios of farmland were over 20%,the abandonment ratios of farmland at Levels I and II were 6.47% and 6.92%,respectively. Farmland abandonment was still controlled by the improvement of land rental market. And the functions of land rental market optimizing the utilization of farmland resources have been presented to a certain degree.(5) To further improve the marketing degree of land rental,the probability of farmland abandonment could be reduced. Especially,their function to farmland with high grade farming conditions was very obvious,and could avoid the waste of farmland resources with high grade farming conditions. 展开更多
关键词 land rental market farmland abandonment farming conditions farmland resource optimization mountain region
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