We evaluated the effect of various error sources in fishery harvest/effort data on the maximum sustainable yield （MSY） and corresponding fishing effort （EMsv） using Monte Carlo simulation analyses. A high coeffici...We evaluated the effect of various error sources in fishery harvest/effort data on the maximum sustainable yield （MSY） and corresponding fishing effort （EMsv） using Monte Carlo simulation analyses. A high coefficient of variation （CV） of the catch and effort values biased the estimates of MSY and EMsv. Thus, the state of the fisheries resource and its exploitation was overestimated. We compared the effect using three surplus production models, Hilborn-Waters （H-W）, Schnute, and Prager models. The estimates generated using the H-W model were significantly affected by the CV. The Schnute model was least affected by errors in the underlying data. The CVof the catch data had a greater impact on the assessment than the CV of the fishing effort. Similarly, the changes in CV had a greater impact on the estimated maximum sustainable yield （MSY） than on the corresponding estimate of fishing effort （EMsY）. We discuss the likely effect of these biases on management efforts and provide suggestions for the improvement of fishery evaluations.展开更多
A slotting method for cosine gears was proposed by using the involute cutter based on the conjugate theories of digital surface and gear meshing. The slotting model between the cosine tooth surface represented by disc...A slotting method for cosine gears was proposed by using the involute cutter based on the conjugate theories of digital surface and gear meshing. The slotting model between the cosine tooth surface represented by discrete points and the cutter figuration determined by analytic function was built for their geometrical relationship and conjugate motion during the machining process. Conjugate points in the cutter section corresponding to the discrete points on the cosine gear tooth surface and the conjugate movements were solved. By using the flexible control of the CNC procedure, the active control of the cutting trace of the slotting cutter was accomplished and the envelop forming of the cosine gear was obtained. Based on the software C++ and Matlab, the computer aided manufacturing(CAM) system of the cosine gear was developed, and the simulation of the slotting process was accomplished. Several examples were provided to illustrate the approach. The result of the simulation demonstrates that the proposed slotting method is feasible.展开更多
An integrated approach was proposed to evaluate the remaining useful life(RUL)of corroded petroleum pipelines.Two types of failure modes(i.e.,leakage and burst failure)were considered,and the corresponding limit state...An integrated approach was proposed to evaluate the remaining useful life(RUL)of corroded petroleum pipelines.Two types of failure modes(i.e.,leakage and burst failure)were considered,and the corresponding limit state functions(LSFs)were established with the structural reliability theory.A power-law function was applied to model the growth of corrosion defects,and the effect of external environmental factors on the growth of the pipeline s defect was considered.Moreover,the result was compared with the commonly used linear growth model.After that,a finite element simulation model was established to calculate the burst pressure of the pipeline with corrosion defects,and its accuracy was verified through hydraulic burst test and by comparison with international criteria.On that basis,the probability that the pipeline may fail was calculated with Monte Carlo simulation(MCS)and by considering the LSFs,and the pipeline s RUL was obtained accordingly.Furthermore,sensitivity analysis was conducted to determine the sensitivity parameters for the corrosion and RUL of the pipeline.The results indicate that the radial corrosion rate,wall thickness and working pressure have a great influence on the failure probability of the pipeline.Thus,corresponding measures should be adopted during the operation process of the pipeline to reduce the corrosion rate and increase the wall thickness,so as to prolong the pipeline s RUL.展开更多
An exhaust heat recovery generator is proposed to be integrated with conventional gas-fired triple-effect LiBr/water absorption cooling cycles to improve system energy efficiency. As a case study, simulation of the no...An exhaust heat recovery generator is proposed to be integrated with conventional gas-fired triple-effect LiBr/water absorption cooling cycles to improve system energy efficiency. As a case study, simulation of the novel cycle based on promising parallel flow with cooling capacity of 1 150 kW is carried out under various heat recovery generator vapor production ratios ranging from 0 to 3.5%. The life cycle saving economic analysis, for which the annual gas conservation is estimated with Bin method, is employed to prove the worthiness of extra expenditure. Results show that the optimum gas saving revenue is obtained at 2.8% heat recovery generator vapor production ratio with 42 kW exhaust heat recovered, and the system energy efficiency is improved from 1.78 to 1.83. The initial investment of exchanger can be paid back within 7 years and 9 000 CNY of gas saving revenue will be achieved over the 15-year life cycle of the machine. This technology can be easily implemented and present desirable economic effects, which is feasible to the development of triple-effect absorption cycles.展开更多
To improve the simulation accuracy of SIMULINK, a novel inclusive behavior model of an integrator is proposed that introduces the effects of different circuit nonidealities of a switched-capacitor sigma-delta modulato...To improve the simulation accuracy of SIMULINK, a novel inclusive behavior model of an integrator is proposed that introduces the effects of different circuit nonidealities of a switched-capacitor sigma-delta modulator into SIMULIK simulation. The nonlinear DC gain and nonlinear settling process are introduced into the op-amp module. The signaldependent charge injection and nonlinear resistance are introduced into the switch module. In addition, the noise source including flicker and thermal noise is introduced into system as an independent module. The novel model is verified by SIMULINK behavioral simulations. The results are compared with results from circuit level simulation in Cadence SPICE using TSMC 0.35μm mixed signal technology. It shows that the novel model succeeds in introducing the influences of the nonidealities into behavior simulation to more realistically describe the circuit performances and increase the accuracy of SIMULINK simulation.展开更多
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation for Young Scientists of China (No. 40801225)the Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province (No. Y3090038)
文摘We evaluated the effect of various error sources in fishery harvest/effort data on the maximum sustainable yield （MSY） and corresponding fishing effort （EMsv） using Monte Carlo simulation analyses. A high coefficient of variation （CV） of the catch and effort values biased the estimates of MSY and EMsv. Thus, the state of the fisheries resource and its exploitation was overestimated. We compared the effect using three surplus production models, Hilborn-Waters （H-W）, Schnute, and Prager models. The estimates generated using the H-W model were significantly affected by the CV. The Schnute model was least affected by errors in the underlying data. The CVof the catch data had a greater impact on the assessment than the CV of the fishing effort. Similarly, the changes in CV had a greater impact on the estimated maximum sustainable yield （MSY） than on the corresponding estimate of fishing effort （EMsY）. We discuss the likely effect of these biases on management efforts and provide suggestions for the improvement of fishery evaluations.
基金Projects(51205335,50975242,51375411) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2013J01209) supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Fujian Province,China
文摘A slotting method for cosine gears was proposed by using the involute cutter based on the conjugate theories of digital surface and gear meshing. The slotting model between the cosine tooth surface represented by discrete points and the cutter figuration determined by analytic function was built for their geometrical relationship and conjugate motion during the machining process. Conjugate points in the cutter section corresponding to the discrete points on the cosine gear tooth surface and the conjugate movements were solved. By using the flexible control of the CNC procedure, the active control of the cutting trace of the slotting cutter was accomplished and the envelop forming of the cosine gear was obtained. Based on the software C++ and Matlab, the computer aided manufacturing(CAM) system of the cosine gear was developed, and the simulation of the slotting process was accomplished. Several examples were provided to illustrate the approach. The result of the simulation demonstrates that the proposed slotting method is feasible.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.71671035,72001039)the Open Fund of Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Health Maintenance for Mechanical Equipment(No.201901)the Open Fund of Jiangsu Wind Power Engineering Technology Center(No.ZK19-03-03)。
文摘An integrated approach was proposed to evaluate the remaining useful life(RUL)of corroded petroleum pipelines.Two types of failure modes(i.e.,leakage and burst failure)were considered,and the corresponding limit state functions(LSFs)were established with the structural reliability theory.A power-law function was applied to model the growth of corrosion defects,and the effect of external environmental factors on the growth of the pipeline s defect was considered.Moreover,the result was compared with the commonly used linear growth model.After that,a finite element simulation model was established to calculate the burst pressure of the pipeline with corrosion defects,and its accuracy was verified through hydraulic burst test and by comparison with international criteria.On that basis,the probability that the pipeline may fail was calculated with Monte Carlo simulation(MCS)and by considering the LSFs,and the pipeline s RUL was obtained accordingly.Furthermore,sensitivity analysis was conducted to determine the sensitivity parameters for the corrosion and RUL of the pipeline.The results indicate that the radial corrosion rate,wall thickness and working pressure have a great influence on the failure probability of the pipeline.Thus,corresponding measures should be adopted during the operation process of the pipeline to reduce the corrosion rate and increase the wall thickness,so as to prolong the pipeline s RUL.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 50376044)
文摘An exhaust heat recovery generator is proposed to be integrated with conventional gas-fired triple-effect LiBr/water absorption cooling cycles to improve system energy efficiency. As a case study, simulation of the novel cycle based on promising parallel flow with cooling capacity of 1 150 kW is carried out under various heat recovery generator vapor production ratios ranging from 0 to 3.5%. The life cycle saving economic analysis, for which the annual gas conservation is estimated with Bin method, is employed to prove the worthiness of extra expenditure. Results show that the optimum gas saving revenue is obtained at 2.8% heat recovery generator vapor production ratio with 42 kW exhaust heat recovered, and the system energy efficiency is improved from 1.78 to 1.83. The initial investment of exchanger can be paid back within 7 years and 9 000 CNY of gas saving revenue will be achieved over the 15-year life cycle of the machine. This technology can be easily implemented and present desirable economic effects, which is feasible to the development of triple-effect absorption cycles.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.90707002)~~
文摘To improve the simulation accuracy of SIMULINK, a novel inclusive behavior model of an integrator is proposed that introduces the effects of different circuit nonidealities of a switched-capacitor sigma-delta modulator into SIMULIK simulation. The nonlinear DC gain and nonlinear settling process are introduced into the op-amp module. The signaldependent charge injection and nonlinear resistance are introduced into the switch module. In addition, the noise source including flicker and thermal noise is introduced into system as an independent module. The novel model is verified by SIMULINK behavioral simulations. The results are compared with results from circuit level simulation in Cadence SPICE using TSMC 0.35μm mixed signal technology. It shows that the novel model succeeds in introducing the influences of the nonidealities into behavior simulation to more realistically describe the circuit performances and increase the accuracy of SIMULINK simulation.
